UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): July 11, 2008 (July 8, 2008)
ALCOA INC.
(Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter)
Pennsylvania | 1-3610 | 25-0317820 | ||
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) |
(Commission File Number) |
(I.R.S. Employer Identification Number) |
390 Park Avenue, New York, New York | 10022-4608 | |
(Address of Principal Executive Offices) | (Zip Code) |
Office of Investor Relations | 212-836-2674 | |||||
Office of the Secretary | 212-836-2732 |
(Registrants telephone number, including area code)
(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the Registrant under any of the following provisions:
¨ | Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) |
¨ | Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) |
¨ | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) |
¨ | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) |
Item 2.02. | Results of Operations and Financial Condition. |
On July 8, 2008, Alcoa Inc. held its second quarter 2008 earnings conference call, broadcast live by webcast. A transcript of the call and a copy of the slides presented during the call are attached hereto as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, respectively, and are hereby incorporated by reference.
* * * * *
The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, is being furnished in accordance with the provisions of General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K.
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements in this report relate to future events and expectations, and as such constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements also include those containing such words as anticipates, believes, estimates, expects, targets, should, will, will likely result, forecast, outlook, projects or similar expressions. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results, performance or achievements of Alcoa to be different from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements. Alcoa disclaims any intention or obligation, other than as required by applicable law, to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether in response to new information, future events or otherwise. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include: (a) material adverse changes in economic or aluminum industry conditions generally, including global supply and demand conditions and fluctuations in London Metal Exchange-based prices for primary aluminum and other products; (b) material adverse changes in the markets served by Alcoa, including the transportation, aerospace, building and construction, distribution, packaging, industrial gas turbine and other markets; (c) Alcoas inability to mitigate impacts from energy supply interruptions or from unfavorable currency fluctuations or from increased energy, transportation and raw materials costs or other cost inflation; (d) Alcoas inability to achieve the level of cash generation, return on capital improvement, cost savings, or earnings or revenue growth anticipated by management; (e) Alcoas inability to complete its growth projects or achieve efficiency improvements at newly constructed or acquired facilities as planned and by targeted completion dates; (f) unfavorable changes in laws, governmental regulations or policies, foreign currency exchange rates or competitive factors in the countries in which Alcoa operates; (g) significant legal proceedings or investigations adverse to Alcoa, including environmental, product liability, safety and health and other claims; and (h) the other risk factors summarized in Alcoas Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007, Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2008, and other reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Item 9.01. | Financial Statements and Exhibits. |
(d) | Exhibits. |
The following are furnished as exhibits to this report:
99.1 | Transcript of Alcoa Inc. second quarter 2008 earnings call. | |
99.2 | Slides presented during Alcoa Inc. second quarter 2008 earnings call. |
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SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
ALCOA INC. | ||
By: | /s/ J. Michael Schell | |
J. Michael Schell | ||
Executive Vice President Business Development and Law |
Dated: July 11, 2008
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EXHIBIT INDEX
Exhibit No. |
Description | |
99.1 | Transcript of Alcoa Inc. second quarter 2008 earnings call. | |
99.2 | Slides presented during Alcoa Inc. second quarter 2008 earnings call. |
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EXHIBIT 99.1
FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Conference Call Transcript
AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
Event Date/Time: Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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CORPORATE PARTICIPANTS
Greg Aschman
ALCOA Inc. - Director, IR
Chuck McLane
ALCOA Inc. - EVP, CFO
Klaus Kleinfeld
ALCOA Inc. - President, CEO
Bill Christopher
ALCOA Inc. - EVP, President, Engineered Products & Solutions
CONFERENCE CALL PARTICIPANTS
Michael Gambardella
JPMorgan Chase & Co. - Analyst
John Hill
Citigroup - Analyst
Oscar Cabrera
Goldman Sachs - Analyst
Tony Rizzuto
Dahlman Rose & Co. - Analyst
Mark Liinamaa
Morgan Stanley - Analyst
Charles Bradford
Soleil Securities - Analyst
John Redstone
Desjardins Securities - Analyst
John Tumazos
Very Independent Research - Analyst
Joe Thorton
Highfields Capital Management - Analyst
Brian MacArthur
UBS - Analyst
Leo Larkin
Standard & Poors - Analyst
PRESENTATION
Operator
Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Q2 2008 Alcoa earnings conference call. My name is Kim, and I will be your coordinator for today. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. We will be facilitating a question and answer session towards the end of todays conference. (OPERATOR INSTRUCTIONS).
I would now like to turn the presentation over to your host for todays conference, Mr. Greg Aschman, Director of Investor Relations. Please proceed, sir.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Greg Aschman - ALCOA Inc. - Director, IR
Thanks, Kim. Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for attending Alcoas second quarter 2008 analyst conference.
At todays conference, Chuck McLane, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer will review the second quarter financial results. Klaus Kleinfeld, President and Chief Executive Officer, will highlight current market conditions, industry fundamentals, and review Alcoas strategic priorities. Bill Christopher, Executive Vice President and President of Alcoas Engineered Products and Solutions business, will provide an overview of his business, including performance improvements and growth potential.
Before I turn it over to Chuck, I would like to remind you that in discussing the Companys performance today, we have included some forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements relate to future events and expectations, and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Alcoas actual results or actions may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements.
For a summary of the specific risk factors that could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements, please refer to Alcoas Form 10-K for the year ended December 31st, 2007, or Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31st, 2008, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
In our discussion today we have also included some non-GAAP financial measures. You can find our presentation of the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures calculated in accordance with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles, and our related reconciliations on our website at www.alcoa.com, under the Invest section.
At this point, let me turn it over to Chuck.
Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
Okay. Thanks, Greg. Before I move on to the financials, let me first give you a brief synopsis of industry fundamentals. Aluminum prices have continued to show strength, and those higher prices are supported by a host of factors. First, global supply and demand is essentially balanced, even though North America and Europe are experiencing significant weakness in specific end markets, global consumption remains robust.
Secondly, energy costs and input prices have continued to escalate for the industry as a whole. In fact, as you know, energy supply constraints have caused smelter curtailments, as well as postponements to greenfield expansions. And lastly, global megatrends will continue to increase the per capita consumption of aluminum, as well as provide a catalyst for material substitution. With that as a back drop, lets dive into the financial results.
Earnings for the quarter were $546 million, or $0.66 per share, an 80% increase sequentially. All segments contributed to revenue and earnings growth, and each segment had double-digit percent increases in profitability. Our Iceland smelter is complete. It is running at full capacity and will reach mature profitability levels over the next couple of quarters. Russia is showing productivity improvements, and our Engineered Products and Solutions segment achieved record revenue and profitability results.
Cash from operations generated $1 billion in the quarter, as we achieved significant reductions in days working capital. We continue to operate within our target debt-to-cap range, and our Bloomberg ROC stands at 12.1%, excluding the growth projects.
Now lets move to the income statement. Excluding the Packaging divestiture, revenue increased 11% on higher prices and volumes, and total segment ATOI increased 27%. Other income showed a significant improvement sequentially, yet most of the improvement is offset by items in the revenue and cost of goods sold categories.
An example of that is currency translation. Currency translation was a favorable net income impact of $49 million in Other Income, yet it is essentially offset in cost of goods sold, by a negative economic currency impact. For taxes, the operating tax rate for the year is now projected to be 28.6%. Lastly, the combination of higher prices and volumes, led to a significant 80% rise in net income.
Turning next to our sequential bridge, improvements in volume, pricing, and productivity, more than offset input cost increases, as well as the energy disruptions in Australia and Rockdale. Higher LME prices improved results by $238 million, and includes the impact of both Alumina and primary pricing. Higher raw material and energy costs reduced profits by $107 million. Caustic, carbon, natural gas, fuel oil, and transportation costs continue to climb.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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In addition, we had two significant events in the quarter which exacerbated these results. First, the gas explosion on our suppliers pipeline in Western Australia caused an immediate reduction to our production capacity, as well as requiring us to buy alternative fuel at a much higher cost than the natural gas it displaced. Meanwhile, unreliable electricity supplied our Rockdale smelter, forced us to purchase power at market rates frequently during the six week period.
The combination of these two reduced profitability by $39 million in the quarter. We like others have been communicating the rise of energy and raw material costs. Let me take a minute and review some of the specific price changes the industry is experiencing.
We would like to make four major points to this slide. The composition of our cost, the magnitude of the increases, our relative cost position, and actions we are taking. First, the composition of the cost. As a reminder to you, caustic, energy and bauxite account for approximately 65% of our refining costs, while Alumina, energy and carbon, account for approximately 70% of our smelting costs.
Next we would like to point out the sheer magnitude of the increases. From the first half of last year to the first half of this year, these costs have increased between 35% to over 80%. In addition, the U.S. dollar declined versus the market basket of the A dollar, the Real, the C dollar, and the Euro, by approximately 15%.
The third point is our relative cost position. Although external benchmark data has not yet been published for 2007, our own research indicates that the industry cost curves for both refining and smelting have seen double-digit increases in both 2007 and 2006. Through brownfield expansions and operational improvements, we see our position on the refining cost curve improving by approximately 8 points, from 38 to 30 over the last two years, while we maintained our midpoint status on the smelting cost curve.
Lastly, what are we doing to combat these significant increases? We expect both of these cost positions to improve as expansions in Sao Luis and Iceland are fully reflected in our performance in 2008 and 2009. We are also continuing to analyze the total cost of ownership for every one of our strategic raw materials.
Examples include joint ventures, backward integration, specification optimization, and technology improvements, to name a few. And as Klaus will reiterate later, one of our three strategic priorities is disciplined execution. We anticipate significant savings as we identify Best Practices, both internally and externally.
Lets now move to the individual segment results starting with Alumina. Production for the quarter decreased 50,000 tons, primarily as a result of the unexpected gas outage in Western Australia. ATOI in the Alumina segment increased $21 million sequentially. The positive effect of higher prices was reduced by increased cost for caustic, natural gas, and fuel oil, as well as a continued deterioration of the U.S. dollar to the A dollar.
The impact of currency alone reduced profits by $17 million sequentially in this segment. The incremental cost in the quarter arising from the disruption to our gas supply in Western Australia cost the Company approximately $17 million in net income. We are working with our insurers to determine the recoverable amounts for the increased costs and lost revenues, and we will net these reimbursements against any costs in future periods.
