UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): July 10, 2006
ALCOA INC.
(Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter)
Pennsylvania | 1-3610 | 25-0317820 | ||
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) |
(Commission File Number) |
(I.R.S. Employer Identification Number) |
390 Park Avenue, New York, New York | 10022-4608 | |
(Address of Principal Executive Offices) | (Zip Code) |
Office of Investor Relations 212-836-2674
Office of the Secretary 412-553-4707
(Registrants telephone number, including area code)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the Registrant under any of the following provisions:
¨ | Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) |
¨ | Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) |
¨ | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) |
¨ | Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) |
Item 2.02. | Results of Operations and Financial Condition. |
On July 10, 2006, Alcoa Inc. held its second quarter 2006 earnings conference call, broadcast live by webcast. A transcript of the call and a copy of the slides presented during the call are attached hereto as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, respectively, and are hereby incorporated by reference.
* * * * *
The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2, is being furnished in accordance with the provisions of General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K.
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements in the transcript and slides attached hereto relate to future events and expectations and as such constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements also include those containing such words as anticipates, believes, estimates, expects, hopes, targets, should, will, will likely result, forecast, outlook, projects or similar expressions. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results, performance or achievements of Alcoa to be different from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements. Alcoa disclaims any intention or obligation, other than as required by law, to update or revise any forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include: (a) material adverse changes in economic or aluminum industry conditions generally, including global supply and demand conditions and prices for primary aluminum, alumina and other products; (b) material adverse changes in the markets served by Alcoa, including the transportation, building, construction, distribution, packaging, industrial gas turbine and other markets; (c) Alcoas inability to mitigate impacts from rising energy and raw materials costs, or other cost inflation; (d) Alcoas inability to achieve the level of cost savings, productivity improvements or earnings or revenue growth anticipated by management; (e) Alcoas inability to complete its expansion projects and integration of acquired facilities as planned and by targeted completion dates, including the integration of its recently acquired Russian facilities; (f) unfavorable changes in laws, governmental regulations or policies, currency exchange rates or competitive factors in the countries in which Alcoa operates; (g) significant legal proceedings or investigations adverse to Alcoa, including environmental, product liability, safety and health and other claims; and (h) the other risk factors summarized in Alcoas Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2005, Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2006 and other reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Item 9.01. | Financial Statements and Exhibits. |
(d) | Exhibits. |
The following are furnished as exhibits to this report:
99.1 | Transcript of Alcoa Inc. second quarter 2006 earnings call. | |
99.2 | Slides presented during Alcoa Inc. second quarter 2006 earnings call. |
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SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
ALCOA INC. | ||
By: | /s/ Lawrence R. Purtell | |
Lawrence R. Purtell | ||
Executive Vice President and General Counsel |
Dated: July 14, 2006
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EXHIBIT INDEX
Exhibit No. | Description | |
99.1 | Transcript of Alcoa Inc. second quarter 2006 earnings call. | |
99.2 | Slides presented during Alcoa Inc. second quarter 2006 earnings call. |
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Exhibit 99.1
FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 10. 2006 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2006 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
Conference Call Transcript
AA - Q2 2006 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
Event Date/Time: Jul. 10. 2006 / 5:00PM ET
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 10. 2006 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2006 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
CORPORATE PARTICIPANTS
Tony Thene
Alcoa, Inc. - Director IR
Alain Belda
Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
Joe Muscari
Alcoa, Inc. - CFO
CONFERENCE CALL PARTICIPANTS
Michael Gambardella
JP Morgan - Analyst
Robert Clifford
ABN AMRO - Analyst
Hongyu Cai
Goldman Sachs - Analyst
Dave Martin
Deutsche Bank - Analyst
John Hill
Citigroup - Analyst
Tony Rizzuto
Bear Stearns - Analyst
Amir Arif
Friedman, Billings, Ramsey - Analyst
John Tumazos
Prudential - Analyst
Scott Rozelli
Morgan Stanley - Analyst
David Gagliano
Credit Suisse - Analyst
Clayton Freeman
BMO Capital - Analyst
Glen Lockheart
UBS - Analyst
Charles Bradford
Bradford Research - Analyst
PRESENTATION
Operator
Good day, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by and welcome to the Alcoa Inc. second quarter 2006 earnings conference call. (OPERATOR INSTRUCTIONS). I would now like to turn the presentation over to your host for todays conference, Mr. Tony Thene, Director of Investor Relations. Please proceed sir.
