UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): January 14, 2010 (January 11, 2010)
ALCOA INC.
(Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter)
Pennsylvania | 1-3610 | 25-0317820 | ||
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) |
(Commission File Number) |
(I.R.S. Employer Identification Number) | ||
390 Park Avenue, New York, New York | 10022-4608 | |
(Address of Principal Executive Offices) | (Zip Code) |
Office of Investor Relations 212-836-2674
Office of the Secretary 212-836-2732
(Registrants telephone number, including area code)
(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the Registrant under any of the following provisions:
¨ | Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) |
¨ | Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) |
¨ | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) |
¨ | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) |
Item 2.02. | Results of Operations and Financial Condition. |
On January 11, 2010, Alcoa Inc. held its fourth quarter 2009 earnings conference call, broadcast live by webcast. A transcript of the call and a copy of the slides presented during the call are attached hereto as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, respectively, and are hereby incorporated by reference.
* * * * *
The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, is being furnished in accordance with the provisions of General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K.
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements in this report relate to future events and expectations, and as such constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements also include those containing such words as anticipates, believes, estimates, expects, targets, should, will, will likely result, forecast, outlook, projects or similar expressions. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results, performance or achievements of Alcoa to be different from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements. Alcoa disclaims any intention or obligation, other than as required by applicable law, to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether in response to new information, future events or otherwise. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include: (a) material adverse changes in economic or aluminum industry conditions generally, including global supply and demand conditions and fluctuations in London Metal Exchange-based prices for primary aluminum, alumina and other products; (b) material adverse changes in the markets served by Alcoa, including automotive and commercial transportation, aerospace, building and construction, distribution, packaging, industrial gas turbine and other markets; (c) Alcoas inability to achieve the level of cash generation, cost savings, improvement in profitability and margins, or strengthening of operations anticipated by management from its cash sustainability, productivity improvement and other initiatives; (d) Alcoas inability to realize expected benefits from newly constructed, expanded or acquired facilities or from international joint ventures as planned and by targeted completion dates, including the new joint venture in Saudi Arabia; (e) significant increases in power or energy costs or the unavailability or interruption of energy supplies for Alcoas operations; (f) political, economic and regulatory risks in the countries in which Alcoa operates or sells products, including unfavorable changes in laws and governmental policies and fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates; (g) outcomes of significant legal proceedings or investigations adverse to Alcoa; and (h) the other risk factors summarized in Alcoas Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008, Forms 10-Q for the quarters ended March 31, 2009, June 30, 2009 and September 30, 2009, and other reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
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Item 9.01. | Financial Statements and Exhibits. |
(d) Exhibits.
The following are furnished as exhibits to this report:
99.1 | Transcript of Alcoa Inc. fourth quarter 2009 earnings call. | |
99.2 | Slides presented during Alcoa Inc. fourth quarter 2009 earnings call. |
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SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
ALCOA INC. | ||
By: | /s/ NICHOLAS J. DEROMA | |
Nicholas J. DeRoma | ||
Executive Vice President, | ||
Chief Legal and Compliance Officer |
Dated: January 14, 2010
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EXHIBIT INDEX
Exhibit |
Description | |
99.1 | Transcript of Alcoa Inc. fourth quarter 2009 earnings call. | |
99.2 | Slides presented during Alcoa Inc. fourth quarter 2009 earnings call. |
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Exhibit 99.1
FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Conference Call Transcript
AA - Q4 2009 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
Event Date/Time: Jan. 11. 2010 / 5:00PM ET
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jan. 11. 2010 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q4 2009 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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C O R P O R A T E P A R T I C I P A N T S
Matthew Garth
ALCOA Inc - Director, IR
Charles McLane
ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
Klaus Kleinfeld
ALCOA Inc - President, CEO
C O N F E R E N C E C A L L P A R T I C I P A N TS
Jorge Beristain
Deutsche Bank - Analyst
Michael Gambardella
JPMorgan - Analyst
David Gagliano
Credit Suisse - Analyst
Mark Liinamaa
Morgan Stanley - Analyst
Sal Tharani
Goldman Sachs - Analyst
Charles Bradford
Affiliated Research Group - Analyst
Brian Yu
Citigroup - Analyst
Brian MacArthur
UBS Securities - Analyst
Tony Rizzuto
Dahlman Rose & Co. - Analyst
John Redstone
Desjardins Securities - Analyst
David Stevens
Goldman Sachs - Analyst
Kuni Chen
BAS-ML - Analyst
P R E S E N T A T I O N
Operator
Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the fourth quarter 2009 Alcoa earnings conference call. I will be your coordinator today. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. We will conduct a question-and-answer session at the end of this conference. (Operator Instructions). As a reminder, todays call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Matthew Garth, Director of Investor Relations. Please proceed.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jan. 11. 2010 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q4 2009 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Matthew Garth - ALCOA Inc - Director, IR
Thank you, Melanie. Good afternoon, and welcome to Alcoas fourth quarter earnings conference call. I am joined by Chuck McLane, Executive Vice President and CFO, who will review fourth quarter financial results, and Klaus Kleinfeld, President and CEO, who will discuss current market conditions and our progress in strengthening Alcoas cost structure and balance sheet.
After comments by Chuck and Klaus, well take your questions. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that todays discussion will contain forward-looking statements related to future events and expectations. You can find factors that could cause the Companys actual results to differ materially from those expectations listed in todays press release and Alcoas most recent Form 10-K and other SEC filings.
In addition, we have included some non-GAAP financial measures in our discussion. Reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in todays press release and in the appendix in todays presentation and on our website at www.alcoa.com under the Invest section. Now I would like to turn it over to Chuck.
Charles McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
Okay, thanks, Matt. I would like to thank everyone for joining us today. Let me start off by summarizing our fourth quarter performance. We significantly exceeded our target to be free cash flow neutral by year end.
We achieved all of our 2010 cash sustainability targets a year early, dramatically improved liquidity and strengthened our balance sheet. As to earnings, weve overcome significant currency and energy headwinds, weakened markets, project start-up costs, and unallocated fixed costs at our curtailed facilities to report our second consecutive quarter of profitability.
If you noticed, I just drew a comparison between cash and earnings and if youd bear with me, I would like to take a few minutes and elaborate on that. If you have been following us during 2009, you know we have been singularly focused on cash as a financial measure of performance.
In early 2009, we were in the middle of a financial and economic crisis. Price and demand destruction was rampant. We set aggressive cash targets and communicated these both internally and externally. The only way these targets were going to be achieved is by very aggressive and decisive actions, particularly in the manner in which we pulled back capacity and eliminated cash costs.
I am sure everybody is aware that we did this in the upstream operations, but during the course of the year we did it in the midstream operations and did it in the downstream operations. We had investment casting facilities taken down by 50%. We had Davenport, our largest mill in North America, running at less than 70%, shut down Texarkana.
My point is that we had to pull back capacity at many locations to meet the decreased demand, and the way we were going to manage our cash is to take all of the variable cash costs out as quick as possible. When you do that, youve got all of your fixed costs and it is going to be over a lower volume and its going to hurt profitability.
But the other alternative is we could have continued to run this volume that had no demand, we would have absorbed all of this cost and put it in inventory and we would have had much better earnings and been on a road to disaster. So let me finish by saying that were extremely proud of the efforts in maintaining our cash and liquidity position and think as we go through this presentation that you will see it speaks for itself that we were able to achieve all of these targets.
So now lets move to the fourth quarter presentation. As I noted, we achieved all of our 2010 cash sustainability targets in the fourth quarter, helping to produce cash from operations of $1.1 billion and free cash flow of $761 million. Disciplined capital management yielded a decline in debt of $759 million from the fourth quarter of 2008, which when we add it to the increase in cash of $719 million, it resulted in a decrease in net debt of $1.5 billion.
Loss from continuing operations was $266 million or $0.27 per share and included restructuring and special items of $275 million or $0.28 per share. In a few minutes, I will review these items in more detail. The quarter benefited from a 9% uptick in the realized price of aluminum, record production in third party shipments in the Alumina segment and continued productivity gains related to our cash sustainability program.
A weak U.S. dollar and higher energy costs negatively impacted sequential performance. On the revenue side, higher aluminum prices in margin neutral buy/resell activity helped drive an 18% sequential improvement and every end market with the exception of Aerospace, commercial building and construction, and the IGT market showed a sequential increase.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jan. 11. 2010 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q4 2009 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Lets move to the next slide and I will talk about market activity. Markets continue to be very weak relative to last year and the sequential improvements were experiencing are well below historic norms. Sequential declines in the Aerospace and IGT markets were driven by continued destocking activity which we expect to last into the first half of 2010.
Now lets move to the financials. I will highlight key items, you have the detailed income statement in the press release. Higher realized alumina prices in buy/resell activity helped to drive an 18% increase in revenue sequentially. The buy/resell activity accounted for roughly a third of the sequential increase in revenues.
Costs of goods sold as a percent of sales increased in the quarter due to the charges related to our Italian operations and the MRN tax settlement. Excluding those charges and the impact of the buy/resell activity, cost of goods sold as a percent of sales was 83.6%.
Lastly, our operational tax rate for the quarter was 38.8% bringing our operational tax rate for the year to 36.2%. For your reference, we have attached an appendix to help guide you through the full year tax rate. Going forward, we expect our ETR to be approximately 35%. However, we will continue to experience swings in the rate given the volatility in our profit drivers and the overall profitability in each tax jurisdiction.
Lets now review the restructuring and special items in the quarter. This slide provides you with an overview of the restructuring and special items in the quarter and their location on the financial statements. As you will recall, the European Commission has ruled that pricing of electricity to our Italian smelters represented inappropriate state aid.
We appealed the opening of the case by the EC and will also vigorously challenge the decision in EU courts. While there has been no indication from the Italian government on the magnitude of the drawback, we anticipate a cash payment of $300 million to $400 million in 2010.
To help illustrate the impact on the Italian case on our fourth quarter financials, we have distinguished the discrete components of the charge on this slide. As you can see, Italian charges include restructuring, a deferred tax asset write-off, the draw back reserve and environmental accruals and they totally net to an impact of $0.33 per share.