As we look to the third quarter, our current estimate is a cost to Alcoa of approximately $45 million in net income. That estimate is dependent upon our gas supplier restoring partial supply midway through the third quarter. We are currently running at 100% of capacity, albeit at a higher cost base.
Now lets move to the primary segment. Production improved 3.5% from the previous quarter, as our new Iceland smelter reached its rated capacity. And, as I said, we are going to continue to see efficiency gains from this operation as we move through the year.
ATOI increased $121 million sequentially, driven by higher prices and volumes. The increase in the realized price in the quarter was $257 per ton, whereas the LME price on a 15-day lag increased $237 per ton. As you can see, we were essentially in-line with the 15-day lag, which is where we stood at the end of the first quarter. Offsets to the higher pricing and volume were increased costs for energy, carbon, and Alumina. The impact of the weaker dollar reduced profits by $18 million on a sequential basis.
In June, we announced the curtailment of 120,000 tons of annual production in Rockdale. This was driven by an increasingly unreliable power supply that created financial and operational hardships to a point where we could not justify continuing full operation. The financial effect in the quarter of higher power costs, employee costs, and lost production was $22 million.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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We intend to bring this production back online, when we are confident that the power supply has been resolved and sustainable. If this outage continues through the third quarter, we estimate the effect to be approximately $22 million.
Moving next to the Flat Rolled Products segment, the Flat Rolled Products segment experienced a 3% reduction in overall shipments. North American industrial products are extremely weak, in advance of entering their normally weak third quarter. In fact, North America sheet and plate shipment levels through May were at their lowest point in this decade.
In Europe, the latest data shows that new orders for sheet and plate products are down 10% compared to 2007. However sequentially profits improved $14 million. Improved Russia results and productivity gains in North America and Europe, helped to offset a negative volume impact of 21 million.
Looking ahead to the third quarter, we would expect a seasonal slowdown between European industrial holidays, and North American Automotive shutdowns. The effects of this typical seasonal effect is evident in the FRP segment results over the last two years, where on average the third quarter ATOI levels were approximately 35% lower than the prior quarter.
Now lets move to the Engineered Products and Solutions segment. EPS continued its outstanding performance by once again posting all-time record revenue and ATOI results. This segment more than offset softness in the North American Automotive market, with market strength in Aerospace, industrial gas turbine, Commercial transportation, and Commercial building and construction.
This combination led to a record revenue of $1.9 billion for the quarter. Additionally, productivity improvements in the Aerospace and forging business, enabled the record ATOI performance of $157 million. To put it in perspective, this quarterly performance would place this segments return on capital in excess of 13% on an annualized basis.
Looking ahead to the third quarter, we would expect a seasonal slowdown between European industrial holidays and the North American Automotive shutdowns. The effects of this typical pattern is evident in EPS results over the last two years, where on average the third quarter ATOI levels were approximately 25 to 30% lower than the prior quarter.
Lets move to the cash flow statement. Cash from operations was $1 billion, driven by higher profits and improved working capital. Significant improvement was achieved in our days working capital outstanding. On a year-over-year basis, days working capital improved 6.4 days, and on a sequential basis the improvement was 5.7 days. Capital expenditures stand at $1.5 billion on a year-to-date basis, and we expect them to total approximately $3.6 billion for the year.
Cash received from minority partners would take the net CapEx down to 3 billion. Growth capital represents 52% of the capital expenditures in the period, and nearly 60% of the growth spend is invested in two projects, the Sao Luis refinery expansion and the Juruti bauxite mine. Debt-to-cap stands at 30.6%, which is very positive given the spending on CapEx, and shares repurchased through the first half of the year.
Lets move to the next slide and summarize the share repurchases. We continue to repurchase shares in the quarter. On a year-to-date basis, we repurchased 18.3 million shares at an average price of $32.97. Total repurchases stand at 10% against our Board-authorized level of up to 25%.
Now that I have covered the financials, I would like to turn the presentation over to Klaus.
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc. - President, CEO
Thank you, Chuck, for providing a very good overview on our second quarter performance. Lets now look at the industry challenges and the opportunities.
On a global basis we see 2008 being another growth year. In our view, aluminum consumption will increase by approximately 8%. And given supply interruptions in China, South Africa, and the U.S., to name a few, we see the global demand supply picture to be generally in balance. The picture varies, however, substantially by industry and region. Lets go through that.
The North American industries in which we participate are declining significantly this year. North American Automotive production is projected to be at its lowest level in two decades. Similarly, heavy truck and trailer production are anticipated to remain below already weak 2007 levels. Commercial building and construction activity is showing signs of the decline that we have been anticipating, due to the slowing business cycle, and also to the tighter credit conditions.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Europe, the end markets in Europe have held up, although signs of softness especially in building and construction and truck and trailer are becoming evident. Automotive production has headed up, and is expected to show some increase for the year. European CO2 regulations are forcing OEMs to look at alternative solutions to comply with recent legislation. This is creating more and more opportunities for light weighting, and here we can leverage our experience and technology.
End markets in China continue to be showing strength. We expect consumption in China to increase approximately 20% this year. We have lowered our projections slightly, due to the earthquake relief efforts. But the projected increased activities in building and construction, and more applications and transportation related areas, such as auto and bus platforms.
Looking at Aerospace and industrial gas turbines, IGT, in general we forecast continued global strength. In the Aerospace industry, however, we do see marginally softer demand over the remainder of the year for some specific applications. We believe the 787 and A-380 scheduled revisions will cause inventory adjustments for both fasteners as well as engine components, as the supply chain is well-stocked at this point.
Additionally, the engine side will see supply chain adjustments to account for lower spare demands caused primarily by fleet reductions. We do expect increased build rates for single-aisle planes, and we remain bullish for the next several years, even if we see some order deferrals or cancellations as new platform build rates increase.
On industrial gas turbines, demand from Europe and the Middle East continue to strengthen. North America is also forecast to grow, fueled by the decrease in capacity margin and increasing spare sales. In summary, while sluggish end markets in North America and Europe negatively affect our midstream and downstream volume potential, we see the overall aluminum industry generally in balance, for supply/demand position for the year.
Lets talk about some industry fundamentals. Aluminum continues to combine a lot of characteristics, like light weight, high strength, durable, highly conductive, corrosion resistant, easily formable, recyclable, and last but not least, a great relative price compared to other materials. In fact, given these very unique characteristics, aluminum is increasingly the material of choice in numerous industries and applications.
Let me give you some examples for that. In the transportation business, light weight without compromising on strength provides obvious advantages, like fuel efficiency and safety, as well as driving dynamics. We are continuously invited to participate in the design of new auto, truck, and bus platforms. For the Packaging business, logistics costs, robust handling, good consumer appeal, as well as high recyclability are crucial, that is why aluminum is highly valued here.
The durable high strength and corrosive resistant aspects of aluminum make it a natural fit for those looking for maintenance free and aesthetically pleasing surface finishes, as well as the high recyclability. This is especially important in the building and construction, and the more Consumer oriented markets, such as Consumer Electronics.
And also the Defense industry reaps benefits from aluminum, almost since the day of aluminums invention, with increasing applications. These examples illustrate the fundamentals behind the predicted growth, and make us confident about the future. We project that demand will grow at 6% annual rate over the next decade. The growth will be fueled by Asia, particularly China, with an anticipated growth rate of 9% over the next decade. One could see this as a rather conservative estimate, and reflects only half the rate experienced over the last 10 years. One thing is also sure.
Serving this additional 30 million tons of aluminum demand will not be easy. Access to reliable power supply and quality bauxite reserves will be the most critical factors, as demonstrated almost on a daily basis, and as we have seen again in the last basically 48 hours. Energy demand surges in most regions of the world. The ability to secure clean affordable energy is increasingly an issue the industry will continue to encounter.
This year alone, the industry had nearly 1 million metric tons of capacity curtailed, due to energy or infrastructure related issues. These have spanned the globe from China to South Africa to the United States. Many in the industry have seen natural gas as an efficient and relatively clean energy source for new smelters. Natural gas was once seen as stranded energy. With the emergence of liquid natural gas, it became transportable. This has made it much more difficult to ensure supply agreements of natural gas, that are secure enough to base long-term investment decisions on it.
Finally, there have been several smelter delays announced over the recent months. A common theme among all of them has been the inability to secure necessary economical, long-term power supply, to justify the significant investment. As Chuck mentioned, our Fjardaal smelter is operating at full capacity, and this happened now less than a year after opening. While we have efficiencies yet to gain, this has been a very
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Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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successful project, and it will help us with our operating cost position, and support our profitable growth in the upstream business. Our success there gives us real confidence in other projects, which we are currently evaluating.
During the quarter we have made notable progress in three areas, and I would like to run you through the highlights. Our relationships with the Icelandic community can be seen by the national and local government agreements, to extend our MOU for a second smelter in Iceland, most likely powered by geothermal energy. Feasibility studies should be completed by September 2009.
In Greenland, the Parliament endorsed moving to a second phase of a possible smelter construction, and funding studies covering economic, social, and environmental aspects of the proposed smelter. These studies will be conducted throughout the next 18 months.
From the mining and refining perspective, we are working with Vietnams premier mineral development company. We are jointly reviewing the feasibility of bauxite mining and refining in the region. These projects together with several others are in the feasibility stage. Each one has a stage-gate attached with specific decision-making criteria. We consider aspects like margins, construction costs, and various risks.
You can be absolutely assured that we will make our decision based upon one criteria only, our confidence in creating shareholder value with the respective investment. While our competitors are taking projects offline, we are moving forward. A lot of this is founded on consistently demonstrating a commitment to our communities and employees. We are committed to safety, the environment, and our communities. This commitment comes in actions every day, not just work.
Our safety record is truly world class, and in 2007 alone, The Alcoa Foundation and the Company combined provided $50 million in grants to the communities in which we operate. Furthermore, we have taken leadership position in sustainability issues throughout the world. All of this did not go unnoticed, and has been recognized again this year by several organizations, as depicted in this slide. Ensuring and demonstrating that we live our values every day as a strong factor to make Alcoa worldwide the partner of choice.
The energy situation, along with the inflationary pressures on many materials, has increased the cost of alumina refining and aluminum smelting by 20 to 35% between 2005 and 2007. And we would expect a similar rate increase this year. Alumina pricing has doubled over the last three years, responding to the increased operating costs and the strong supply/demand fundamentals. The forward curve reflects long-term forward prices that have increased over 40%, a significant change from just a year ago.