Tony Thene - Alcoa, Inc. - Director IR
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 10. 2006 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2006 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
Good afternoon, and thank you for attending Alcoas second quarter 2006 analyst conference. At todays conference Alain Belda, Chairman and CEO, will give an overview of the second quarter performance, as well as some insight into the major activities of the quarter. In addition, Joe Muscari, Chief Financial Officer, will review the second quarter financial results and current business conditions.
Before I turn it over to Alain, I would like to remind you that in discussing the Companys performance today, we have included some forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements relate to future events and expectations, and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Alcoas actual results or actions may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements.
For a summary of the specific risk factors that could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements, please refer to Alcoas Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2005 and Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2006 filed with the SEC.
In our discussion today we have included some non-GAAP financial measures. You can find our presentation of the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures calculated in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles and our related reconciliation on our website at www.alcoa.com under the Invest section.
At this time let me turn it over to Alain.
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
This was another strong quarter for Alcoa. We had record income from continuing operations at $752 million, or $0.86 per share, the highest quarterly income from continuing operations in our 115 years history, this after a non-recurring negative charge of $0.04 per share for strike preparation and settlement costs, or $0.90.
At almost $8 billion in sales it was also the highest quarterly revenue in the Company history. Record profits in Alumina, Primary Metal and Engineered Solutions segments, and more important, all segments had marked improvements.
Certainly these results were positively impacted by the higher LME prices, but they were also supported by strong management actions we had been taking in the last three years to improve productivity to deal with rising input costs, improve our product mix, increase market share, restructure, and managing our global business. Our year-to-date annualized return on capital was 15.4%, well in excess of cost of capital and over 18%, excluding growth investments.
Let me now talk about safety. We have had 50 lost workdays due to injuries year-to-date on 129,000 people. Through the first 6 months of the year, 88% of our locations have not had lost work day injuries. This was a lost workday this is the lost workday rate of ..079. For total recordables injuries this year to date the rate was 1.147. 52% of our locations have not had a total recordable injury.
Safety talks about values, about disciplined deployment, about standard operating procedures, and about caring for people. These results are a good indicator of management capability to lead and to execute complex systemic tasks.
While this is fundamental for us, there are other dimensions or measure of performance that I track closely, and they are operational excellence, innovation, new products, profitable growth, sustainable development, and portfolio management. Let me talk about some of these.
Lets start with operational excellence, and I will give you just a couple of examples. Our Alumina segment again set a quarterly production record in tons per day. Our Flat Rolled Products segment continued to excel operationally, and this quarter our rolling mills at our Texarkana facility achieved record production through people involvement, superior technical support, TPM. In other words, all the things that are part of ABS.
The Engineering Solutions segment again had a record quarterly profit, driven in part by record production at our Cleveland and Kofem in Hungary facilities in the Class 8 truck wheels as well as record shipment for Class 8 truck wheels, the second quarter in a row, and record productivity in our Fastener business. And also the second quarter in a row.
Lets talk about innovation and new product. As I stated last year, we have over 40 new products in the pipeline to be introduced in the next 18 months. Let me highlight a couple that were announced in the second quarter.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 10. 2006 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2006 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
The first commercial use in the U.S. of our new Alcoa designed glass wine closures called Vino-Seal. Whitehall Lane Winery of Napa Valley, California is the first winery in the world to use it.
We also signed a multiyear contract with Nike to supply specialty aluminum drawn tube for their premium brand baseball bats and Nike Aero Torque and Aero Strobe. More importantly, the contact provides a unique opportunity for cooperative marketing and development of Alcoa brands in giving us brand recognition associated with Nike.
Third, Reynobond with Kevlar, a product of DuPont. It is a lightweight aluminum polymer fiber composite, (indiscernible) for commercial and public building facades, and possibly for broader application. It has passed with great success the simulated hurricane impact tests.