The other items in the quarter netted to a $0.05 per share benefit of which the majority was discrete tax items recognized for certain foreign jurisdictions. The net of these items totaled $275 million or $0.28 per share. Many of our restructuring charges this year have centered on the significant head count reductions aimed at reducing our cost structure.
Lets now review head count reduction for the Company. Our efforts to rapidly redesign operations and improve work flow have structurally reduced head count. We have identified a total of 24,600 reductions, over 21,500 of which have been completed. These reductions contributed $325 million in cash savings in 2009 and will achieve run rate savings of $600 million.
In addition, we estimate that 75% of these positions are permanent reductions and, therefore, sustainable. We have also had an additional 20,000 reductions through divestitures, bringing total head count down to roughly 59,000 Alcoans.
Lets now move to earnings bridges starting with the sequential bridge. This slide bridges our income from continuing operations excluding restructuring and special items. The fourth quarter benefited from a 9% increase in realized alumina prices, higher energy and commodity prices, and the continuing weakening of the dollar in the quarter partially offset this benefit.
As a reference point, fourth quarter oil prices were higher by 12%, natural gas prices up 44%, and the dollar depreciated against the real by 7% and the A dollar by 9%. SG&A expenses are higher in the sequential quarter yet remain low on a percent of sales basis. As you will see in Klaus presentation, total overhead is $412 million lower than 2008, and we anticipate improving that by another 20% in 2010.
Higher depreciation and start-up costs at our Brazilian operations effectively offset productivity gains generated by our cash sustainability efforts. Lets turn to the year-over-year bridge which better illustrates the impact our initiatives have had on the bottom line.
On a year-over-year basis, profitability was significantly impacted by a decline in alumina price of 35% and double-digit declines in every end market. These significant impacts were partially offset by almost $1.5 billion of favorable productivity, energy, and currency, a testament that our cash sustainability initiatives are having a significant and positive impact to earnings.
Before we move to the segments, I would like to call your attention to the changes weve made to the segment summaries. We have included bridges illustrating the drivers and discrete impacts for every segment. We hope this new level of transparency assists you in better understanding and assessing performance.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jan. 11. 2010 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q4 2009 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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With that said, lets go to Alumina. We set quarterly production of 3.9 million metric tons this quarter, increases at Sao Luis, Point Comfort and the inclusion of a full quarter of 100% of Suriname accounted for the majority of the improvement. We also set a record in third party shipments on strong customer demand, particularly in China.
Higher volumes and an increase in third party realized pricing of 15% drove earnings benefits of $73 million. The weakening U.S. dollar yielded negative currency effects of $30 million. You will recall that last quarter results included a $58 million gain related to the Suralco acquisition. Also, the MRN partnership in which we have an equity investment settled a tax litigation matter for which we recorded a $30 million charge during the fourth quarter.
Productivity gains including the benefits of lower caustic costs were offset by higher start-up costs as we ramp up our Juruti bauxite mine. Start-up costs in Juruti totaled $14 million sequentially.
Moving to the outlook, alumina pricing will follow a 60-day lag. Lower caustic costs will flow through the system and we will continue to benefit from our cash sustainability initiatives. The ramp-up of Juruti and Sao Luis will yield increased depreciation costs of $8 million.
Lets move to the Primary segment. Primary ATOI includes $273 million related to the Italian power case, comprised with the drawback and higher energy costs totaling $23 million since the ruling was issued. We have filed the official documentation to begin a temporary layoff in Fusina and Portovesme.
We continue to work with the electricity providers and distribution companies to find an acceptable power solution and prevent a full curtailment. From an operational perspective, third party realized alumina price was up $183 a ton or 9% as LME pricing and regional premiums continued to improve.
Margin neutral buy/resell totaled 207,000 tons during the quarter and production increased slightly. Productivity was offset by negative currency impacts of $29 million. Looking to the first quarter, our realized pricing is expected to follow a 15-day lag and we expect continued benefits from our cash sustainability initiatives.
Lets go to the Flat-Rolled Products segment. FRP generated $37 million in ATOI this quarter on improved mix and pricing. Ongoing cash sustainability initiatives resulted in a 25% decrease in total head count for the group for the full year. Next quarter, we expect continued gains from our cost initiatives. However, we remain cautious on the end markets, especially Aerospace.
While can sheet, which is a key market for us, we made tough decisions over the past year to change our pricing strategy and to ensure the long-term profitability of the business. Metal ceilings have been eliminated and increased costs of the business are being shared with customers to improve our profitability in the market.
These decisions were not made lightly and are designed to position Alcoa more competitively in the can sheet business and to achieve financial returns that can support the business in the long term. Current volume levels require some restructuring and we expect to complete head count reductions by the end of the first quarter.
Now, lets turn to the EPS segment. Revenue declined 3% sequentially due primarily to continued weakness in the Aerospace and IGT markets. Continued destocking in the Aerospace supply chain drove revenues down 3% sequentially, while IGT revenues fell 16% as new projects continued to be delayed.
Small gains were seen in the Commercial Transportation market with revenues up 7% sequentially. ATOI for the quarter of $57 million was 24% below the third quarter primarily driven by the revenue declines in our two key markets.
The market conditions for the segment are anticipated to remain challenging for the first quarter with respect to both mix and demand, the impact of which will be partially mitigated by productivity improvements.
Lets now move to my favorite, the cash flow statement. For the quarter, we produced cash from operations of $1.1 billion, our best performance since the second quarter of 2007. Working capital generated $522 million in the quarter as continued benefits from our cash sustainability initiatives more than offset the impact of higher LME prices.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jan. 11. 2010 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q4 2009 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Roughly 90% of the working capital reductions are structural in nature driven by a 10-day decline in days working capital since the fourth quarter of 2008. The other adjustments line includes the add back of the non-cash charges in the quarter. CapEx totaled $363 million as we deferred non-essential capital in Brazil until 2010.
For the year, growth CapEx accounted for 68% of our total spend of $1.6 billion. Our three major growth projects, Juruti, Sao Luis, and Estreito comprised 75% of the growth spend. Free cash flow of $761 million marked the highest free cash flow generation since the second quarter of 2003. All of our cash sustainability initiatives in 2009 were centered on driving cash flows and strengthening Alcoa.
Lets move to the next slide to put our performance in the proper perspective. We acted swiftly in the downturn to secure Alcoas liquidity. Putting forth our holistic solution of both operational financial initiatives, we have been relentless in executing this plan in 2009 saving $2.4 billion in total costs.
These savings are hitting the bottom line as evidenced by our second consecutive quarter of profitability and our full year cash generation. To put our current position into perspective, lets look back at the beginning of 2009. In the first two months of 2009, we generated a negative free cash flow of $1 billion.
Over the next 10 months of the year, our initiatives drove free cash flow generation of $750 million bringing full year cash flow to a negative $257 million, an outstanding outcome and further evidence of our success in executing our cash sustainability program. We also improved liquidity and reduced debt by $759 million.
In fact, net debt for the Company declined by $1.5 billion in 2009 and if we were to use the $1 billion in excess cash to pay down debt, our debt-to-cap would fall to 36.1%. And, we are not done. The combination of current metal, currency, and energy factors and the continued execution of our cash sustainability initiatives would help drive far better performance in 2010.
In summary, our progress is an undeniably strong response to the weak market environment we experienced in 2009 and a testament to the enthusiasm every Alcoan exhibits in strengthening our Company and creating value for our stakeholders. I would now like to turn it over to Klaus.
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc President, CEO
Thank you very much, Chuck, and welcome, everybody, who is on the call. Looking at our Q4 numbers and reviewing 2009, let me say I am really pleased with the performance and this was only possible because literally every Alcoan has been chipping in.
Lets review the 2009 first. Can we have that slide? Good. Well, it was a very challenging environment. We had a historically not seen price decline, 60% decline in less than five months and we had a broad-based demand destruction on our end markets. At the same time, the challenge has brought the best out in Alcoa. We have responded very, very early as many of you may remember.
We have put this together in a holistic solution which we call the cash sustainability program. Chuck already referred to it, cash was the target that we had been aiming at and you can see the results and I will be going through that. We summarize that, and what you can see here in the middle and our seven promises. This kind of became our mantra, our playbook that pretty much every employee in Alcoa was following.
If you look at the deliveries, you can see that we really delivered on all of those promises. Best ever safety performance, we exceeded our cash targets, continued growth, repowered a lot of our smelters, free cash flow positive in the fourth quarter 2009, which we promised, but I would get that number is a number that none of us was having in mind when we made that promise, way over shot it. We strengthened our liquidity, so thats a summary.
Lets go through some of the details so you get a feel for it. In spite of all the economic pressures, we have not compromised our values. We in fact live them every day and were very proud of the achievement particularly in an environment like the environment last year. We have had our best ever safety performance.
You can see that on the left-hand side here of the slide. In the total recordable incident rate, for instance, up 9% relative to last year, all the lost work incidence rate up 7% and to make it more tangible, 74% of all of our facilities had no lost workday incidents in the last year. Or to make it even clearer, an Alcoa employee working anywhere in the global organization is four times safer than an employee in the U.S. industrial companies.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jan. 11. 2010 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q4 2009 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Obviously, this didnt go unnoticed. We received quite a bit of recognition, made it to the Fortune most admired again, Dow Jones sustainability index, eighth consecutive year, been in that World Economic Forum Global 100 or the Brazilian magazine, their leading business publication, Exame, all of those award us. And we are also particularly proud given the importance of this for our industry that we helped launch the U.S. cap and going after carbon emission trading and emission capturing.
So all of this, I think, is a clear testament that were not only managing our bottom line but we are also matching our bottom line, and lets go to the next slide and start to go through the specifics there. Procurement. On the procurement, this is certainly the biggest bucket that we had, and also that we showed in the commitment.
We actually said we wanted to reduce the procurement costs by $2 billion until 2010. We said $1.5 billion we would be able to achieve in 2009 and look where we are on the right-hand side. The actual is actually around $1.998 billion. You can clearly see were really one year ahead with the execution.
To get there, we really had to use every lever. We expanded our supplier base, we changed specifications. Weve actually broken pricing conventions and I could go on and on and on. We really had to pull every lever but the success was on our side.
I am particularly proud of this because at the same time it wasnt like we had all the winds kind of helping us. We had quite a bit of headwinds, particularly on the rising currency levels as well as the energy prices and still we have been able to overcome those challenges and come out with that performance.