This reflects the input cost pressures, the supply challenges, as well as the increasing demand. Our strong growth pipeline and our enviable mining as well as refining position, establish a solid foundation from which to move forward.
One thing you can be sure, we will take on the challenges and turn them into opportunities. Our three strategic priorities reflect this. Profitable growth, disciplined execution, turning ideas faster into cash, and ensuring the Alcoa advantage as a value generator.
I continue to be encouraged by the energy and passion of the employees that I meet in all of our businesses all around the world. They are engaged in these strategic priorities. They are working hard toward well thought out three year plans, setting goals for each of the individual businesses, to be among the best in the industry, and they are specifying programs and actions how to reach these. By the end of this year, we intend to have a three year financial target by business that we will publicize. So much on the strategic priorities.
Chuck mentioned that our Engineered Products and Solutions business EPS, has produced another record setting quarter in terms of revenue and profit, and continues to drive productivity improvements to the bottom line. And we believe there continues to be significant profitable growth opportunities in these businesses that are included in EPS. Therefore, I have invited on this call, Bill Christopher, who is our Group President for Engineered Products & Solutions, and Bill will provide a deep dive on his businesses.
Bill, the floor is all yours.
Bill Christopher - ALCOA Inc. - EVP, President, Engineered Products & Solutions
Thank you, Klaus. There are three things I would like to cover today. I would like to start with an overview of the businesses that are inside the group. I would like to talk about the improvements we have driven across the group, and how they contributing to the profit growth we delivered. Finally, I want to talk about the opportunities I see moving forward, to continue our track record of improvements and profitable growth for the Company.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Our group is a diversified industrial products portfolio, with leading market positions in Aerospace, commercial transportation, energy, non-residential building and construction markets. I will talk about each of the businesses a little bit. Our Fastening Systems business is a combination of two of the best brands in the industry in Huck and Fairchild. It is #1 in specialty fastener Aerospace systems globally, and offers the broadest range of proprietary and patented products.
Our power and propulsion business is a combination of Howmet investment castings, and our Aerospace and industrial forged products. Howmet has the #1 position in air foils for both Aerospace and industrial gas turbines in the world, and on the forging side, they are the leading producer of aluminum structural forgings, and aircraft wheel and brake.
Our wheel and transportation products combine our wheel business and what was our transportation systems business, which is where our space frame technology resides. Our wheel business is the #1 supplier of aluminum truck wheels globally, and the most recognizable brand. On the building and construction systems side, we participate in the non-residential segment focusing on the exterior of buildings, curtain walls, windows, entry systems, and our Reynolux and Reynobond architectural panel products.
Our Kawneer North America business is the #1 supplier to the Commercial building exterior systems in North America, and they are recognized for Best-in-Class customer service. Finally, our electrical and electronic solutions business, EDS, this was formerly our AFL business, they make electronic distribution systems, and electronics for the automotive, heavy truck, and specialty vehicles. One of the areas we focused hard on in growing has been our position in heavy truck, and we are now the #1 supplier in North America to the heavy truck segment.
Let me talk a little bit about where we have been. I believe we have delivered a strong track record of profitable growth, driven by three things. One is sales gain, two is productivity growth, and three is aggressively managing our portfolio. On the sales side, when you adjust our sales increase for the divestitures and exits that we have had, and for the impact on pricing of raw material pass-through that we have, we have had $850 million of real organic growth.
$400 million of that came from being well-positioned in markets that were growing in Aerospace, IGT, and in building and construction. However, in each of the businesses we have been able to deliver significant share growth contributing $450 million of additional sales. Thats been driven by new products, regional expansions, and driving the penetration of our current offerings like our truck wheels around the world.
To give you an example, new product development is essential to our businesses. Over the timeframe 2005 to 2007, we introduced 140 new products, and they delivered $250 million of incremental sales in 2007, with a lot of significant runway yet to go. Three of our businesses have delivered double-digit annual growth over a five-year period. Our Fastening Systems business, Power and Propulsion, and Building and Construction systems.
On the profit and growth side, what has driven this is our ability to consistently deliver productivity in excess of inflation. That has allowed us to expand our margin to sales by 36% over this period. One of the parental advantages we bring to the businesses in my group is the Alcoa Business System, which is our Lean implementation.
The system was developed in the capital intense portion of the Company, smelting, rolling, and extrusion. We have been able to take and adopt that system for the capital intensive portion of our businesses. We have adapted the tools and methods on the more labor intense side of our businesses, and we are delivering some very significant productivity improvements.
One of the best examples I can give is in our Howmet investment castings business in Whitehall, Michigan, our largest casting facility. Over a two-year period of aggressively implementing our Lean methodology, we increased the capacity of that facility by 30%, meeting very much needed capacity for our customer demand increases with almost no capital.
We have also invested in cost advantaged positions around the world. We have opened two fastener facilities in China, one to service the Aerospace market, and one to service the industrial products markets. We have also expanded capacity in fasteners and investment castings in Mexico and Hungary, and we expanded our wheel production capacity.
We are also bringing online two great facilities in Russia. For Aerospace, forgings, and industrial products, our Samara facility will have great capability and an outstanding cost position. And in Belaya Kalitva, we are bringing on wheel production as we speak.
Finally, we have aggressively addressed our portfolio. Over the last two years we have exited $300 million worth of non-strategic positions, most of which were in the automotive segment. We have invested in Aerospace expansions at investment casting and in fasteners, and we have
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Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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invested in the global wheels growth. When you pull all that together, we have been able to move our portfolio in 2003, from being 40% Automotive sales, down to by the end of this year I expect it to be at 20%.
As Chuck and Klaus both mentioned, we have been able to continue that trend of significant improvement through the first half of this year, delivering record results. Our sales are up 6%. And inside of that, though, weve had good market growth and share growth in our IGT, building and construction and Aerospace positions, offsetting very weak North American Truck and Automotive markets.
Our productivity improvements have been accelerating. Our margin to sales are up 19% year-over-year. Last year we announced aggressive restructuring in our EES business. Those actions are on time and delivering the cost improvements we expected to get, and our lower cost facilities are continuing to ramp up to capacity.
On the portfolio side, not only have we gotten the advantage of the exits and divestitures that we have done, but we have some very, very cost and capital efficient brownfield expansions that are beginning to pay off. In our Howmet business, as customer demand was increasing dramatically, beyond our ability to deliver capacity through ABS, we have invested $20 million in growing capacity in that business. That $20 million will deliver over $120 million of additional capacity.
We start now and shift to moving our look forward. As Klaus mentioned, we have three major strategic priorities for us. Profitable growth, and that will be driven by our positions in growing markets, plus major trends that favor our capability to develop new products, and will continue our productivity improvements.
Second area is leveraging the parental advantage. This is especially true in technology in leveraging our corporate procurement capability, and in leveraging our corporate business system. Two things our corporate business systems do for us, it allows me to keep my business unit leadership focused on markets, customers, products and productivity, and the second is, it gives us tremendous overhead efficiencies in our businesses.
Finally, while we have established the culture and capability for execution across these businesses, we are going to continue to build on that and accelerate our ability to deliver cash to the bottom line.
Let me move and talk about some of the markets that we are in, and the outlook that we have. I will start with Aerospace, because that represents 35% of our portfolio. While Klaus talked about, we see some short-term softening in market demand, we are still very bullish on the cycle. When we look at large commercial aircraft, greater than 100 passenger build rate, we expect about 920 aircraft to be built this year.
When you add to that the announced increases by Airbus and Boeing to increase single-aisle production, and ramp-up of the A-380 and 787, we see continued expansion through this cycle. They have a seven year backlog, which gives it some sustaining power. And the A-380 and 787 are especially important to us in fasteners and investment castings, as these are new programs, with new products and proprietary products for us. So very, very strong outlook through 2011.
Our heavy truck positions, we have in four of our five businesses across my group. We will continue to see heavy truck production increasing, especially driven by the BRIC countries. But beyond that, we are also at a low point in the North American market right now. We expect to see that begin to recover in 2009, 10 and 11. When you combine the market recovery, along with the new economics of the close to $5 a gallon of diesel fuel in North America, these things play to our ability to deliver lightweight and durable solutions to the industry, that increase payload, and the fuel efficiency of heavy trucks.
The other area we have for significant growth remains in our truck wheel business. When you look at the penetration of our aluminum truck wheels in North America, it now stands at 55%. But, in Europe, it is 24%. And in Japan, 15%. So substantial runway for additional growth, and that is going to be accelerating, because of the economics of higher energy prices.
On the non-residential part of our business in building and construction systems, global insight continues to forecast accelerated increases in non-residential structure spend. That is giving us opportunities for significant expansion opportunities in our systems business in the Middle East, Russia, and India. And also, we are combining that with a major trend for energy efficiency, it is allowing us to develop new products, that not only are more thermally efficient, but also integrating those products into exterior systems, that will provide higher energy efficiency as a system, than the individual products will by themselves, giving us continued growth prospects for our building and construction systems business.
The other market that we are in fact very excited about is the energy market. We play in this market in two different places, first in industrial gas turbines. If you look at the heavy duty turbine builds, there has been a moderate increase from 2003 to 2007. But we are now starting to witness a
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Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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very accelerated increase in new turbine builds, driven by Europe and the Middle East. On top of that, we are starting to see the U.S. increasing activity in this area.
Power generated by natural gas in the U.S. increased 20% 2008 over 2007, and 66% over 2006. Thats not all driven by just new equipment installations, but it is also showing the capacity that was installed during the peak of 2001 and 2002, is now operating at capacity, and that is very good for our spares demand in our investment casting business.
The other area we are spending a lot of time on right now is Oil & Gas, specifically on the exploration side. The chart on the upper right hand corner shows growth in active and drilling and production rigs globally. But it is not just about drilling activity, it is about going after reserves that are farther and deeper away. Existing steel technology limits the range and depth, and we are developing aluminum systems that can cost effectively extend the capacity of existing drilling infrastructure. I am going to talk more about this specifically later on in the presentation.
New products have been a very, very big part of our growth to date. They will continue to be moving forward. Our current portfolio of products that are in our pipeline, we expect to deliver $1.3 billion of sales when they are at full maturity, both in the markets we are in today, and in new and adjacent markets. This is not by chance.
We use a very disciplined approach in every one of our businesses, to review product positions and the pipeline annually. We identify regional preferences, new market trends, and we combine strong underlying technology with strong customer relationships, and a core competency in application engineering to deliver new products.