In addition, we had numerous manufacturing process breakthroughs. One that we recently placed into action is our Natural Media Filtration. This is a biologically derived method of collecting harmful PCBs from contaminated wastewater streams. This technology represents a low-cost breakthrough in our effort and other companies efforts to contain PCB.
Now lets talk about growth, sustainable development and portfolio management. In the second quarter we continued to take action to profitably grow our business and manage our portfolio. We formed a joint venture with Shanxi Yuncheng Engraving Group in China. This is an existing flat rolled product plants in Kunshan City, China, which is close to Shanghai. We will own 70% and be the managing partner. It is dedicated to the production of aluminum brazing sheet for the China market.
We signed an MOU with Vinacomin to explore the feasibility of creating a joint venture to develop a bauxite mine and an alumina refinery in Vietnam. We opened our first plant in Bulgaria, a consumer products plant to produce household wrap, products including foil and film.
First pour at Howmets newly installed vacuum furnace at the Whitehall Michigan manufacturing facility. The new furnace equipped with the latest control technology and gains from ABS design resulted in a 30% increase in output.
We have also established a new entity in Johannesburg, South Africa for the sale and distribution of aluminum forged truck wheels in Africa. This marks now the 44th country in which Alcoa has a presence.
Just recently we acquired minority interest in our Eastalco and Intalco aluminum smelters. And weve announced a plan to divest of our Home Exteriors business, which manufactures and markets premium product for the residential construction and remodeling market in the United States. And we continue to review options for our soft alloy extrusion business.
Over the last several slides I have reviewed the action that we took in support of the current quarters performance and to drive our growth in the future. As in the last quarter, we took advantage of a favorable market fundamental. Let me take a couple of minutes and review those market fundamentals.
The second quarter was another healthy quarter for aluminum demand. Again, we saw premiums firming in all areas of the world, indicating a strong phase of demand. Midwest premium has risen from as low as $77 per metric ton in August of last year to currently $136 per metric tons. Japanese CIF premium for Western metal have risen from $55 in February of this year to $74 in the third quarter of this year. And newly paid European premiums have also rebounded from the lows of December 2005 of $82.5 per ton to $120 per metric tons.
It is also important to note the physical premium for value-added products such as billet, rod and slab have also increased, and supplies are very tight, and some markets are even on allocation.
Visible stock, which consists of producer stock, LME, COMEX, and Shanghai Future Exchange Warehouses stock, as well as the Japanese sport stock continued to decline. Since the beginning of this year we have seen days of consumption decline from about 34 days to just over 31 days. In May the AIAI overall inventory countered the tradition trend of increasing in this month, and actually decreased by 33,000 metric tons.
Moving on to price, we have seen a strong correction in the price from the highs of mid-May of 3,300, but we have also seen that as aluminum has lagged other base metals on the way up, it is also lagging on the way down. The market has been range bound since early June, trading between $2,480 per metric ton to $2,550 per metric ton.
Every time we talk about aluminum price, we always lead us to a speculation of what will happen in China. Well, yes, China is increasing its aluminum and alumina production. It is doing so to support increasing internal demand for aluminum. Even with this increased alumina
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 10. 2006 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2006 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
production, it will continue to be a large importer of alumina and aluminum. With this increase in alumina production comes a question of availability of bauxite to fuel this growth. I think this is going to be a big challenge for China, and our assumptions is that their cost of alumina produced is probably around $300.
The bottom line is that over the last 18 months China has been a net importer of aluminum, taking into consideration scrap import, and will continue to import alumina.
In closing, and before I turn it over to Joe, let me summarize the quarter in some simple bullet points. It was another great quarter, no matter how you measure it. Our results for the first half of 2006 were greater than any full year in the history of Alcoa, except for one.
Have we benefited from high metal price? Sure, we did. But more importantly, we believe that we have locked in productivity gains across many businesses to take advantage, not only of the higher metal price, but also of the very strong end markets. We are especially pleased with the sustained high level of operational performance of most of our businesses.