Lets go to the next one, the overhead. The overhead costs. On the overhead costs we did something pretty simple. We said we do a hair cut 20% on all the overhead costs, so that led us to the target of $400 million. We wanted to have 50% of that in 2009.
And look at where we are here on the right-hand side. Same pattern then on the slide before, $412 million reduced overhead costs. So again the year ahead and all of that was only possible because of a rapid reduction in costs, personnel, travel, consulting, those types of things.
Lets go to the CapEx side. On the CapEx, many of you who follow Alcoa know were coming out of a time where we have done a lot of investments, and that is what you see here on the left-hand side, the $3.4 billion of CapEx investments in 2008. When we faced the crisis, we said were going to cut that down and came out with a target of $1.8 billion. In reality what did we achieve?
We achieved a $1.622 billion CapEx spend. That was only possible because we aggressively managed the spend and we delayed spend to overcome also the additional currency headwinds of total magnitude in CapEx alone $250 million in 2009. So thats what led to that.
Now, we also said that we will be able to bring down the sustaining CapEx down to a level of $850 million and well be able to run that through, without compromising the quality of the system. And that if you take that on the right-hand side here, and add into it the remaining spend from the Brazilian projects plus the new Saudi project, plus then the sustaining CapEx you end up with a target of 1.250 billion. I think thats a pretty good achievement.
Working capital, at the last point there, important spend category, so what did we do there? On the right-hand side you can see we came out with a target for 2009 of $800 million. What did we achieve? We achieved $1.3 billion of spend reduction.
This is significant, particularly as we have been facing during that period in 2009 a rising level of LME prices, which obviously the second half particularly, which obviously makes it more difficult to achieve those numbers.
If I were to summarize the performance in simple terms, I would say we, again, if you look at the performance against the cash sustainability program targets and many of you had a chance to discuss those ones when we did our equity raise with Chuck and myself and there were a lot, people that said, wow, this is a very, very aggressive plan, and I agree it was a very aggressive plan.
The performance here has been exceptional, driving out the costs and compensating for the substantial headwinds and currency as well as energy. And I am very, very sure that we really improved the cash generation capability and capabilities to bring cost savings to the bottom line.
The next slide, I want to stop here for a second. Because so far up in talking about the operational improvements, and that is very, very good. But thats only one side of what we have been doing.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jan. 11. 2010 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q4 2009 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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The other thing is we have been looking at improving our strategic position, improving on how we can perform going forward. And sometimes you have the impression, when you go through a year like 2009, as though youre totally occupied in getting all the savings done. As much as we have been focusing on that, our eye continue to be on true north, where is the right strategic positioning, and we did not let go on those ones.
We continued to execute on those ones equally well than on the operational ones. Lets review those. A year had a lot of month, a lot of days, and sometimes you forget what happens during all the year. Lets start with the left box here, the portfolio box.
Weve really optimized the portfolio for liquidity end goals. Let me just mention the big items. There have been others, other smaller ones, Shining Prospect, the AEES investment, for those that dont follow us that much, that was the automotive business investment. The Norway smelter swap, cashless swap against our SAPA assets, Suriname refinery buying out a minority position from BHP.
If you look at that left-hand box and look at where we are today, 90% of the businesses that we have today are in a number one or number two competitive position. Lets go to the second box. Obviously, you all know that when it comes to the smelting system, energy cost is the most important factor and long-term supply of competitive energy is the most important factor, and, again, we have continued to focus on that to strengthen our competitiveness in this.
Today we have 85% of our smelting system powered through minimum 2025. There are, in fact, quite a number of those that have contracts that go further out than 2025.
Then on the right-hand side, on the right-hand side box, and I think that a lot of Alcoans are particularly proud of that because that talks about the organic growth, and that obviously takes a lot of people to get that thing done. We have brought online our new bauxite mine in the Amazon in Juruti, and weve also brought online the respective refinery in Sao Luis. Both of those activities in Brazil are going to substantially improve our cost position of the refining system.
Its going to bring us down, Alcoa in total, down 5 percentage points on the refining cost curve, the worldwide refining cost curve. So with that, Alcoas refining system is now positioned in the lowest quartile of the cost curve, one of the best moves that we could actually make.
Then on the right-hand side, left corner so to say, Bohai in China, we brought online our Bohai facility and this is very soon going to replace a lot of the imported lithographic sheet that China today has. Samara, our Russian facility, one of our Russian facilities, we actually ramped up the can sheet and end and tab manufacturing there. We are the only producer of that product in Russia.
And were not stopping there. We also announced, just a little before the holidays we announced our new joint venture in Saudi Arabia. Lets go to that. I know that many of you have certainly read the press release, but I still want to spend a little time because this is really, really important, an important move for Alcoas primary system.
This is, I would say, a once in a lifetime opportunity for Alcoa, for Maaden, our partner, as well as for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Were talking about an investment in total of $10.8 billion. Alcoa and partners have 40% in there.
Alcoas investment is about $900 million over a period of four years, and we expect this to be funded basically through the free cash flow of Alcoa. It is the lowest cost production complex in the world and I will give you some more details on that. The worlds most efficient integrated aluminum complex, utilizes fully developed infrastructure, it lowers Alcoas refining and smelting position, it offers expansion opportunities, and it gives us a very strong footprint in a fast growing region.
Lets take a look at some more details here on the Maaden joint venture. As I said, it encompasses a bauxite mine, a refinery, a smelter and a rolling mill and altogether and in pretty strong proximity. The bauxite mine, 4 million tons annually, direct rail line to the refinery. Refinery, located in Raz Az Zawr, 1.8 million tons annually, and the design is built for expansion options.
Smelter, co-located to the refinery, 740,000 tons annually, also optionality for expansion. And the rolling mill co-located to the smelter, up to 460,000 tons on the hot mill and basically all of that, particularly the refining smelter and rolling mill, utilizes the Raz Az Zawr new port, its right on the, forgot to mention it is right on the water.
So it utilizes the new port. It utilizes also the 2,500 megawatt gas-fired power plant that is currently getting erected there, and it all utilizes the railway connection right out to the mine. The smelter and the rolling mill will be operational in 2013. All of that together, and I assume you would agree with that, gives us a unique opportunity to bring our costs down and build a low cost, super low cost aluminum production complex.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jan. 11. 2010 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q4 2009 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Lets go to the most important thing as a conclusion from all the things that we have done last year. We have really, as I said, weve really focused on cash and cash alone. We have improved our cash position. We strengthened our balance sheet and strengthened also our strategic position as I just said.
Lets look at the left box here which shows the free cash flow broken down by quarters. Clearly see thats an outstanding performance. We are exceeding our targets in regards to free cash flow and free cash flow neutral by the end of the last year. In fact, we have had, as Chuck pointed out, $761 million of free cash flow in the fourth quarter, and thats a very, very good performance.
If you look at the free cash flow improvements to the right-hand side here, if you look at the free cash flow improvements over the year, this allowed us to fund the growth and to end the year with a $1.5 billion cash balance and to bring the debt-to-cap down by 3.9 points year-on-year which brings it down from 42.5% to 38.6%. Our actions all significantly improved our cash generation as well as our balance sheet, and we have all intentions to remain on that path in 2010.
Before I talk about 2010, lets go to the end markets and see how the end markets are performing. So go to the Aerospace. Lets start with that. Large commercial aircraft, we expect deliveries to decline.
The airlines continue to be challenged. Theyre projected to lose $11 billion in 2009, and another $6 billion in 2010. New orders fell pretty drastically, from roughly to roughly 300 from 1,400 in 2008. If you go to regional business jets, the market experienced significant reductions in orders as well as in deliveries.
While we continue to see destocking across the supply chain, and that obviously is most important, to our profitability short term. Let me add to that one thing for those that dont follow that market so strongly.
If you take the two big players, Boeing and Airbus alone, you always have to keep in mind with all the things I have just been saying that there continues to be a six-year order backlog. And unlike in the last aviation cycles, the production has not been ramped up, so there is a lot of respected analysts that believe that this backlog can tide the companies over until the orders recover.
Also if you look at air travel, it is gradually ticking up during the past 12 months, and we believe that this is probably not going to drive new builds, but what it certainly is going to drive, at least, is spare parts utilization. So there is also some potentially good news in that here.
Automotive. Production expected to rebound in 2010 by about 8% to 60.8 million vehicles. The dealer restocking which was expected to happen in the second half of 2009 is largely completed. Inventories are back to normal levels.
It is important to recall that sales and production, even though they improve, are obviously well below the peak levels of 2007. For instance, were talking about 11%, still below the 2007 level, but all regions are expected to show improvements except Europe and in Europe it is simply an impact of the prolonged and strong government stimulus program that we saw in 2009.
Heavy Trucks and Trailer, general expected build rates to rise by 10%. Were talking about 1.2 million units. Its well below historic norms. North America, for instance, if you take that, we expect 2010 to have a plus 5% increase to 125,000 units. The historic norm is about 225,000 units.
If you look at the U.S., the new EPA 2010 diesel emission standards have created a modest boost of about 10,000 units. We will see that the flat to minimal growth in North America and Europe in freight shipments and the over capacity will continue to create some downward pressure on this market.
The Beverage Can market, we continue to see a trend flat to slightly higher. Commercial Building and Construction we expect a decline of 25-plus percent. The leading indicators like contracts awarded, architectural billings show that trend.
On the Industrial Gas Turbine side, there are a couple of factors, three factors in fact reduced energy demand, the International Energy Agency forecasts about minus 3.5% for 2009. Thats the first worldwide reduction in 65 years. The challenge project financing and the uncertainty of the costs around carbon legislation, but that actually has an upside in there because gas turbines only have half of the emission of coal-fired power generation. So this could give an advantage depending on where those costs form.
To sum it all up, we expect to see a relative improvement in 2009, but the levels are below the historic norms, but theyre up. If you now fold that into the projection on aluminum, thats what you see here on that slide, and we believe that all of this is going to drive a pretty substantial growth of aluminum in 2010, 10% growth in 2010. You can see already when you look at that chart here the major driver of this growth is China.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jan. 11. 2010 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q4 2009 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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If you subtract China from that, you still end up with 5% growth overall, which is still a good, good growth number that were going to see driven by places like India, Brazil, and Asia in general. Lets go to the next slide which shows the supply/demand relations. Lets start with aluminum.