I would like to talk about a few of these. One of those in industrial gas turbines is a new high gradient single crystal casting technology, that will extend the life of airfoils significantly in the hot section of those engines. We are just now starting with our first Commercial applications. We expect this to grow significantly as we move forward.
On the ground transportation side, we have products that are coming out like our AVDC door system, and the fifth wheel, which connects a tractor to a trailer, that both take weight out and improve energy efficiency for increased payload. We are also developing Fastening Systems, that are fasteners combined with installation tools, that are significantly reducing the assembly time for our customers in building trucks and trailers.
And finally, on the electronics side, we are investing in power management technology, that will allow our customers to either increase the content or the efficiency, or reduce weight of their harnesses. We are also working on a new starting system that has the potential to reduce up to two batteries, at 45 pounds each, in each truck. I have talked about our position in Aerospace on the Fastening Systems for the A-380 and the 787. It is also worth noting that Howmet has a majority position on every new engine program that will be coming out in the foreseeable future.
I would like to now move on and specifically talk about two areas, and that is Oil & Gas and Defense. The chart here shows the landscape of exploration drilling equipment, and this is a great example of leveraging capability across the entire company, not just my group, to develop aluminum systems that can really make a difference in the industry.
We are taking unique capabilities in large press extrusions and forgings, we are combining that with our aluminum materials and joining technology at the Tech Center, and our depth of experience in the Aerospace industry in structural performance, modeling, and corrosion management. We take all those and put them together, and we are developing aluminum drill pipe systems and riser systems, that will extend the capability or depth or range of existing equipment, by up to 50%.
To give you a perspective on that value proposition, today if you wanted to purchase a new rig that would allow you to go to the depths you would like to be able to drill to, it is $500 million to $1 billion, and it is a four year lead time. By contrast, we believe we have a system in the aluminum riser system which connects the ship to the ocean floor, that can extend the range of that ship by 40 to 50%. So if you are limited to 6,000 feet, youll be able to go up to 9,000 feet, for 40 to $50 million and be able to do that in six to nine months. We think this is a compelling value proposition for the industry, an exciting area of growth that you will see us talking more about in the future.
I think another area that represents the Alcoa advantage at work is the Joint Strike Fighter. This starts with having strong customer relationships and credibility in the market, so you get a seat at the table not only during early design, but I think everybody is aware, this is a program that has rather significant weight challenges midway through the design of this program.
Because of our relationships with the customer and our credibility, we got a seat at the table to offer up potential solutions. In this case, we found we were able to take an alloy 7085 that was developed at our Tech Center for Commercial Aerospace applications in sheet and plate structures. And adapt that for forging applications, and combining that with our unique capability to do very, very large closed die forgings in Cleveland,
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Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Ohio. The 7085 alloy allows us to go to thicknesses that we are able to take the bulkhead forgings to one piece, save about 200 pounds in part weight, when you take the system weight over 400 pounds for the structure, which was a material and important weight savings for the program.
The other thing that was key to this was our speed to market. For us to be able to make a mid-design change, and get from design to prototype inside the timeframe, we had to cut our production cycle in half, from 48 weeks at the industry standard to 24 weeks. This program when we combined with that our position on the engines and investment castings, and our fasteners that we developed specifically for this program, will at full run rate deliver $130 million in sales for our group, and it also will ramp up and come on about the same time we anticipate the commercial build cycle to start to weaken, helping to mitigate the impact across our group.
We are now extending this capability into land based systems, specifically right now in the Joint Light Tactical Vehicle, or the JLTV, and are working with people on designing options for that also. Disciplined execution is going to continue to allow us to drive productivity gains as we move forward. For all the progress we have made in putting our Lean manufacturing system in place, there is still significant runway, both in productivity and capacity improvements.
We have got a great foundation of cost advantaged positions in Hungary, China, Russia, and Mexico, and we have the ability to grow upon those now. We still have some very, very capital efficient expansions that we can make, as we continue to drive this growth. We believe we can double the capacity of our Belaya Kalitva wheel production for less than $5 million. And we have great brownfield opportunities to increase our industrial gas turbine investment casting capacity in Hampton, Virginia.
We will continue to leverage the cost efficient Alcoa business system, and we will be addressing the structural changes in the North American Automotive market demand in our EES capacity. Most of that will be done early in the third quarter of this year. So in summary, I think we have built a strong track record of improvement, based on disciplined execution. We like our positions in growing markets, and in complex products and processes, because these give us great opportunities for product differentiation and cost reductions.
From a priority perspective, we are dealing with a very target rich environment on the growth side, so our focus right now is making sure that we adequately resource these, and we have a disciplined deployment and execution to hit those growth targets. We will continue to manage our portfolio. We will move our Automotive portfolio to advantaged positions, and restructure to the realities of new demand patterns.
We will make sure that we understand and take advantage of major market trends, and capitalize on those megatrends, specifically in transport and the energy end of the business, and building and construction. And finally, we have some great opportunities in our asset base, to optimize our global presence, and to continue to take advantage of efficient brownfield expansions.
Thank you.
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc. - President, CEO
Thank you very much, Bill. I hope this gives you all out there who are listening a little more color on our opportunities and how we are driving all of these three strategic priorities, profitable growth, Alcoa advantage, rigorous execution through all of our businesses, and as Bill just said, there is a lot of profitable growth we can generate from the EPS businesses, and we are absolutely determined to doing so.
Also, I want to make one other point here. To avoid any misunderstanding, all of our actions are driven by a clear commitment to generate value. We look at all opportunities in all of our businesses. The reason why we asked Bill to be here is because we wanted to give you a little bit of color on EPS, and this was just one example among many others that we have inside of Alcoa.
So with this, I think we should open the line for questions and answers.
QUESTION AND ANSWER
Operator
(OPERATOR INSTRUCTIONS) . Please stand by for your first question. Your first question comes from the line of Michael Gambardella. Please proceed,
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Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Michael Gambardella - JPMorgan Chase & Co. - Analyst
Yes, good evening. Couple of questions for Chuck. One, in the second quarter there was about $155 million positive improvement in Other Income from the first quarter. Can you go through some of the highlights of how that improved, and also how the tax rate was somewhat lower?
Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
Sure, Mike. I briefly alluded to it when I talked about it, but all but $30 million of the improvements there are offsets to that in other places on the income statement, both in revenue, cost of goods sold, and GASE. One of them is currency. There is a currency translation piece in Other Income, but if you looked at the economic piece impact, you would see on our bridge that the net currency favorable for the quarter is 17.
There are differences between metal activity between the businesses, the downstream businesses, and the upstream businesses, that are offsetting trading positions, and they have zero impact on the net between the corporation, and then there is some company-owned life insurance offsets, because of deferred compensation, which are offsets as well. So even though there is a big improvement there, most of it is offset between three other categories on the income statement.
And the tax rate is, to get to the 28.6 on an annualized basis, the second quarter was lower than the first quarter. Each quarter we do a look at an annual rate for the Company, based on income by jurisdictions, and we make our most recent estimate. It just so happened to be that looking at an annual run rate now of 28.6, that we had a lower tax rate in the quarter to bring that on a level basis.
Michael Gambardella - JPMorgan Chase & Co. - - Analyst
Okay. But the other income, you said is 30 million. There is a positive 30 million in the quarter?
Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
Right. Yes.
Michael Gambardella - JPMorgan Chase & Co. - Analyst
Is that incrementally from the second quarter, because the second quarter was an expense. Or is that just in, the first quarter was an expense. Second quarter is a big income. Is the 30 million just in the ?
Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
You asked for the change between the two. The 30 million is the change between the two, net impact.
Michael Gambardella - JPMorgan Chase & Co. - Analyst
So the whole of the 155.
Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
Yes, 30 of the 155.
Michael Gambardella - JPMorgan Chase & Co. - Analyst
Thank you.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
You are welcome.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of John Hill. Please proceed, sir.
John Hill - Citigroup - Analyst
Thanks. Thank you for a very informative presentation across the board. There is a fair bit of detail in the presentation about input cost escalation, caustic soda, coke, freight, gas, et cetera. Yet these are couched in industry terms. Of these industry cost pressures, roughly how much showed up in second quarter, and how much kind of pent-up lag effect increased cost can we expect to see as we go ahead?
Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
John, if you look at, just to refer you back to something on a sequential basis, you can see that we had cost increases from the first quarter excluding currency of $51 million for energy, and $56 million for other raw material costs. And we tried to put it, yes, they were market indices we were using, and you can, without giving the specifics of what we have incurred in each one of those categories, we tried to put in perspective on what we have done on the cost curve.
So we looked at our position, and tried to give you our relative position in refining that we moved down 8 points, from 38 percentile on the cost curve to 30, even in light of the industry receiving all of these cost increases, and in smelting we stayed about at the midpoint, based on the number of smelters we have all the way across the cost curve. We also made reference to the fact that Iceland, once it is mature, its profitability level and its cost, should help us to leverage that down from where we are at the midpoint.
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc. - President, CEO
The same thing, if I may add on the refinery side, would hold true for Sao Luis and the brownfield expanders that we are doing.
John Hill - Citigroup - Analyst
So the response is that the vast majority of the increase in the market price of these inputs is already reflected in the cost structure of the Company, and there will be minimal further escalation, should these remain at current levels?
Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
No, these will depend on market factors. Is fuel oil going to increase in the third quarter over where it is today? Is natural gas going to increase in the third quarter? The costs that are on that market basis right there that are shown first half to first half, yes, those costs are in our results.
John Hill - Citigroup - Analyst
Great color. And then if I
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Oscar Cabrera. Please proceed.
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Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Oscar Cabrera - Goldman Sachs - Analyst
Yes, good afternoon, gentlemen. My question has to do with your plants and expansions on your smelting capacity. Basically, primary is one of the most important ATOI contributors. I just want to get an idea. Two things, here. First, are you planning to be balanced in terms of your aluminum and Alumina production? Secondly, can you give us an idea of what type of increases in capacity, and your aim in terms of the cash cost curve going forward? Assuming we stay somewhat constant, where do you want to be? What is the target?
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc. - President, CEO
Well, first of all, and you know that very well, we are currently long on Alumina and that has been traditionally a situation that we have been in. With our expanders that we are doing in Juruti, and at other places, this situation will most likely not change significantly, and at the same time, I mean, we aim on the cost curve side, I mean, and Chuck just said it, I mean, what we have been doing on the refining side has been very, very good achievement. We have moved from the 38 percentile on the cost curve down to the 30 percentile, and as I just said, I mean, Sao Luis, the expansion that we are currently having under way, will most likely move us even further down.
On the smelting side, we are kind of at the midpoint, and we believe that when you look at the smelting cost curve, and the factors that are driving the cost of aluminum, I mean, you kind of have a natural floor of the LME price, with the structural increases that we have been seeing there.
And at the same time, I mean, you have seen that also in the last quarter, we have been very nicely managing price, volume, and productivity, to allow basically to offset, to offset the cost inflation in that period. And the very fact I gave you a little color on some of those projects that are currently in the stage of feasibility, and I think that is pretty unique. I mean, we use the same slides that we showed you last time in that we have been using also in investor presentations, and the very fact that you see, I mean the projects there are absolutely real, and we are moving them further, and we are pretty fastly moving them further. I mean at Greenland and Iceland, which are particularly interesting because they are based not only on stranded power, but on very green power, I think a very important factor going forward, and we believe that this gives us, first of all, it is in line with the values of Alcoa.
Secondly, it gives us a great advantage going forward, and the very fact that we could secure to move those projects into the next phase is a good thing. Vietnam is pretty much the same thing. I mean, that doesnt, youre around long enough, to understand that we are not saying that each of those projects will come to fruition. All we can do at this point in time is move it into the next phase. I think that is great achievement.
Oscar Cabrera - Goldman Sachs - Analyst
Granted. Are you looking to just stabilize costs, as we see energy prices increase, or are you looking to go down the cost curve? What is the strategy?
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc. - President, CEO
Could you speak up a little bit?
Oscar Cabrera - Goldman Sachs - Analyst
I was saying is the strategy to stabilize costs, or is it to go down the cash cost curve?
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc. - President, CEO
Well, we are always trying to go down the cost curve. I mean, that is absolutely clear. As I outlined, I mean, on the refining side we have achieved that in a very, very nice way, going 8 percentage points down on the cost curve.
On the smelting cost curve, you just have to see that we have a very, very large system, and to move the system, I mean percentage point-wise is much more difficult, obviously, because we have a pretty strong variation, and I think you outlined already that Iceland is going to bring us further down on the cost curve.
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Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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At the same time, you have to see and I showed that one slide, that the cost curve itself is moving upwards, which is very much dependent on where the oil price, and all the other significant input cost factors are going to go. But it is very, very clear, our goal is to move down the cost curve, absolutely.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Tony Rizzuto. Please proceed, sir.
Tony Rizzuto - Dahlman Rose & Co. - Analyst
Thanks very much, good afternoon, good evening, gentlemen. I have actually got two questions here. On Slide 42 where you have your investments in Russia, Bohai and Kunshan, you seem to be generating greater losses, yet your comments were talking about productivity improvements. I wonder if you could just describe the disconnect there, maybe help me to understand that better?
Then a question on Commercial Aerospace. You alluded to marginally softer demand, and some dislocation in the supply chain for engines and fasteners. Do you expect the same for heat-treat, sheet, and plate?
Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
I will take the first one, Tony. How are you?
Tony Rizzuto - Dahlman Rose & Co. - Analyst
I am doing well, Chuck, thank you very much.
Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
Actually, we also started breaking out Russia, the Russia and China and growth on the Flat Rolled Products, and if you looked at it on a sequential basis, it is an improvement and year-over-year it is negative.
Really what you have to look at that is a little different right now is Bohai is just getting into a startup mode, where it is bringing people, where it is bringing people online, and bringing up the equipment. So there was an improvement in Russia, and on a sequential basis there was an improvement overall, but you will start to see Bohai entering some startup costs, and I will let Bill take the other one on the commercial piece.
Tony Rizzuto - Dahlman Rose & Co. - Analyst
Thanks, Chuck.
Bill Christopher - ALCOA Inc. - EVP, President, Engineered Products & Solutions
Tony, on the Commercial Aerospace side, the two big drivers to the softness we see going forward are driven first by the 787 delay in the ramp-up. There was a lot of demand for product in the first half of this year for supply chain. And that really didnt impact substantially the sheet and plate side of the business, because it is predominantly a composite aircraft. While they do have some content on it, it is not nearly to the extent we have on fasteners.
The second part is spare demand in the jet engine market, which wouldnt impact sheet and plate either. Generally I would expect sheet and plate and extrusions to perform pretty much in-line with the build rates. And as the build rates expand, they will be much less impacted by the same things we are seeing in the jet engine supply chain adjustments, and impact of the 787.
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Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Tony Rizzuto - Dahlman Rose & Co. - Analyst
Bill, that is great. Thank you very much.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Mark Liinamaa. Please proceed.
Mark Liinamaa - Morgan Stanley - Analyst
Yes, good evening, guys. You highlighted in your outlook 20% typical seasonal weakness in the downstream segments. Would it be fair to expect any offset because of performance improvements in the downstream?
Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
Well, we looked at that and took that into consideration, Mark, to tell you the truth and I would say that would, there will be some underlying productivity improvements in there, but when you are looking at the weakness in the markets in both North America and Europe right now, that truly are weaker than just the normal seasonal decline, and will eat up that productivity.
Mark Liinamaa - Morgan Stanley - Analyst
Okay. Thanks. And just if you could comment, there has been some trade press articles about shortening up payment terms with customers. Is there any read across into things that you are seeing in the U.S. market that could be weaker than as discussed?
Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
Well, that was done for, that was in the primary side in North America, and that was done for some very specific reasons, because the credit situation has changed, and if you looked at the freight increases, we didnt think the Midwest premium was taking that into consideration, nor the transaction price, the interest rate underlying the transaction price, and plus if you looked primary, P1020 as priced in other regions, we basically were just getting in on an even basis. We think that is eventually going to be accepted in the marketplace.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Charles Bradford. Please proceed, sir.
Charles Bradford - Soleil Securities - Analyst
Hi, good afternoon. There has been some comments in the trade press about the smelter in Iceland producing a fair bit of offgrade material. Is that just the standard startup that you would normally expect?
Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
That is right. When we talked about Iceland being at full capacity right now, they have reached 100% capacity in this quarter, but as part of the startup costs there will be some offgrade metal. There are maintenance issues in getting some of the supplies up to speed right away, as well as the training that takes place on the people. That is why we said even though it is at 100% capacity it probably wont reach mature profitability levels for a couple of quarters.
Charles Bradford - Soleil Securities - Analyst
Can you talk about what the difference would be between the mature level of profitability, and what you achieved in the second quarter?
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Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
Not specifically for one plant, no.
Charles Bradford - Soleil Securities - Analyst
Thank you.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of John Redstone. Please proceed, sir.
John Redstone - Desjardins Securities - Analyst
Good evening, gentlemen. Two quick questions on the Flat Rolled Products. Coming back to Tony
Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
Could you speak up a little bit John, we are having a hard time hearing you.
John Redstone - Desjardins Securities - - Analyst
On the Flat Rolled Products, yes, coming back to Tony Rizzutos comments, for Russia, China and other, certainly the ATOI is improving. But I was wondering if you would give us some guidance, when you expect to actually see profitable results from those operations?
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc. - President, CEO
Right. Well, I mean, look, on Russia, we obviously see that there is significant improvement in 2008 compared to 2007. But we remain in a loss position as you correctly pointed out. I mean at the same time, you have to see what is the general perspective on this investment, which we have always considered a growth investment in a market like Russia, that we continue to be optimistic about.
We just visited the plants again the week before last. We took the whole Board there for the second time, to see the progress there with their own eyes. It is very clear in Russia we have unique assets. I mean in the way of the physical location and the capabilities, but I mean, at this point in time, not coming fully out there. I mean, when you look at the Packaging side, I mean, we are increasing the canned sheet production, and we are making good results there.
We were putting the new end and cap line in there and we will be starting to go online, and the demand, the Packaging demand for aluminum cans is increasing in Russia, continues to increase in Russia, and you see that also the can makers are investing pretty substantially over in Russia.
We have the worlds largest extrusion press. We have the worlds largest forging press. A couple of examples were given here in Bills presentation. The capabilities that we have in oil and gas, and some of that unique capability comes through exactly those things that we have in Russia, and also the experience that we have in Russia.
Same thing holds true when it goes to the Aerospace market. Aerospace market, not just the Russian Aerospace market, but the worldwide Aerospace market, we have good capabilities there, particularly in Belaya Kalitva, where we are finishing the upgrade of the Aerospace capabilities. We have just gone through a major upgrade of our hot mill in Samara. We have received the qualification from Boeing. We have signed a Memorandum Of Understanding with the United Aircraft Corporation in Russia.
So all of that is really going into the right direction. We are about 75% complete with the total capital investments over in Russia. And we see that the Russian society as it becomes wealthy, I mean along the line of what we see pretty much in all of the societies, continues to consume more aluminum.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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So we believe we are at a very good spot, and if you now compare this, and just see what the capabilities of the Russian facilities once they will be fully established are, and then you compare it to how much money we are making with facilities, that are comparable to this in established markets, like Europe and the U.S., you will be seeing that those businesses are earning well above cost of capital, and as we continue to believe that the Russian market is going to be growing, we also see no structural reason why this will not turn out to be a positive development, and eventually come to a good cost of capital or earnings.
John Redstone - Desjardins Securities - Analyst
Well, put it to you this way then. Given that the Russian demand seems to be growing on track around double-digit, maybe as much as 11% a year, could we perhaps see positive numbers next year?
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc. - President, CEO
Well, look, I mean, we are working as hard as we can to get things online, and I mean, we are there to create value as fast as we can. The management tension is there at a maximum. We will clearly do our utmost best to get it to the best possible level.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of John Tumazos. Please proceed, sir.
John Tumazos - Very Independent Research - Analyst
John Tumazos, Very Independent Research. Could you explain, please, the $57 million credit item on the income statement in the business restructuring category? Thank you. I am sorry, I was looking at last year.
Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc. - President, EVP, CFO
That is last year, John.
John Tumazos - Very Independent Research - Analyst
I am sorry. Thank you. No question at all.
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc. - President, CEO
Okay.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Joe Thorton. Please proceed.
Joe Thorton - Highfields Capital Management - Analyst
I just had a quick question with respect to smelting and refining. Potential expansions. What do you anticipate the cost now would be, to add either brownfield or greenfield refining or smelting capacity?