We see here we expect a surplus of about 1.2 million tons, if you add the surplus here on the China side as well as on the Western world side, 305 kmt to 925 kmt. We also lets go to the China side. China moves to a modest surplus, but significantly reduces imports, last year the imports added up to about 1.5 million tons.
We believe that China will continue to manage the capacity as well as the demand very well and will stay in balance after all the surplus that we see here we believe is going to be fairly temporary. On the Western world side, we believe that this is a reflection of greenfield smelter in the Middle East and India coming online and in total adds what we add in total for that is about 740,000 tons over the year.
What is not built in here in our view, outages, as well as high energy costs, that may lead to curtailments in places like Venezuela and India.
Lets go to the total surplus here of 1.2 million as I mentioned just to give you a reference. This equals two weeks of consumption, so its relatively manageable for the global industry. Our view is, our view is is not taking into account potential restocking of the supply chain and if that were to happen, the right side also would look substantially different from what we see from here.
The alumina side, as the next one, pretty balanced, modest surplus, less than 1% of the total market. Thats what we see here.
Lets move on to the inventory conditions. On the left-hand side here if you look at producer inventory, Japan port inventory, all-time lows. The LME stocks are leveling off and keep in mind those stocks are not freely available. Most of them are financially and logistically constrained. So that is basically reducing the availability of the LME stocks and despite of the relatively high inventory.
If you look at a number thats not on here but we showed last time, but I will give it to you, the U.S. distributor stocks, all-time low, also continues we continue to see a very, very low stock situation in the supply chain. And all of that, what you can see on the right-hand side leads to a very tight physical conditions all over the place, Europe, Japan, U.S. Midwest, all of the regional premiums are up, and some of them substantially up.
So one thing that is driving that is not just the physical demand, so the physical end customer demand, but its also the financial investors have come back. Theyve always been in our marketplace and they have come back to the marketplace. Thats also driving it. And because weve received quite a bit of questions around that for people that are not following this so much.
Lets go to the next slide so that I can do a little deeper dive on that. What is the logic on the financial participants? What attracts them to come into the aluminum market? One strong attraction is the strength of the forward curve, what you see here on the left-hand side. It is a simple procedure to make money here.
You buy metal on spot and you sell it forward and if you have a forward curve, a steep forward curve like the one you currently have, its pretty straight forward, return mechanics. The price of the forward curve minus the spot price minus storage costs, minus insurance, and then the price of spot. That obviously assumes youre not financing it, otherwise you will take into account also what your financing costs are, which probably is more what most people are getting in here and also taking into account.
On the right upper corner, you see something else that is really interesting and shows a relative attractiveness of aluminum versus other materials, the percentage change in the forward curve, it shows spot to 18 months out and you can clearly see that aluminum is a fairly attractive play versus other metals.
On the right side, the right lower side, you see the total value of the LME inventories and you can play with other numbers, too, but in reality take that as a proxy for how deep and how liquid is the market so what execution risk do you have. And the answer to that is you have very, very little execution risk when you go into this financial investment.
So lets summarize where we see ourselves coming out in 2010, what are the targets in 2010? Well, lets go to procurement again. Start with procurement. We have over achieved what we set as a target. The critical thing is there are quite a number of savings that we need to lock in. They dont come usually. We need to lock those in.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jan. 11. 2010 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q4 2009 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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The second things is there are headwinds. I talked about the currency as well as energy, but as well market, as the market recovers, we will see price increases which we will have to compensate for which is a normal thing in some of our commodities that we buy as input factors.
We still believe with all of that together well be able to up the target by another $500 million for 2010, so $2.5 billion savings in 2010 in total we believe we can get. So second category is overhead. On the overhead side, we have been able to get $400 million done this year, the number that we originally thought two-year number. We believe we can lock this savings in and make them kind of permanent and add another $100 million to it.
The sustaining CapEx side, I talked about that already, $850 million is the number of sustaining CapEx that we believe we can perform on without compromising the quality of the system. Working capital, last but not least, locking in the savings in spite of the growth environment that we will see here. We believe we can add an additional two days of working capital which would end up with $200 million of additional cash here.
So if we summarize that all for 2010, how would I describe the situation for 2010? The market environment, key end markets will improve versus 2009, the levels are still not at the historic norm. The aluminum market is in a modest surplus, and the currency and energy headwinds will persist. We as Alcoa will continue to pursue our path of aggressively managing our operation as I have just described and as weve shown in 2009.
We will focus on strengthening the balance sheet, and we will continue to optimize our business. Let me elaborate on this, optimizing our business, so that you understand. I cant emphasize that enough. You can rest assured that in all the actions that were taking, all the operational actions, we always have in mind where do we see true north?
Where do we see the mid to long-term attractiveness of our portfolio? Our upstream behavior will continue to focus on bringing our costs down on the cost curve, right, like we did with Iceland, like we did with Brazil, and like we will do in a big step with Saudi.
On the midstream side, we will focus because this market, the midstream market is a more fragmented market, we will focus on the profitable global as well as regional markets and there we will make sure that our positioning in those markets will secure a profitable performance on the long term.
On the downstream, we have some additional levers we can pull because we have leadership positions which we can secure and build out via technology, via new products, via organic, as well as inorganic growth and rest assured we will use all of that. That is what we have in mind here.
On the 2010 commitment numbers, the shot that you see here is the smaller version, its the one that I just showed you, and that is a stretch. I think we all, all Alcoans know that.
We have been able to show that we stick to our commitments. The track record of last year shows it very clearly. We are able to deliver value for our shareholders and thats a commitment for 2010 that every Alcoan basically stands by. Thank you very much. With that, Id like to open the line for the Q&A.
Q U E S T I O N A N D A N S W E R
Operator
Yes, sir. (Operator Instructions). And stand by as we compile the list. Our first question comes from the line of Jorge Beristain with Deutsche Bank. Go ahead.
Jorge Beristain - Deutsche Bank Analyst
Good afternoon. I guess my question is more for Chuck. I am just trying to reconcile the reported EBITDA overall for the Company. I was wondering if you could give us a guesstimate. I know you dont tend to follow that exact metric.
Also at your ATOI level for the smelted aluminum business, you were saying that that already is inclusive of a $273 million charge. Should we interpret that as a cash charge? Should we normalize that to try to get that out in the quarter, and I was just trying it get an idea what your numbers would look like sort of excluding that charge on an operational basis?
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jan. 11. 2010 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q4 2009 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Charles McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
The EBITDA does include the Italian charge in the quarter and yet it was not a cash charge, so if you were going to normalize that, you would put it back in, and it would be on, the EBITDA level would be on the same level kind of lines up with where we were in the third quarter.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Michael Gambardella with JPMorgan. Go ahead.
Michael Gambardella - JPMorgan - Analyst
Yes. Good evening. I wanted to drill down a little bit on the revenue side because I think it may be tied in with the bottom line as well.
Your sales of $5.43 billion were about 15% higher than we were forecasting, a little over $700 million higher. If you look at the Primary Metals segment, your third party shipments surged by 26% in the quarter to 878,000 tons. This is about 193,000 tons higher than we had estimated. If you just look at your average price, times those tons, youre looking at about $460 million in extra sales, and that accounted for about two-thirds of the sales difference.
The surge in third party shipments of about 193,000 versus what we were looking for, and then your comment in your release that you had to go out and purchase seems like a very large number of tons, 207,000 tons, and then resell them to satisfy customer commitments, I mean those purchased tons that you had to do were about 24% of your shipments in the quarter to third party. Can you go through that, the purchase and resale, the customers, and the issues I just mentioned?
Charles McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
Sure, Mike. This could tie up a lot of time on the call, but let me hit it on the surface for you, okay? We had about 207,000 tons in the quarter buy resell. If you looked last quarter, it was about to 70 levels. If you look at sequential change, its about 135, okay? And really comes from when we had purchase commitments in order to service our downstream businesses long before the economy went in the tank, so those you can look at these.
The 207,000 tons was about $419 million worth of revenue in the quarter and you can look at those as being totally margin neutral. The other thing that you need to look at that you didnt bring up is on the alumina side, and we had a host of third party shipments on the alumina side, increases there, and it is to meet customer demand, but have you to take into consideration that were ramping up during the quarter. We were ramping up Point Comfort on its fourth digester, and we also ramp up Sao Luis.
So when youre doing that you have higher costs, so you dont really have a lot of margin on it. On a full cost basis, even though, as can be seen by cash from operations, youre generating a lot of cash. So when youre looking at that top line to the bottom line, I think you have to look at both alumina and primary, adjust for the buy/resell and take into consideration that some of the tons going out to third party on the alumina are low margin tons on a P&L basis and good on a cash basis.
If you need to get into more detail than that well be glad to do it after the call. Okay?
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of David Gagliano with Credit Suisse. Go ahead.
David Gagliano - Credit Suisse - Analyst
Hi. Just in terms of the, there was a bit of a meaningful sequential increase in the SG&A line, and I think some of that is one-timer, it looks like it may have been about $20 million of the $57 million sequential increase was a one-timer. So its a two-part question. One, can you verify how much of the $57 million increase was one time and, then, two, can you explain the balance, what drove the rest of the increase? Thanks.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jan. 11. 2010 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q4 2009 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Charles McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
Well, I think you have to look at, well, there were a host across the board without identifying a total one-time for you, Dave, we had extra legal costs in the quarter. There were some contract costs that we had in the quarter. We didnt put a specific one-time on it.
I think the better way to look at it is to look at our total SG&A costs for the year as compared to 2008 to kind of get a run rate like that on an annual basis. And that would show you that between R&D, PAE, and GASE we had the $400 million savings and were going to add $100 million to that. That would give you the better model for looking to what you can expect in 2010.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Mark Liinamaa with Morgan Stanley. Go ahead.
Mark Liinamaa - Morgan Stanley - Analyst
Good evening. With regard to the Alumina segment, can you tell us what to look for for Juruti start-up costs in the next quarter and also what the tax charge you had last quarter? Is that cash, and discrete as well? Thanks.
Charles McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
Mark, I didnt hear that last part. The first answer was that the start-up costs in the first quarter will be at about the same level even though we expect about $8 million in increases in depreciation, but I didnt catch the second part of the question.