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc. - President, CEO
Well, I mean, I would think that the current situation is different from what we have seen for quite a while, because there is quite a contraction in the availability of construction capabilities, as well as engineering, and I dont think that we are absolutely certain in what the established market price for those construction is, it very much varies also where you do it and under what circumstances you do it, whether you do it in Iceland, or in Greenland, or whether you do it in the Amazon in Brazil. When you look at the recent projects that some of our competitors have completed, you do see that there is quite a bit of variation there. So I really dont think that we want to put a number out there.
Joe Thorton - Highfields Capital Management - Analyst
Yes, because the reason I ask is because when you look at some of the numbers from some of your competitors, it would argue for potentially material higher for longer aluminum and Alumina prices, if these guys want to get returns for their investments.
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc. - President, CEO
I absolutely agree, that is what I meant. This whole thing is going through, this increase is going through, and the demand increases for natural resources is going through the whole value add chain. That is what I meant. I mean, when I said there are strong regional differences.
If you for instance go into the Amazon region, I mean, where we are currently finalizing the build-out of our Juruti mine, I mean, literally, I mean, it is literally a competition around getting the Caterpillars there at the time after the rainy season, getting the people that drive the Caterpillars, getting the engineers that overlook those resources, getting the project managers there, because those are the scarce resources, and unfortunately it is not only Alcoa competing against that, and you see some of the hot spots around the world, where those type of situations are pretty common these days, and I totally agree with your view, this fundamentally shifts not only the cost, but also the return expectations, and it is a driver in our view of the metal price, as well as the Alumina price on a long-term basis.
Operator
(OPERATOR INSTRUCTIONS). Your next question comes from the line of Brian MacArthur. Please proceed, sir.
Brian MacArthur - UBS - Analyst
Good evening. Two quick questions. Just following up on Russia, if I recollect there were some issues about getting equipment into Russia, that was going to basically help you going forward. Can you tell me whether everything is in place in Russia that you need going forward? Second a totally different issue, you talked about insurance for the explosion of the Apache pipeline, but is there going to be any insurance related to Rockdale as well? Thanks.
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc. - President, CEO
Well, on Russia, I am not sure I mean whether I fully understand your question. If the question is how we are doing in terms of bringing the equipment into Russia?
Brian MacArthur - UBS - Analyst
Yes. I could be wrong, but it seems to me that one of the problems before, there was a delay in getting equipment into the plant. It was supposed to be there by mid-year effectively, which obviously is there now.
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc. - President, CEO
Brian, you remember this absolutely correctly. I mean, this was one of the things that we have been struggling with for a variety of reasons. The equipment is pretty much there. We are now in the process of bringing the rest of the, as I said, 75% of the capital investment is there. We are pretty much now in the process of getting the 25% installed. So this is not about the issue of bringing equipment into Russia or into the plant. That part is absolutely taken care of.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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This is now getting it operationally done, pouring the parts of the concrete, and getting the machines assembled, and then ramping it all up, and we are fairly, I mean, what we have seen so far, we are fairly optimistic that this can be done.
And on the second question on Rockdale, on Rockdale, there is no insurance on Rockdale.
Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
We are evaluating opportunities for compensation, Brian, lets put it that way right now.
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc. - President, CEO
Correct. But there are other means, Brian.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Leo Larkin, please proceed.
Leo Larkin - Standard & Poors - Analyst
Good afternoon. Could you give us any guidance, and even just direction for capital spending in 2009?
Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
Not yet. We are as Klaus said earlier on, each business is going through a three year strategic planning process right now. Coming up with targets and the like, that we hope to go public with. So the capital expenditure level, and the forecasts around that will be made public at the same time.
Leo Larkin - Standard & Poors - Analyst
Okay. Thank you.
Operator
Your final question comes from the line of John Hill. Please proceed, sir.
John Hill - Citigroup - Analyst
Hi everyone. Thanks for your patience. Just a quick follow-up. Chuck, if we could go through the currency one more time. There is obviously a benefit on the bridge. But could you just provide for us what was the non-cash translation gain/loss, and what was the economic effect?
Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
Hold on just a second, John. The translation impact was a net income impact of $49 million.
John Hill - Citigroup - Analyst
Okay. And then the economic?
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 08. 2008 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2008 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
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Chuck McLane - ALCOA Inc - EVP, CFO
The economic would have been 17 less than that, so 32.
John Hill - Citigroup - Analyst
Great. Got it. Thank you very much.
Klaus Kleinfeld - ALCOA Inc. - President, CEO
Thank you, John. I guess that closes the Q&A session and we thank you very much for attending this, and we are looking forward to sitting down with you in the next weeks. I mean, there is a lot of investor activities going on, and we are all looking forward to that, and I hope you got a little bit more color on the great value of the Company we represent. Thank you very much. Talk to you.
Operator
Thank you for your participation in todays conference. This concludes the presentation. You may now disconnect. Have a great day.
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[Alcoa logo] July 8, 2008 2 nd Quarter 2008 Analyst Conference Exhibit 99.2 |
[Alcoa
logo] 2 Forward Looking Statements Todays discussion may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements relate to future events and expectations and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Alcoas actual results or actions may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. For a summary of the specific risk factors that could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements, please refer to Alcoas Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 and Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2008 filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. |
[Alcoa logo] Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Chuck McLane |
[Alcoa
logo] 4 Profitability improvement across all segments Income from continuing operations of $546m or $0.66 per share Revenues of $7.6 billion 11% sequential increase, excluding Packaging Higher revenue in all operating segments Double digit profit increase across all operating segments sequentially Input costs continue to climb Cash from operations exceeds $1 billion Debt-to-capital at 30.6% ROC stands at 12.1%, excluding growth Share repurchases reach 10% |
[Alcoa
logo] 5 Strong revenue growth leads to 80% increase in profits In Millions 1Q 08 2Q 08 Change Sales $7,375 $7,620 3% Cost of Goods Sold $5,892 $6,090 3% % of Sales 79.9% 79.9% -- SG&A $328 $306 (7%) % of Sales 4.4% 4.0% (0.4 pts) Restructuring and Other Charges $38 $2 (95%) Interest Expense $99 $87 (12%) Other Expense/(Income) $58 $(97) nm Effective Tax Rate 35.6% 27.3% (8.3 pts) Minority Interests $67 $70 4% Net Income $303 $546 80% Earnings per Diluted Share $0.37 $0.66 78% |
[Alcoa
logo] 6 Volume & LME pricing offset input cost pressures Income from Continuing Operations Excluding Restructuring millions 313 361 14 539 12 15 17 22 238 28 17 51 56 $0 $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 $600 |
[Alcoa
logo] $44 $82 1H 07 1H 08 $7.36 $10.03 1H 07 1H 08 5,310 8,557 1H 07 1H 08 7 The industry is facing significant input cost escalation Caustic Soda (per dmt)
67% Calcined Coke (per mt) 35% Ocean Freight (Baltic Dry Index) 61% Natural Gas (US Henry Hub per MMBtu) 36% Fuel Oil (Low Sulfur Oil Index per bbl) 86% Source: CMAI Source: PACE Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg Source: Bloomberg US Dollar* (15%) Source: Bloomberg * Relative USD value vs weighted average of Alcoa exposure to AUD, CAD, BRL, & EUR $253 $342 1H 07 1H 08 85 100 1H 07 1H 08 $328 $547 1H 07 1H 08 |
[Alcoa
logo] 8 2Q 07 1Q 08 2Q 08 Production (kmt) 3,799 3,870 3,820 3 rd Party Shipments (kmt) 1,990 1,995 1,913 3 rd Party Revenue ($ million) 712 680 717 ATOI ($ million) 276 169 190 Higher LME pricing Net income impact of Western Australia gas disruption was approximately $17m Australian dollar up 4% vs USD Higher caustic & energy costs Alumina 2 nd Quarter Highlights 3 rd Quarter Outlook Prices to follow approximate two-month lag Higher caustic & energy costs anticipated Net income impact of Western Australia gas disruption expected to be $45m 2 nd Quarter Business Conditions $100 $120 $140 $160 $180 $200 $220 $240 $260 $280 $300 1Q 07 2Q 07 3Q 07 4Q 07 1Q 08 2Q 08 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 $1,800 $2,000 ATOI Total Revenue |
[Alcoa
logo] 9 2 nd Quarter Highlights 2Q 07 1Q 08 2Q 08 Production (kmt) 901 995 1,030 3 rd Party Shipments (kmt) 565 665 750 3 rd Party Revenue ($ million) 1,746 1,877 2,437 3 rd Party Price ($/mt) 2,879 2,801 3,058 ATOI ($ million) 462 307 428 Primary Metals 3 rd Quarter Outlook 2 nd Quarter Business Conditions Higher realized pricing sequentially Record quarterly production Iceland running at capacity Higher input costs Net income impact of Rockdale power interruptions was $22m Additional efficiency gains anticipated in Iceland Higher input costs Net income impact of Rockdale outage expected to be $22m $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 $400 $450 $500 $550 1Q 07 2Q 07 3Q 07 4Q 07 1Q 08 2Q 08 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 $3,500 $4,000 $4,500 $5,000 ATOI Total Revenue |