Mark Liinamaa - Morgan Stanley Analyst
It was related to the Brazilian tax charge.
Charles McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
Tax charge, that will not repeat.
Mark Liinamaa - Morgan Stanley - Analyst
Not repeat. Thank you.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Sal Tharani with Goldman Sachs. Go ahead.
Sal Tharani - Goldman Sachs - Analyst
Good evening. A couple of questions just quickly. On the same line that Mark asked, is aluminum energy costs that you have in Italy, high energy costs, will that also continue in the first quarter if the operation runs? And, secondly, the head count reduction you have made and you mentioned, does that is that a same-store or existing, continuing operation or does it also include some of the operations you have spun off?
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jan. 11. 2010 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q4 2009 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc - President, CEO
Okay. I will start with Italy and Chuck covers the head count side. On the Italy side, what happened is the European Union ruled the prices, the electricity prices that we have for our two smelters in Italy, Portovesme and Fusina, to be inappropriate state aid, and were obviously appealing this.
With that, the power costs immediately increased and make two plants uncompetitive at todays metal price level, and we will be challenging this. And while we appeal this, there is little choice but to shut both plants because we need to obtain competitive power, but also have that comply with the EC regulations, so thats a situation.
Thats the situation at the end of the year and regrettably this will cost 2,000 highly qualified direct and indirect industrial jobs in one of the worst economic environments that the world has seen, but obviously we cant afford to operate these plants with negative cash flow.
Thats the situation there. It wont repeat. Chuck?
Charles McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
And with regard to the head count, the 24,600, it included about 4,500 contractors, but all of these are meant to point out the reduced costs that were going to have because none of them had to do with the divestitures. On the divestiture side, it was an additional 20,000 reduction over and above that amount.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Charles Bradford with Affiliated Research Group. Go ahead.
Charles Bradford - Affiliated Research Group - Analyst
Good afternoon. I would like to talk a bit about that inventory in London thats been hedged. A lot of us are looking for higher interest rates.
How much would that do you think have to go up to get some of that metal to come out? What has to happen and what could happen to the forward curve that could also get that metal those metal contracts to expire?
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc - President, CEO
Well, look, let me basically go to the slide where I showed the, Charles, where I showed the attractiveness for a financial investor.
Just pulling that up, I think thats 17, right, exactly, and I think that gives you a little bit of a feel for it. As I try to say on the return mechanics, the return mechanics pretty much get altered here if you dont take your own money, but if you take money that you have been getting from some place and then what you have been referring to is the interest rate becomes an issue.
So you could say once the interest obviously today it is attractive because of financing is very, very cheap and money for such investments is available. So once the interest rate goes up, obviously, you have to ask yourself whats the logic of the interest rate going up? The logic of the interest rate going up, I mean if you look at national banks today would actually be if they are afraid that the economy has kicked in or if they are comfortable that the economy has kicked in, I said afraid because I was just looking at China where the decision last week was the Chinese national bank are basically bringing the interest rate up because they were afraid of an over heating of the economy.
Once that happens, thats obviously founded on real demand in addition to the financial investors coming online. So then in a way you get a compensating effect and I think thats what you will see here.
The other side here on the attractiveness of the market itself in terms of the size liquidity and those type of things will remain. So thats the view that we have on this, and the behavior of the financial investors is going to be a very, very rational behavior here. Charles, thank you.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jan. 11. 2010 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q4 2009 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Charles Bradford - Affiliated Research Group - Analyst
Thank you.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Brian Yu with Citi. Go ahead.
Brian Yu - Citigroup - Analyst
Great. Thank you. Klaus, I think you mentioned about the Aerospace market being weak and continued destocking. Whats the lead time that your engineered business experiences relative to overall deliveries and also the 787 looks like it is going to fly and that is a big component of the overall backlog and deliveries a few years out. What kind of leverage do you have to that particular program?
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc - President, CEO
The 787 is a great thing that it finally flew. The interesting thing is even though it is a composite plane, if you take all of the Alcoa material in it and I am talking mainly about fasteners as well as the engine, the air foils, there is no other plane on this planet that has more of Alcoa in it than the 787.
So we will see how as this is outside of our decision obviously to see how Boeing is going to ramp up the 787, I mean the only thing that we have made sure in the whole process, the painful process, I think, that Boeing has been going through here, is that particularly also on the fastener side that we supported Boeing at the maximum level possible and when you talk about lead times, you really have to differentiate between different products.
We had situations last year where our folks pumped out entirely new fastening systems in a couple of weeks because the necessities to help, the failed necessities from our side, to help the Boeing engineers to get that plane off the ground. Thank you, Brian.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Brian MacArthur with UBS Securities. Go ahead.
Brian MacArthur - UBS Securities - Analyst
Good evening. I would just like to go back to the buy and sell material. You keep saying it is margin neutral. Can you go through why that is?
Obviously in your buying ahead but youre not sure what the price is. Are you forward curve hedging that all the time or, and, B, you talked about the 207,000 tons that I guess could be a one-off that was hedged properly. Is there any other material thats going through there at different buy and sell points?
Charles McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
No. Those buy and sells will match up in the current period, Brian, because you have an outstanding commitment that has to be met in a future period as far as what your purchases are going to be, and we turned around and lined up what we were going to move it out in the same time period. But we usually dont go that far ahead when we do that.
We do have some fixed on the other side of it, that was purchase commitment which we do have certain customers that come to us at points in time and will designate that they want whats in the forward curve now for next years activity, et cetera, and at those we take them outside and then they match up with the requirements that come in from the customer on a forward basis.
This was in essence commitments that we thought we were going to have with our downstream operations over and above what our smelting was running when the economy went in the tank, as I said. And so we have gone through and matched those up and thats why they end up being margin neutral. What was the second part? Okay.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jan. 11. 2010 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q4 2009 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Tony Rizzuto with Dahlman Rose. Go ahead.
Tony Rizzuto - Dahlman Rose & Co. - Analyst
Thank you very much. Hi, gentlemen. Just two quick ones here. First of all, the cash flow slide on 15, can you break out the other adjustments line of 697 and then also, Klaus, when you were talking about the global Primary Metal balance and referring to Chinas annualized rate of output youre factoring in for 2010 of 16.1 million tons, I think China is operating there more or less, and I was wondering how confident you are in that figure for 2010?
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc - President, CEO
Chuck, you want to go first?
Charles McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
Yes, well, the biggest piece of it is if have you to go through, Tony, on the 684 and add back all of the charges in here that are non-cash charges in the earnings for the quarter that we alluded to and they take a host of them including, and it would include disc ops, et et cetera.
There is also different stock comp charges that is are made in every quarter that are added back, but by far a little over 500 of the six something is just non-cash charges in the quarter that are added back to earnings.
Tony Rizzuto - Dahlman Rose & Co. - Analyst
Okay. Very good.
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc - Chairman, CEO, President
And, Tony, I think the point is there that on China the point that I was making is, and I think we have gone through that a number of times. The fundamental situation on China that energy, that they are short in energy, and that they are not an ideal place, particularly for smelting and that there is a lot of other opportunities for taking the power to do something else, and that is exactly the path they have been following.
We have seen that on and on and on again. Weve recently have seen that they have been announcing that there is no new smelter, their license is going to be passed out for the next three years. Weve also seen that they have put environmental regulations in place which will lead to a curtailment of roughly 850,000 tons over the next three years.
So thats what were coming from and I believe that they are going to balance the supply/demand side, so we dont count and that there is going to be similar amounts of imports like we saw last year.
And on top of it always dont forget that there is one thing that we dont see here, it would have required a totally different analysis here on top of it, China has evolved into one of the biggest scrap buyers that you can have on this planet and remelting that and generating new metal thats obviously not included in this. Thank you, Tony.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of John Redstone with Desjardins. Go ahead.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jan. 11. 2010 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q4 2009 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
|
John Redstone - Desjardins Securities - Analyst
Yes, good evening, everybody. Id just like to clarify some comments made on the can sheet market. First of all, I wanted to be sure that what you were saying is that from here on in there are no more caps on the can sheet price?
And, secondly, I wondered if you could clarify what kind of volume difference you are looking for in 2010 because I thought I heard that Chuck said the volumes were going to be down slightly in North America this year and Klaus said they were going to be flat. If you could clarify, that would be very helpful?
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc - President, CEO
Right. I mean one thing I would like to clarify, we have not involuntarily lost any customer and some of you have probably seen the workforce reduction that were putting in place in Tennessee and Warwick, but we have made some really tough decisions on the rolled product side to change our can sheet pricing as you correctly said.
I mean the metal caps have been eliminated and we have been passing on the increased costs to our customers literally to make sure that we have a long-term sustainable business case here for can sheet as well as end and tab. And I tell you this decision has not been taken lightly, but we need to make sure that this business is also a competitive business which achieves on the long term higher than cost of capital returns which we will be able to achieve.
And we are currently on the lookout in the marketplace to secure appropriate businesses and to, on the mid-term basis I very strongly expect the can sheet business to be a stronger position from our side than weaker. And my remark was referring to the marketplace. My remark was referring to the marketplace.
Thats a very simple one. I was speaking to this chart that had the end markets in there and the packaging markets and there you can see a flat to slight growth in the marketplace. Thank you, John.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of David Stevens with Goldman Sachs. Go ahead.
David Stevens - Goldman Sachs - Analyst
Hi. I was hoping you could provide some color on your cash costs of production. I know in prior quarters have you given us numbers that the alumina would be down 33% for the year and aluminum down 38%. You have been focused on cash.
I was wondering if you could give us an update for over the last quarter what has happened to your cash costs and where you see them going in 2010 as aluminum prices increase with the forward? Thanks.
Charles McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
Well, I think I can make we set goals out there previously and I dont have those in front of me right now, David, but I can tell you that we have been tracking the goals and adjusting them for the currency impact to us, and the indexed energy, not the percent of LME energy but the indexed energy.
And if you adjust for both of those, were right on target to meeting the previous goals we gave you. And that makes it a difficult thing as we look out now going into 2010, and what the dollar is going to do relative to the LME price and how much that is going to impact your costs. So the energy component thats tied to the LME and the currency have a direct impact on that.
All of the other cost components that we have, as you can see from our costs, our cash sustainability program weve met or exceeded on all the procurement savings.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jan. 11. 2010 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q4 2009 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
|
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Kuni Chen with Banc of America. Go ahead.
Kuni Chen - BAS-ML - Analyst
Hi, good evening. I guess my questions on downstream demand, if you go to slide 28, obviously there is sort of a mixed picture as you look across all of the end markets, and certainly in some areas of the metals industry were starting to see some signs of inventory restocking.
Whats your general take on how this all nets out in the context of recovering global demand and where you see your unit volume trends, again, for the downstream businesses trending for the year ahead?
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc - President, CEO
Well, I think if you look at the downstream business, I mean this is very strong in the Aerospace as well as in the Industrial Gas Turbine market. Those two markets, and I think I went through it in depth, continue to well be seeing some stress also in 2010, so we will have to watch it.
There are some positive signs, particularly just recently. I think as you correctly indicated, that there is some positive movement also on the Aerospace side happening and as well as on the Industrial Gas Turbine side happening. So we will need to watch it, but those two markets will, as the chart indicated, those two end markets will continue to see quite a bit of stress there.
I mean, again, it is something that we will watch and we will respond to adequately. It is just not that clear positive trend upward that we were seeing on some other ends.
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude the time that we have for Q&A. I would like to turn the call back over to Klaus Kleinfeld for closing remarks. Please proceed, sir.
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc - President, CEO
Well, first of all, thank you very much all for joining this call. I cant emphasize enough that you will see a continued commitment from Alcoas management to perform and create value for shareholders. You have seen what we have in mind for 2010. We will continue to watch the marketplace.
The marketplace that trends up in many ways, and but some aspects wont. Well have to watch. We just talked about this in the last one. You will continue to see a strong cash flow performance and I guess you will also continue to see that we will continue to build on our growth opportunities.
Saudi is a big project. We will execute on that. You will hear more about that, and we continue to have a lot of ideas on how to improve our position in the other business and I gave you a little bit of color on that.
So with that, stay tuned to the station and talk to you all and see you soon. Bye.
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation in todays conference. That does conclude the presentation. You may disconnect. Have a wonderful day.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jan. 11. 2010 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q4 2009 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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[Alcoa
Logo] 4 th Quarter 2009 Earnings Conference January 11, 2010 Exhibit 99.2 |
[Alcoa
Logo] Todays discussion may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements relate to future events and expectations and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Alcoas actual results or actions
may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. For a summary of the specific risk factors that could cause
results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking
statements, please refer to Alcoas Form 10-K for the year ended
December 31, 2008, Forms 10-Q for the quarters ended March 31, 2009,
June 30, 2009, and September 30, 2009, and other reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. 2 Forward-Looking Statements |
[Alcoa
Logo] Chuck McLane Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer 3 |
[Alcoa
Logo] 4 th Quarter 2009 Financial Overview Cash Sustainability targets achieved Cash from operations of $1.1 billion Free cash flow of $761 million Debt-to-cap at 38.6% down 390 basis points from Q408 Total debt reduced by $759 million since 4Q08 Cash on hand of $1.5 billion Loss from continuing operations of $266 million, or $0.27 per share Restructuring and special items total $275 million, or $0.28 per share Negative impact from currency and energy of $65 million Continued end-market weakness compounded by Aero & IGT destocking 4 , |
[Alcoa
Logo] Revenue Change by Market (3%) 25% (4%) 8% 1% (16%) 4% 11% 43% 39% (21%) (43%) (30%) (45%) (36%) (9%) (21%) (55%) (26%) (35%) 4Q09 Third Party Revenue Sequential Change Year-Over-Year Change 5 12% 2% 6% 3% 4% 3% 15% 6% 14% 35% Aerospace Automotive B&C Comm. Transport Industrial Products IGT Packaging Distribution/Other Alumina Primary Metals |
[Alcoa
Logo] Sequential Income Statement Summary 6 $ Millions 3Q09 4Q09 Change Sales $4,615 $5,433 $818 Cost of Goods Sold $3,888 $4,905 $1,017 COGS % Sales 84.2% 90.3% 6.1 % pts. Selling, General Administrative, Other $234 $291 $57 SGA % Sales 5.1% 5.4% 0.3 % pts. Restructuring and Other Charges $17 $69 $52 Effective Tax Rate (22.4%) 34.8% N/A Income (Loss) from Continuing Operations $73 ($266) ($339) Income (Loss) from Discontinued Operations $4 ($11) ($15) |
[Alcoa
Logo] 7 4 th Quarter Restructuring and Special Items $ Millions Italy Other After-Tax & Non- Controlling Interests Earnings Per Share Income Statement Classification Segment Restructuring ($15) ($34) ($49) Restructuring Corporate Discrete Tax Items ($41) $123 $82 Taxes Corporate Special Items: Italy Power Drawback ($250) ($250) Cost of Goods Sold Primary Metals Environmental Accrual ($15) ($15) Cost of Goods Sold Corporate MRN Tax Settlement ($24) ($24) COGS / Minority Interest Alumina / Corporate Intalco Repowering ($19) ($19) Other Income / Expense Corporate Total ($321) $46 ($275) ($0.28) |
[Alcoa
Logo] Total Headcount Reduced By 38% Since Q208 8 Charges ($ Millions) 224 48 38 5 36 351 2009 cash savings of $325 million - Run rate savings of $600 million Headcount Reductions Announced by Quarter Completed Not Yet Completed 15,300 4,400 1,950 550 2,400 24,600 2H'08 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 Q4'09 Total |
[Alcoa
Logo] 4Q'09 vs. 3Q'09 Earnings Bridge Income from Continuing Operations excluding Restructuring & Other Special Items ($ millions) 9 See appendix for reconciliation $39 $5 ($30) ($35) $31 ($37) ($18) $126 ($41) ($31) $9 |
[Alcoa
Logo] 2009 vs. 2008 Earnings Bridge Income (Loss) from Continuing Operations excluding Restructuring & Other Special Items ($ millions) See appendix for reconciliation 10 $1,012 ($2,298) ($706) ($139) $97 $246 $1,135 ($133) $101 ($685) |
[Alcoa
Logo] Alumina 4 th Quarter Highlights 1 st Quarter Outlook 4 th Quarter Business Conditions 11 4Q 08 3Q 09 4Q 09 Production (kmt) 3,776 3,614 3,897 3 rd Party Shipments (kmt) 2,123 2,191 2,716 3 rd Party Revenue ($MM) 722 530 760 ATOI ($MM) 162 65 19 Record quarterly production and third party shipments on market demand and Sao Luis ramp up Realized 3 rd party Alumina price up 15% Negative currency impact of $30 million Tax expense related to litigation of $30 million Lower caustic costs and benefits from cash sustainability initiatives Ramp-up costs of Juruti bauxite mine $14 million sequentially Pricing to follow two month lag on LME Continued benefit from cash sustainability initiatives Continued benefit of lower caustic cost Higher depreciation on growth projects placed into service 4 th Quarter Performance Bridge $ Millions $65 ($14) $19 $66 $7 ($30) $17 ($30) ($58) ($4) |
[Alcoa
Logo] Primary Metals 4 th Quarter Highlights 4 th Quarter Business Conditions 1 st Quarter Outlook 12 4Q 08 3Q 09 4Q 09 Production (kmt) 971 881 897 3 rd Party Shipments (kmt) 807 698 878 3 rd Party Revenue ($MM) 1,580 1,362 1,900 3 rd Party Price ($/MT) 2,125 1,972 2,155 ATOI ($MM) (101) (8) (214) Realized pricing up 9% Smelter disruption and non-cash cost for Italy power decision negatively affected quarter by $273 million Negative currency impact of $29 million Lower carbon costs Productivity gains Pricing to follow 15 day lag Continued benefit from cash sustainability initiatives Potential Italy curtailment 4 th Quarter Performance Bridge $ Millions ($8) ($214) $82 $9 ($29) $12 ($273) ($7) |
[Alcoa
Logo] Flat-Rolled Products 13 1 st Quarter Outlook 4 th Quarter Business Conditions 4 th Quarter Highlights ATOI $ Millions 4Q 08 3Q 09 4Q 09 Flat-Rolled Products, excl Russia, China & Other (9) 37 63 Russia, China & Other (97) (27) (26) Total ATOI (106) 10 37 Improved mix and pricing revenue up 5% Revenue increases in automotive and commercial transportation, offsetting decline in building & construction Gains from cash sustainability initiatives Year-to-date headcount reduction of 25% Cautious demand outlook for aerospace Expecting volume loss in North America can sheet in return for longer-term profitability Continued benefits from cash sustainability initiatives Higher energy costs expected 4 th Quarter Performance Bridge $ Millions $10 $27 $4 ($2) ($3) $5 ($4) $37 |
[Alcoa
Logo] Engineered Products and Solutions 4 th Quarter Business Conditions 1 st Quarter Outlook 4 th Quarter Highlights 14 Continued destocking in Aerospace supply chain and further decline in IGT sales Improved performance in the Commercial Transportation market Seasonal impact from year-end holiday shutdowns Year over year ATOI % revenue flat with cash sustainability initiatives mitigating a 21% decline in sales Weak market conditions Continued destocking in aerospace fastener and the turbine markets Unfavorable product mix Continued benefit from cash sustainability initiatives $ Millions 4Q 08 3Q 09 4Q 09 3 rd Party Revenue 1,392 1,128 1,097 ATOI 73 75 57 ATOI % of Revenue 5.2% 6.6% 5.2% 4 th Quarter Performance Bridge $ Millions $75 $3 ($15) ($2) ($4) $57 |