[Alcoa logo] 10 Flat-Rolled Products 3 rd Quarter Outlook 2 nd Quarter Business Conditions 2Q 07 1Q 08 2Q 08 Global Rolled Products, exc Russia & China 106 73 74 Hard Alloy Extrusions 8 8 7 Russia, China & Other (17) (40) (26) Total 97 41 55 ATOI ($ million) Higher costs expected for metals, energy & coatings Typical seasonal slowdown to impact results Weak end markets in North America & Europe Higher costs for magnesium & transportation Productivity gains in North America & Europe Improved Russia results ($20) $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 1Q 07 2Q 07 3Q 07 4Q 07 1Q 08 2Q 08 $1,600 $1,800 $2,000 $2,200 $2,400 $2,600 $2,800 $3,000 ATOI Third Party Revenue |
[Alcoa logo] 11 Engineered Products and Solutions 2Q 07 1Q 08 2Q 08 AFL, Auto Castings & Structures (7) (5) (9) Investment Castings, Forgings & Fasteners 118 136 155 Building and Construction & Other 8 7 11 Total 119 138 157 Record quarterly revenue & ATOI Productivity improvements continue Volume improvements in aerospace, IGT, commercial transportation, & building & construction Weaker demand in automotive ATOI ($ million) 2 nd Quarter Business Conditions 3 rd Quarter Outlook Inventory adjustments affecting aerospace spares demand Declining demand in European heavy truck / trailer markets Additional automotive headwinds Typical seasonal slowdown to impact results $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 $160 $180 1Q 07 2Q 07 3Q 07 4Q 07 1Q 08 2Q 08 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 $1,800 $2,000 $2,200 ATOI Third Party Revenue |
[Alcoa logo] 12 Strong cash generation driven by working capital improvements In Millions 2Q 07 1Q 08 2Q 08 Net Income $715 $303 $546 DD&A 317 319 321 Change in Working Capital 278 (467) 234 Other Adjustments 80 (424) (46) Pension Contributions (41) (19) (48) Cash From Operating Activities $1,349 $(288) $1,007 Dividends to Shareholders $(149) $(140) $(140) Change in Debt 172 416 199 Dividends to Minority Interests (46) (39) (78) Contributions from Minority Interests 103 118 181 Share Repurchases (165) (430) (175) Share Issuances 346 22 154 Other Financing Activities 11 (2) 11 Cash From Financing Activities $272 $(55) $152 Capital Expenditures $(891) $(748) $(796) Sales of Assets/Investments 36 2,492 149 Additions to Investments (30) (1,215) (22) Other Investing Activities (1) (304) (86) Cash From Investing Activities $(886) $225 $(755) |
[Alcoa logo] 13 Share repurchase program reaches 10% Based on 870m Shares Outstanding As of January 19, 2007 25% Repurchase Program Authorized 10% Repurchased as of 2Q 08 10% repurchase program authorized January 2007 ~68m shares, or 8%, repurchased in 2007 Expanded 25% repurchase program authorized October 2007 Timeline Overview ~18m shares, or 2%, repurchased YTD 2008 653m 86m 131m |
[Alcoa logo] President and Chief Executive Officer Klaus Kleinfeld |
[Alcoa logo] 15 Global growth expected despite US weakness Growth by Industry & Geography 2008 vs. 2007 Project +7.9% Global Aluminum Growth |
[Alcoa logo] 16 Aluminum combines unique characteristics
High Strength Relative Price Recyclable Malleable Non-Corrosive Highly Conductive Durable Light Weight |
[Alcoa logo] 17
that create additional demand Transportation Packaging Defense Consumer Electronics Light Weight / Fuel Efficient Non-Corrosive / Durable Recyclable Light Weight / Logistics Cost Reduction Light Weight / Fuel Efficient Durable & Strong Aesthetics / Consumer Appeal Recyclable & Durable |
[Alcoa logo] 18 8.2 10.6 4.6 7.3 5.6 Strong demand for aluminum will continue World Aluminum Consumption (million metric tons) Source: Brook Hunt, Alcoa analysis 22 1998 China Rest of Asia 2.8 6.7 3.6 North 9.2 8.6 29.1 67 2017 E. Europe/ Mid East/ Africa W.Europe South 6.7 5.2 12.0 38 2007 6% CAGR 6% CAGR Europe/ME/ Africa Americas Asia 12% 1% 6% 8% 4% 5% 2.5 0.8 1.3 2.6 |
[Alcoa logo] 19 Competition for energy has intensified Energy/Infrastructure curtailments due to substantially increased local demand China South Africa New Zealand Natural gas has changed from stranded to mobile energy source Smelter delays all energy source related 750 kmt Sarawak in Malaysia power shortages in country 750 kmt Maaden in Saudi Arabia delay in power plant construction 720 kmt Coega in South Africa insufficient power supply 700 kmt Ruwais in Abu Dhabi unable to source adequate power 150 kmt Datun Aluminum in China insufficient power supply |
[Alcoa logo] 20 Execution & completion 2008-2010 Feasibility 2010-2015 Future options Greenland Australia Surinam Juruti Wagerup 3 Vietnam Sao Luis Greenland Massena B. Comeau Mosjoen Fjardaal Pinjarra Mining Refining Power Smelting Well underway in securing growth N. Iceland Vietnam June 26 MOU Extended June 24 Cooperation Agreement Signed May 13 Parliament Agrees to Next Phase |
[Alcoa logo] 21 An unmatched record in sustainability 2008 YTD LWD .08 TRR 1.07 |
[Alcoa logo] 22 Cost pressures drive aluminum prices Smelting Cash Cost Curve Movement (per mt) 2005 2007 Increase 25 th percentile $ 1,281 $ 1,666 30% 50 th percentile $ 1,492 $ 1,851 24% 75 th percentile $ 1,808 $ 2,238 24% Refining Cash Cost Curve Movement (per mt) 2005 2007 Increase 25 th percentile $ 167 $ 210 26% 50 th percentile $ 196 $ 255 30% 75 th percentile $ 229 $ 308 34% Source: CRU, Alcoa analysis, Bloomberg Forward Curve of LME Aluminum Pricing (per mt) +42% $1,400 $1,600 $1,800 $2,000 $2,200 $2,400 $2,600 $2,800 $3,000 $3,200 $3,400 $3,600 3 mo 15 mo 27 mo 39 mo 51 mo 63 mo Jun 30 2008 Jun 30 2007 Jun 30 2006 Jun 30 2005 |
[Alcoa logo] 23 Driving Performance Through Three Strategic Priorities Alcoa Advantage creating value for all businesses Profitable Growth in every business Talent Technology Customer Intimacy Purchasing Operating System Business Programs that define: 3-year aspirations Priority levers Accountability Disciplined Execution across all activities Alcoas Three Strategic Priorities |
[Alcoa logo] Executive Vice-President Group President - Engineered Products & Solutions William Christopher |
[Alcoa logo] 25 Diversified industrial products portfolio with leading market positions #1 in Specialty Aerospace Fastener Systems Broadest range of patented & proprietary products Successful acquisition underway #1 in Airfoils for aerospace #1 in Airfoils for Industrial Gas Turbines #1 producer of Aluminum Structural Forgings #1 supplier of Aluminum Truck Wheels globally Industry leader in new Aluminum Wheel products and finishes Globally driving penetration vs steel wheels #1 Commercial Building Exterior Systems supplier in North America (Kawneer) Best in class customer service Growing positions in Asia, Middle East and Russia #1 supplier to the North America heavy truck & specialty vehicle industries $1.2 $0.9 $1.1 $1.5 Fastening Systems Power & Propulsion Wheel & Transportation Products Building & Construction Systems Electrical & Electronic Solutions $2.0 2007 Sales (in billions) Market Positions
|
[Alcoa logo] 26 A track record of profitable growth and productivity gains $850m of organic growth $400m market growth $450m share growth Portfolio management via divestiture, business exits & investments in rapidly growing segments Return on Capital Source: CMAI Sales (in billions) 8% p.a. ATOI (in millions) 28% p.a. 37% p.a. Cost of capital Productivity gains expand margin/sales ~ 36% via ABS, process improvements & low cost country expansions $5.7 $6.7 2005 2007 $232 $382 2005 2007 2005 2007 |
[Alcoa logo] 27 Trend of record earnings and returns extends to 2008 Cost efficient capacity expansions in fasteners and investment castings Strong market positions in aerospace, IGT, B&C offsetting North American truck and automotive weakness Productivity improvements accelerating Return on Capital Sales (in billions) 6% ATOI (in millions) 30% 28% Cost of capital $3.4 $3.6 1H 07 1H 08 $224 $295 1H 07 1H 08 1H 07 1H 08 |
[Alcoa logo] 28 Driving Performance Through Three Strategic Priorities Alcoa Advantage creating value for all businesses Profitable Growth in every business Talent Technology Customer Intimacy Purchasing Operating System Business Programs that define: 3-year aspirations Priority levers Accountability Disciplined Execution across all activities Alcoas Three Strategic Priorities |
[Alcoa logo] 29 Fasteners Investment Castings Forgings Exterior Systems Window Systems Architectural Products Strong market demand provides significant growth opportunities Fasteners Wheels Investment Castings Electrical Systems Forgings Global Large Aircraft Deliveries Global Heavy Truck Production (in thousands) Source: The Airline Monitor July 2008 Source: Global Insight Global Non-Residential Structure Spend (in billions) Source: Global Insight 8% p.a. 8% p.a. 10% p.a. 575 888 1,065 2003 2007 2011(F) 975 1,575 1,820 2003 2007 2011(F) $1,244 $1,887 $2,693 2003 2007 2011(F) |
[Alcoa logo] 30 Investment Castings Forgings Energy infrastructure provides opportunities for profitable growth Fasteners Forgings Integrated Product Sub-components Global Rig Count Global Heavy Duty Turbine Builds Source: Howmet analysis Source: BHI, Spears 7% p.a. 15% p.a. 252 288 436 2003 2007 2011(F) 1,133 3,064 3,572 2003 2007 2011(F) |
[Alcoa logo] 31 Defense Joint Strike Fighter Joint Light Tactical Vehicle Industrial Equipment Mold Plate LCD Vacuum Chambers Aerospace A380 and 787 Fastening Systems New Engine Programs Industrial Gas Turbines High Gradient Single Crystal Ground Transportation AVDC Door System EES Electronics Dura-Bright® Extensions Huck Spin Fasteners 5 th Wheel Turbocharger Blades Oil and Gas Riser Systems Drill Pipe Systems Building and Construction Ultra Thermal Doors and Windows Integrated Exterior Systems Advanced Surface Coatings New product portfolio will drive profitable growth Targeting $1.3b with new products and in adjacent markets |
[Alcoa logo] 32 Oil & Gas Aluminum Drilling Systems: 50% advantage over steel >10,000 ft Alcoa Advantage 50 ft 350 ft <6,000 ft 1,500 ft Steel limit 1,000 ft Steel limit Alcoa Advantage 5 miles (8 km) 2 miles (3.2 km) 1 mile (1.6 km) Aluminum riser systems and auxiliary equipment provides 20 - 50% extended depth for current ships at a fraction of new equipment costs & delivery time Aluminum drill pipe systems allow up to 40% increased lineal distances over steel systems Land Rig Barge Jackup Fixed Platform Semi Submersible Drill Ship: Deep Water (DW) Drill Ship: Ultra Deep Water (UDW) Landscape of Exploration Drilling Equipment |
[Alcoa logo] 33 Joint Strike Fighter Alcoa Advantage at work Strong customer relationships provide early design involvement Leveraging Alcoa 7085 alloy technology in forgings for weight reductions Multi Wall investment casting engine airfoils High strength titanium Mark IV and Spline Lock Eddie Bolt fastening systems Sales of $1.4m/shipset $130m/year at full production |
[Alcoa logo] 34 Disciplined execution will continue to drive productivity gains Significant runway remains in ABS productivity and capacity improvements Expand and grow investments in Hungary, China, Russia and Mexico New process investments in BCS, fasteners and investment castings Capital efficient brown-field expansion opportunities Leveraging cost efficient Alcoa business systems for overhead productivity Addressing structural changes in NA automotive demand in EES capacity ATOI (in millions) 28% p.a. $232 $382 2005 2007 |
[Alcoa
logo] 35 Unlocking the great value potential in Engineered Products & Solutions Technically complex products & processes providing differentiation opportunities Differentiated positions in attractive core markets Aerospace & power generation components Commercial transportation Architectural solutions Consistent growth in earnings & returns New product focus Operational Excellence Growth Asset Management Strategic Levers Disciplined deployment of profitable growth targets Restructure automotive businesses Achieve Best in Class in each business Capitalize on Mega Trends Transport Aero B&C Energy Optimize global presence Efficient brown-field expansions Priorities Foundation |
[Alcoa logo] 36 Driving Performance Through Three Strategic Priorities Alcoa Advantage creating value for all businesses Profitable Growth in every business Talent Technology Customer Intimacy Purchasing Operating System Business Programs that define: 3-year aspirations Priority levers Accountability Disciplined Execution across all activities Alcoas Three Strategic Priorities |
[Alcoa logo] 37 Greg Aschman Director, Investor Relations Alcoa 390 Park Avenue New York, N.Y. 10022-4608 Telephone: (212) 836-2674 Facsimile: (212) 836-2813 www.alcoa.com For Additional Information, Contact: |
[Alcoa logo] 38 [Alcoa logo] |
[Alcoa logo] 39 APPENDIX [Alcoa logo] |
[Alcoa logo] 40 Adjusted Income Statement Items (in millions) Third -party Sales Quarter ended March 31, 2008 June 30 , 2008 Alcoa $ 7,375 $ 7,620 Packaging and Consumer 497 19 Alcoa, excluding Packaging and Consumer $ 6,878 $ 7,601 After-tax Operating Income Quarter ended March 31, 2008 June 30 , 2008 Segment total $ 666 $ 830 Packaging and Consumer 11 Segment total, excluding Packaging and Consumer $ 655 $ 830 Third-party sales and segment after-tax operating income excluding the Packaging
and Consumer segment are non-GAAP financial measures. Management
believes that these measures are meaningful to investors because management reviews the operating results of Alcoa excluding the Packaging and Consumer segment due to the sale of the businesses within this
segment in February 2008. |
[Alcoa logo] 41 Return on Capital (ROC) is presented based on Bloomberg Methodology which calculates ROC
based on trailing four quarters. Reconciliation of Return on Capital 2Q'08 1Q'08 4Q'07 3Q'07 2Q'07 1Q'07 Bloomberg Bloomberg Bloomberg Bloomberg Bloomberg Bloomberg (In Millions) Method Method Method Method Method Method Net income $2,036 $2,205 $2,564 $2,291 $2,273 $2,302 Minority interests $277 $317 $365 $399 $432 $446 Interest expense (after-tax) $267 $266 $262 $246 $270 $281 Numerator (sum total) $2,580 $2,788 $3,191 $2,936 $2,975 $3,029 Average Balances Short-term borrowings $568 $524 $516 $497 $451 $441 Short-term debt $352 $358 $356 $525 $359 $360 Commercial paper $819 $864 $1,164 $1,275 $1,169 $972 Long-term debt $6,523 $6,374 $5,574 $5,390 $5,709 $5,767 Preferred stock $55 $55 $55 $55 $55 $55 Minority interests $2,519 $2,320 $2,130 $1,927 $1,809 $1,669 Common equity $16,695 $15,563 $15,269 $15,255 $15,571 $14,621 Denominator (sum total) $27,531 $26,058 $25,064 $24,924 $25,123 $23,885 Return on Capital 9.4% 10.7% 12.7% 11.8% 11.8% 12.7% |
[Alcoa logo] 42 Return on capital, excluding growth investments is a non-GAAP financial
measure. Management believes that this measure is meaningful to
investors because it provides greater insight with respect to the underlying operating performance of the companys productive assets. The company has significant growth investments
underway in its upstream and downstream businesses, as previously noted,
with expected completion dates over the next several years. As these investments generally require a period of time before they are productive, management believes that
a return on capital measure excluding these growth investments is more
representative of current operating performance. Reconciliation of Adjusted
Return on Capital 2Q'08 1Q'08 4Q'07 3Q'07 2Q'07 1Q'07 Bloomberg Bloomberg Bloomberg Bloomberg Bloomberg Bloomberg (In Millions) Method Method Method Method Method Method Numerator (sum total) $2,580 $2,788 $3,191 $2,936 $2,975 $3,029 Russia, Bohai, and Kunshan net losses ($118) ($96) ($91) ($57) ($51) ($79) Adjusted numerator $2,698 $2,884 $3,282 $2,993 $3,026 $3,108 Average Balances Denominator (sum total) $27,531 $26,058 $25,064 $24,924 $25,123 $23,885 Capital projects in progress and Russia, Bohai, and Kunshan capital base $5,289 $4,730 $4,620 $4,430 $4,521 $3,945 Adjusted denominator $22,242 $21,328 $20,444 $20,494 $20,602 $19,940 Return on capital, excluding growth investments 12.1% 13.5% 16.1% 14.6% 14.7% 15.6% |
[Alcoa logo] 43 Reconciliation of Adjusted Income (in mi llions ) Quarter ended 1Q08 2Q08 Net income $ 303 $ 546 Loss from discontinued operations Income from continuing operations 303 546 Discrete tax items 28 (9) Restructuring and other charges 30 2 Income from continuing operations excluding restructuring and other charges and discrete tax items $ 361 $ 539 Income from continuing operations excluding restructuring and other charges and discrete tax items is a non-GAAP financial measure. Management believes that this measure is meaningful to investors because management reviews the operating results of Alcoa excluding the impacts of restructuring and other charges and discrete tax items. There can be no assurances that additional restructuring and other charges and discrete tax items will not occur in future periods. To compensate for this limitation, management believes that it is appropriate to consider both income from continuing operations determined under GAAP as well as income from continuing operations excluding restructuring and other charges and discrete tax items. |
[Alcoa logo] 44 Quarter ended (in millions) June 30, 2007 (a) March 31, 2008 June 30, 2008 Receivables from customers, less allowances $ 2,991 $ 3,048 $ 3,063 Add: Inventories 3,216 3,679 3,813 Less: Accounts payable, trade 2,388 2,895 3,121 Working Capital $ 3,819 $ 3,832 $ 3,755 Sales $ 8,066 $ 7,375 $ 7,620 Packaging and Consumer, Soft Alloy Extrusions, and Auto Castings 1,309 497 19 Adjusted Sales (b) $ 6,757 $ 6,878 $ 7,601 Days of Working Capital 51.4 50.7 45.0 Days of Working Capital = Working Capital divided by (Adjusted Sales/number of days in
the quarter) (a) Certain financial information for the quarter ended June 30, 2007 was reclassified to
reflect the movement of the automotive castings and packaging and consumer
businesses to held for sale in the third quarter of 2007. (b) Adjusted Sales is a non-GAAP financial measure and is being used to calculate Days
of Working Capital to be consistent with the fact that the working capital
components of the above-mentioned divested businesses were classified as held for sale, and, therefore, are not included in the Working Capital amounts above. Days of Working Capital |
[Alcoa logo] 45 Reconciliation of ATOI to Consolidated Net Income (in millions) 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 2007 1Q08 2Q08 Total segment ATOI $ 948 $ 991 $ 678 $ 518 $ 3,135 $ 666 $ 830 Unallocated amounts (net of tax): Impact of LIFO (27) (16) 10 9 (24) (31) (44) Interest income 11 9 10 10 40 9 12 Interest expense (54) (56) (98) (53) (261) (64) (57) Minority interests (115) (110) (76) (64) (365) (67) (70) Corporate expense (86) (101) (101) (100) (388) (82) (91) Restructuring and other charges (18) 21 (311) 1 (307) (30) (2) Discontinued operations (11) (1) (3) 8 (7) Other 14 (22) 446 303 741 (98) (32) Consolidated net income $ 662 $ 715 $ 555 $ 632 $ 2,564 $ 303 $ 546 * In the first quarter of 2008, management approved a realignment of Alcoa's reportable
segments to better reflect the core businesses in which Alcoa operates and how it is managed. This realignment consisted of eliminating the Extruded and End Products
segment, and realigning its component businesses as follows: the building and construction systems business is reported in the Engineered Products and Solutions
segment; the hard alloy extrusions business and the Russian extrusions business are reported in the Flat-Rolled Products segment; and the remaining segment
components, consisting primarily of the equity investment/income of Alcoa's interest in the Sapa AB joint venture, and the Latin American extrusions business, are reported in
Corporate. Additionally, the Russian forgings business was moved from the Engineered Products and Solutions segment to the Flat-Rolled Products segment,
where total Russian operations are now reported. Prior period amounts were reclassified to reflect the new segment structure. Also, the Engineered Solutions
segment was renamed the Engineered Products and Solutions segment. |
[Alcoa logo] 46 Engineered Products & Solutions Segment Realignment Summary EPS SEGMENT RESTATED SEGMENT INFO - 2005 ($ in millions, shipments in thousands of metric tons) ENGINEERED PRODUCTS AND SOLUTIONS SEGMENT 2005 Third-Party Shipments, as previously reported 145 Add: Building and construction systems Less: Russia Forgings and other 77 Third-Party Shipments, as reclassified 222 Third-Party Sales, as previously reported 5,032 $ Add: Building and construction systems Less: Russia Forgings and other 685 Third-Party Sales, as reclassified 5,717 $ ATOI, as previously reported 203 $ Add: Building and construction systems Less: Russia Forgings and other 29 ATOI, as reclassified 232 $ In the first quarter of 2008, management approved a realignment of Alcoa's reportable
segments to better reflect the core businesses in which Alcoa operates and how it is managed. This realignment consisted of eliminating the Extruded and End Products
segment, and realigning its component businesses, which had the following effect on the Engineered Products and Solutions segment: the building and construction systems
business is now reported in the Engineered Products and Solutions segment and the Russian forgings business was moved from the Engineered Products-and Solutions segment to the Flat-Rolled Products segment, where total Russian operations are now reported. Prior period amounts were reclassified to reflect the new segment structure.
Also, the Engineered Solutions segment was renamed the Engineered Products and Solutions segment. |