[Alcoa Logo] Q409 Cash From Operations of $1.1 Billion Cash Flow 15 Best CFO since Q207 FCF positive highest since Q203 10 day decline in DWC vs. Q408 See appendix for free cash flow reconciliation ($ Millions) 4Q'08 3Q'09 4Q'09 Net (Loss) Income ($1,191) $124 ($268) DD&A 291 342 369 Change in Working Capital 610 100 522 Taxes (250) (69) (170) Pension Contributions (38) (33) (26) Other Adjustments 1,186 (280) 697 Cash From Operations $608 $184 $1,124 Capital Expenditures (1,017) (370) (363) Free Cash Flow ($409) ($186) $761 |
[Alcoa
Logo] Undeniably Strong Response To Severe Recession 16 Drove Cash Sustainability savings to the bottom line
efficiently managed cash flows and capex
strengthened the balance sheet Adjusted (Loss) Income ($ Millions) Free Cash Flow ($ Millions) Debt ($ Millions) Debt-to-Capital %
improved liquidity
Cash on Hand ($ Millions) See appendix for reconciliations of adjusted income (loss) and free cash
flow ($221) ($477) ($256) $39 $9 4Q'08 1Q'09 2Q'09 3Q'09 4Q'09 ($409) ($742) ($90) ($186) $761 4Q'08 1Q'09 2Q'09 3Q'09 4Q'09 $762 $1,131 $851 $1,066 $1,481 4Q'08 1Q'09 2Q'09 3Q'09 4Q'09 $10,578 $10,205 $10,265 $10,073 $9,819 42.5% 38.6% 4Q'08 1Q'09 2Q'09 3Q'09 4Q'09 Gross Debt Debt to Cap |
[Alcoa
Logo] Klaus Kleinfeld President and Chief Executive Officer 17 |
[Alcoa
Logo] 2009 In Review 18 Market Conditions in 2009 Source: Alcoa analysis Alcoa End Markets: Current Assessment of 2009 Conditions Challenging Environment Alcoa Takes Action
And Delivers Equaled best ever safety performance Exceeded cash sustainability targets Continued growth projects and improved portfolio Repowered globally competitive smelters FCF positive in 4Q09 Strengthened liquidity Historic Price Decline Broad-based Demand Destruction Holistic Solution: Operational & Financial Actions |
[Alcoa
Logo] Alcoa Lives Its Values Every Day 19 Total Recordable Incident Rate Lost Workday Incident Rate Strengthened Reputation Continued Sustainable Growth Established Carbon Leadership 8 th Consecutive Year Safety Incident Rate History and Significant Accreditations in 2009 Founding Member Best Ever Safety Performance 3.86 3.57 2.26 2.03 1.85 1.47 1.39 1.47 1.40 1.27 0.29 0.32 0.19 0.19 0.13 0.13 0.11 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 |
[Alcoa
Logo] Achieved 2010 Procurement Spending Target Procurement Efficiencies: Reduction Targets 2009E (millions) Reduction Targets by Spend Category Savings 2010E 20 2010 Target Achieved 15% 7% 6% 21% 34% 29% 5% 18% 2% 5% 4% 6% 2% 4% Strategic Raw Materials - Alumina and Primary Metals Strategic Raw Materials - Flat-Rolled Products Indirect - Services Indirect - Maintenance Repair & Overhaul Non-Smelter Energy Transportation Business Unit Metals $1,998 $1,500 $2,000 2009 2009 Savings Target vs. 2008 2010 Savings Target vs. 2008 |
[Alcoa
Logo] Surpassed 2010 Overhead Savings Target Overhead includes SG&A, R&D and Plant Administrative Expenses; excludes
divestitures Overhead Rationalization: Reduction Targets and Savings
$400M (millions) Overhead Savings Target Savings 21 2010 Target Achieved 100% 80% 2008 2010 Target $412 $200 $400 2009 2009 Savings Target vs. 2008 2010 Savings Target vs. 2008 |
[Alcoa
Logo] $3,438 $1,800 Target $1,250 2008 2009 2010E Capital Expenditures of $1.6B, Down 52% Vs. 2008 -53% -23% Capital Expenditure Reduction: Annual CapEx ($ millions) $1,622 22 Surpassed 2009 Target Growth Sustaining |
[Alcoa
Logo] 100% 72% Dec-08 Dec-09 Target Working Capital Days Reduction Targets -28% 2009 YTD Working Capital Change ($ millions) $800M decrease in working capital in 2009 Working Capital Initiatives: Targets and Year-to-date Results Reduced Working Capital By $1.3 Billion 23 Surpassed 2009 Target $1,258 $1,302 $800 $676 ($632) Inventory Receivables Accounts Payable 2009 Cash Generation 2009 Target |
[Alcoa
Logo] Strengthened Alcoas Strategic Position In The Downturn 24 Growth: Improved Competitive Position Re-Powering: Secured LT Power for 40% of System Portfolio: Optimized For Liquidity and Growth Quebec 1 MMT Spain 500 KMT Massena 300 KMT Intalco 184 KMT Shining Prospect JV AEES Divestiture Norway Smelter Asset Exchange Suriname Refinery Minority Position Acquisition Exceptional Bauxite in Juruti Low-cost Refining in Sao Luis Bohai - One of a Kind Asset in China Samara Unmatched Opportunity 85% of System Powered Through 2025 [Alcoa Logo] |
[Alcoa
Logo] Unparalleled Growth Opportunity with Maaden JV Forms the lowest cost aluminum production complex in the world Creates the worlds most efficient integrated aluminum complex Utilizes fully developed infrastructure, including low-cost natural gas power
Lowers Alcoas refining and smelting position on the global cost curve Offers flexibility for expansion Establishes strategic footprint in fast growing region 25 [Alcoa Logo] |
[Alcoa
Logo] Maaden JV Capitalizes on Regions Significant Resources 26 Refinery Smelter Bauxite Mine The largest, most efficient vertically integrated aluminum complex in the world
Al Baitha mine 4 MMT annually 30+ years of reserves Direct rail line to refinery Operational 2014 Located at Ras Az Zawr 1.8 MMT annually Designed for expansion Operational 2014 Co-located with Refinery at Ras Az Zawr 740 KMT annually Designed for expansion Operational 2013 Co-located with Smelter at Ras Az Zawr Up to 460 KMT hot mill Body, end and tab stock for aluminum cans Operational 2013 Rolling Mill |
[Alcoa
Logo] $10,578 $10,205 $10,265 $10,073 $9,819 $762 $1,131 $851 $1,066 $1,481 42.5% 38.6% 4Q'08 1Q'09 2Q'09 3Q'09 4Q'09 Gross Debt Cash Debt to Cap FCF Improved and Balance Sheet Strengthened Cash and Debt (in millions) Free Cash Flow (in millions) FCF Positive in Q409 Debt-to- Cap Down 3.9% pts 27 ($409) ($742) ($90) ($186) $761 4Q'08 1Q'09 2Q'09 3Q'09 4Q'09 |
[Alcoa
Logo] Market Conditions in 2010 Source: Alcoa analysis Alcoa End Markets: Current Assessment of 2010 vs. 2009 Conditions 28 |
[Alcoa
Logo] 6% 2010 Projected Primary Aluminum Consumption by Region (in mmt) Projecting 10% Consumption Growth in 2010 Brazil Russia Asia w/o China North America Europe China 2009 vs. 2010 Projected Growth Rates 2010 Estimated Consumption -15% -15% -5% 16.1 4% -15% -5% 0.9 6% Other* 4.2 7% -2% *Other consists of: Middle East, India, Latin America ex Brazil and Rest of World
38.5 2009 Actual 2010 Forecast 0.8 18% 29 Source: Alcoa analysis 5% 2009 Global Demand Growth Rate: -6% 2010 Global Demand Growth Rate 10% (2010 ex China: 5%) 3% 3% |
[Alcoa
Logo] China Western World 2010 Global Primary Metal Balance 2010E Primary Metal Supply / Demand Balance (in kmt) Surplus Source: Alcoa estimates, Brook Hunt, CRU, CNIA, IAI 30 Surplus 2010 Annualized Run Rate 16,100 2010 Restarts or Curtailments 0 2010 Brown//Greenfield Expansion 200 Total Supply 16,300 Demand (16,100) Imports from West 105 (Deficit) / Surplus 305 2010 Annualized Run Rate 23,150 2010 Restarts or Curtailments (365) 2010 Brown/Greenfield Expansion 745 Total Supply 23,530 Demand (22,500) Exports to China (105) (Deficit) / Surplus 925 |
[Alcoa
Logo] 2010E Alumina Supply / Demand Balance (in kmt) Source: Alcoa estimates, CRU, CNIA, IAI, as of 11/24/09 Balanced 2010 Global Alumina Balance China Western World 31 2010 Annualized Run Rate 25,900 Imports from Western World 5,000 Supply 30,900 Demand (30,900) (Deficit) / Surplus 0 2010 Annualized Run Rate 50,750 Exports to China (5,000) Supply 45,750 Demand (45,000) (Deficit) / Surplus 750 |
[Alcoa
Logo] Source: Bloomberg, IAI 65 days of consumption Non-LME at 17 days LME at 48days Global Inventories Leveling Off Europe +250% Japan +79% Midwest - US +30% Global inventory days of consumption and regional premiums Regional Premiums YTD 2009 Change 32 Tight Physical Conditions Driving Regional Premiums |
[Alcoa
Logo] 33 18-month Forward +$145 Return = Price Forward Price Spot Storage Insurance Price Spot Aluminum Forward Curve Return Mechanics Financial Participants Responding to Strong Forward Curve Percentage Change in Forward Curves 18-month Forwards vs. Spot Total Value of LME Inventories $ Billions Source: Bloomberg 6.6% 3.9% 3.1% 1.1% Aluminum Zinc Lead Copper 10.2 3.7 1.2 0.4 Aluminum Copper Zinc Lead 2,000 2,100 2,200 2,300 2,400 2,500 |
[Alcoa
Logo] Original 2010 Target New 2010 Target Aggressively Pursuing 2010 Operational Targets 34 $2,000 $2,500 Procurement Overhead $400 $500 Sustaining Capex $850 $850 Working Capital $0 $200 2010 Cash Sustainability Operational Targets and Actual Performance $ Millions Locking-in Savings Overcoming Headwinds Net Additional $500M Locking-in Savings Net Additional $100M Overcoming Headwinds Locking-in Savings Additional 2 Days WC Additional $200M Original 2010 Target New 2010 Target Original 2010 Target New 2010 Target Original 2010 Target New 2010 Target |
[Alcoa
Logo] Conditions Improve in 2010 We Maintain Aggressive Stance Market Environment Key end-markets improve vs. 2009; absolute levels still low Aluminum market in modest surplus Currency and energy cost headwinds persist Alcoa Actions Aggressively pursuing 2010 operational targets Focusing on balance sheet strength Optimizing businesses for improved market conditions 35 2010 Commitments Free Cash Flow Positive |
[Alcoa
Logo] [Alcoa Logo] Matthew E. Garth Director, Investor Relations 390 Park Avenue New York, NY 10022-4608 Telephone: (212) 836-2674 www.alcoa.com Additional Information 36 |
[Alcoa
Logo] |
[Alcoa
Logo] Effective Tax Rate Effective tax rate, excluding discrete tax items is a non-GAAP financial measure.
Management believes that the Effective tax rate, excluding discrete tax items is
meaningful to investors because it provides a view of Alcoas operational tax rate. 38 $ Millions 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 2009 (Loss) income from continuing operations before income taxes ($777) ($425) $98 ($394) ($1,498) Benefit for income taxes ($307) ($108) ($22) ($137) ($574) Effective tax rate as reported 39.5% 25.4% (22.4%) 34.8% 38.3% Discrete tax (benefits) provisions: Discrete items ($28) ($82) ($110) Nondeductible Italian losses $98 $98 After-tax restructuring items ($11) ($8) ($19) Subtotal - Discrete tax (benefits) provisions ($39) $0 ($8) $16 ($31) Benefit for income taxes excluding discrete tax (benefits) provisions ($268) ($108) ($14) ($153) ($543) Effective tax rate excluding discrete tax (benefits) provisions 34.5% 25.4% (14.3%) 38.8% 36.2% Charge (benefit) for adjustments to year-to-date effective tax rate N/A $25 ($48) ($10) ($34) |
[Alcoa
Logo] Reconciliation of ATOI to Consolidated Net (Loss) Income Attributable to Alcoa 39 (in millions) 4Q08 2008 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 2009 Total segment ATOI $ 28 $ 2,199 $ (143) $ (132) $ 142 $ (101) $ (234) Unallocated amounts (net of tax): Impact of LIFO 73 (7) 29 39 80 87 235 Interest income 4 35 1 8 (1) 4 12 Interest expense (81) (265) (74) (75) (78) (79) (306) Noncontrolling interests (1) (221) (10) 5 (47) (9) (61) Corporate expense (78) (328) (71) (70) (71) (92) (304) Restructuring and other charges (637) (693) (46) (56) (3) (50) (155) Discontinued operations (262) (303) (17) (142) 4 (11) (166) Other (238) (491) (166) (31) 51 (26) (172) Consolidated net (loss) income attributable to Alcoa $ (1,191) $ (74) $ (497) $ (454) $ 77 $ (277) $ (1,151) (1) On January 1, 2009, Alcoa adopted changes issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board to
consolidation accounting and reporting. These changes, among others, require that minority interests be renamed noncontrolling interests for all
periods presented. |
[Alcoa
Logo] Reconciliation of Adjusted (Loss) Income 40 (in millions) Quarter ended Year ended December 31, 2008 March 31, 2009 June 30, 2009 September 30, 2009 December 31, 2009 December 31, 2008 December 31, 2009 Net (loss) income attributable to Alcoa $ (1,191) $ (497) $ (454) $ 77 $ (277) $ (74) $ (1,151) (Loss) income from discontinued operations (262) (17) (142) 4 (11) (303) (166) (Loss) income from continuing operations attributable to Alcoa (929) (480) (312) 73 (266) 229 (985) Restructuring and other charges 614 46 56 1 49 670 152 Discrete tax items* 65 (28) (82) 84 (110) Special items** 29 (15) (35) 308 29 258 (Loss) income from continuing operations attributable to Alcoa as adjusted $ (221) $ (477) $ (256) $ 39 $ 9 $ 1,012 $ (685) Discrete tax items include the following: a benefit for the reorganization of an equity
investment in Canada (-$71), a charge for the write-off of deferred tax assets related to operations in Italy ($41), a benefit for a tax rate change in Iceland (-$31), and a benefit for the reversal of a valuation allowance on net operating losses in Norway (-$21) for the quarter ended December 31, 2009; a benefit for a tax law change in Canada for the quarter ended March 31, 2009; a charge for
non-cash tax on repatriated earnings for the quarter ended December 31, 2008; and, the previously mentioned item for the quarter ended December 31, 2008 and a charge related to the sale
of the Packaging and Consumer businesses for the year ended December 31, 2008. Special items include the following: charges related to a recent European Commissions ruling on electricity pricing for smelters in Italy ($250), a tax settlement related to an equity investment in Brazil ($24), an estimated loss on excess power at our Intalco smelter ($19), and an environmental accrual for smelters in Italy ($15) for the quarter ended December 31, 2009; a gain on an acquisition in Suriname for the quarter ended September 30, 2009; a gain on the Elkem/SAPA swap
(-$133) and a loss on the sale of Shining Prospect ($118) for the quarter ended March 31, 2009; and, charges for environmental reserve ($26), obsolete inventory ($16), and accounts receivable
reserve ($11), and a refund of an indemnification payment (-$24) for the quarter ended December 31, 2008. ** (Loss) income from continuing operations attributable to Alcoa as adjusted is a
non-GAAP financial measure. Management believes that this measure is meaningful to investors because management reviews the operating results of Alcoa excluding the impacts of restructuring
and other charges, discrete tax items, and special items. There can be no assurances that
additional restructuring and other charges, discrete tax items, and special items will not occur in future periods. To compensate for this limitation, management believes that it is appropriate to consider both (Loss) income from continuing
operations attributable to Alcoa determined under GAAP as well as (Loss) income from continuing
operations attributable to Alcoa as adjusted. *
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[Alcoa
Logo] Reconciliation of Free Cash Flow 41 (in millions) Quarter ended December 31, 2008 March 31, 2009 June 30, 2009 September 30, 2009 December 31, 2009 Cash provided from operations $ 608 $ (271) $ 328 $ 184 $ 1,124 Capital expenditures* (1,017) (471) (418) (370) (363) Free cash flow $ (409) $ (742 ) $ (90) $ (186) $ 761 discontinued operations. (in millions) Two month period ended Ten month period ended Year ended February 28, 2009 December 31, 2009 December 31, 2009 Cash provided from operations $ (708) $ 2,073 $ 1,365 Capital expenditures** (298) (1,324) (1,622) Free cash flow $ 749 $ (257) ** Capital expenditures for the two-month period ended February 28, 2009 and the
ten-month ended period December 31, 2009, include $2 and $3, respectively, related to discontinued operations. * Free Cash Flow is a non-GAAP financial measure. Management believes that this
measure is meaningful to investors because management reviews cash flows
generated from operations after taking into consideration capital expenditures due to the fact that these expenditures are considered necessary to maintain and expand Alcoas asset base and are expected to generate future cash flows from operations. It is important to note that Free Cash Flow does not represent the residual cash flow
available for discretionary expenditures since other non- discretionary
expenditures, such as mandatory debt service requirements, are not deducted from the measure. (1,006) * Capital expenditures for the quarters ended December 31, 2008, March 31, 2009, and June 30, 2009, include
$9, $3, and $2, respectively, related to |
[Alcoa
Logo] Other Reconciliations 42 Net Debt (in millions) Year ended December 31, 2008 December 31, 2009 Change Total debt 1 $ 10,578 $ 9,819 $ (759) Less: Cash and cash equivalents 762 1,481 719 Net Debt $ 9,816 $ 8,338 $ (1,478) Debt-to-Capital ($ in millions) As of December 31, 2009 Debt-to-Capital Hypothetical debt repayment Adjusted Debt-to-Capital Total debt 1 $ 9,819 $ 1,000 $ 8,819 Capital: Total debt $ 9,819 $ 1,000 $ 8,819 Convertible securities of subsidiary 40 40 Total equity 15,552 15,552 Sub-total $ 25,411 $ 1,000 $ 24,411 Debt-to-Capital 38.6% 36.1% 1 2 Net Debt and Debt-to-Capital are non-GAAP financial measures. Management
believes that these measures are meaningful to investors because they
provide further insight to Alcoas liquidity and leverage position.
Management also believes that it is appropriate to consider both Total debt and Debt-to-Capital prior to any adjustment as well as Net Debt and Debt-to-Capital after
adjustments. 2 Total debt includes short-term borrowings, commercial paper, long-term debt due within one year,
and Long- term debt, less amount due within one year from the Consolidated Balance Sheet as
of December 31, 2009 and 2008. Hypothetical debt repayment is based on cash and cash equivalent of $1,481 millions as of December 31,
2009. |
[Alcoa
Logo] Other Reconciliations 43 Days Working Capital ($ in millions) Quarter ended December 31, 2008 December 31, 2009 Change Receivables from customers, less allowances $ 1,883 $ 1,529 Add: Inventories 3,238 2,328 Less: Accounts payable, trade 2,518 1,954 Working Capital $ 2,603 $ 1,903 Sales $ 5,688 $ 5,433 Less: businesses classified as held for sale 69 64 Adjusted Sales 1 $ 5,619 $ 5,369 Days Working Capital 42.6 32.6 (10.0) Days Working Capital = Working Capital divided by (Adjusted Sales/number of days in the
quarter) 1 Cost of Goods Sold % Sales ($ in millions) Quarter ended December 31, 2009 Cost of goods sold (COGS) $ 4,905 Less: Special items and buy/resell activity² 714 Adjusted Cost of goods sold³ $ 4,191 Sales $ 5,433 Less: buy/resell activity² 419 Adjusted Sales³ $ 5,014 COGS % Sales 83.6% 2 3 - Adjusted Sales is a non-GAAP financial measure and is being used to calculate Days
Working Capital to be consistent with the fact that the working capital
components of the businesses classified as held for sale (the Global Foil and Transportation Products Europe businesses) are not included in the Working Capital
amounts above under accounting principles generally accepted in the U.S.
Adjusted Cost of goods sold and Adjusted Sales are non-GAAP financial
measures and are being used to calculate COGS % Sales because management reviews the operating results of Alcoa excluding the impacts of special items, among others, and the aluminum buy/sell activity affects both components by the same
amount. There can be no assurances that special items will not occur in
future periods. Special items include the following: charges related to a recent European Commissions ruling on electricity pricing for smelters in Italy ($250), a tax settlement related to an equity investment in Brazil
($30), and an environmental accrual for smelters in Italy ($15). The
buy/sell activity relates to Alcoas Primary Metals segment. |