The results of this record quarter include 35 million after-tax, or $0.04 per share negative charge, for strike preparation and settlement. On that subject I would like to state how pleased we are that Alcoa and the United Steel Workers were able to reach an agreement on a new labor contract affecting 10,000 Alcoans in that we truly believe is a win-win contract for the community, for employees, and Alcoa, and ultimately, obviously, our shareholders.
We have had two great quarters back-to-back, and we expect the underlying operation performance to continue. We had a great first quarter, and a second quarter that topped that by 22%. We dont expect this to be repeated on the third quarter.
As Joe will mention, we will be impacted by the traditional seasonality of the third quarter; however, this impact will be as much at a much higher level of profitability than in prior years. As always, we will be impacted by changes in metal prices as we continue to be more than 90% exposed to market.
Joe Muscari - Alcoa, Inc. - CFO
Good evening everyone. I am obviously very pleased with the second quarter results as we were able to again achieved record levels of profitability. Our continued focus on productivity improvements, combined with strong metal prices and strong end markets, enabled us to achieve this record results.
Revenue at 7.96 billion and income from continuing ops of 752 million or $0.86 cents a share were all-time highs, as Alain noted. Income was 22% higher sequentially and 52% higher year-over-year, while revenue was 10% higher sequentially and 19% higher year-over-year. Furthermore, three of our segments achieved record operating income for the quarter.
Capital expenditures for the quarter were 729 million, with 64% of the total devoted to growth projects, such as Iceland, Mosjoen, the anode plant in Norway, Pinjarra and Intalco. Working capital increased 428 million in the quarter, primarily due to higher LME prices and strike preparation. However, it is important to note that days working capital improved by three days year-over-year.
We continue to hold our debt-to-capital within our target range at 32%, simultaneously executing our growth project plans. And as Alain noted, our first half annualized return on capital was 15.4%. The quarter itself had a return on capital of 16.3% annualized, and when you exclude growth projects, it was 19.4%.
Before I take you to the income statement, let me give you some detail on the 35 million after-tax, or $0.04 a share, charge for strike prep and settlement costs. The signing bonus was equal to 12.5 million after-tax, while the strike preparation itself and other settlement costs were equal to 22.5 million after-tax. This strike prep portion only includes external costs. There are no internal costs included, such as salaries of Alcoans.
The other contract settlement costs are related to charges for retiree medical at locations sold or closed prior to 2002. And I should also mention there are no additional costs associated with this contract negotiation to be booked in future quarters.
As we look at the net income statement there are two areas that I would like to briefly highlight for you. First, we maintained our significant cost significant improvement in the first quarter as cost of goods sold as a percent of sales was 75%. This is a reduction from 75.4% in the first
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 10. 2006 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2006 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
quarter. And second, again this quarter we were able to decrease our SG&A as a percent of sales. We decreased by 50 basis points to 4.6% because we were able to hold spending.
Now lets take a look at cash flow. Cash from operations was 699 million, an improvement of 912 million over the previous quarter, and 315 million or 82% improvement over the prior year quarter. We have changed this slide from past versions to give you a little more historical data. The traditional chart we have used in the past is now included in the appendix of this presentation.
There are two main points here that I would like to call your attention to, both of which I have discussed in earlier slides. First is the 428 million increase in working capital, which was driven by improved market conditions, higher LME and strike prep. But as I noted earlier, year-over-year we reduced our days working capital by three days.
The other major use of cash was the 729 million of capital expenditures. This compares to the first quarter at 592 million. And as we have stated many times before, it is our intention to keep our debt-to-cap between 25 and 35%.
I used this slide for the first time in the fourth quarter call for the fourth quarter 2005. At that time I stated we continue to see the operational side improving within the context of a continuing very strong aluminum market. In the first quarter, and now again in the second quarter, we have been able to drive this increased revenue to the bottom line. And this chart pretty clearly demonstrates that.
Now lets talk about the segments in detail. As we look at the Alumina segment, you can see that they had another great quarter. Sequentially revenue was up 14% and operating income was up 15%. Higher pricing more than offset the adverse currency impact. As Alain mentioned, on a tons per day basis the Alumina system in total again achieved a record a production record for the quarter. Looking forward, we expect our productivity gains to continue. In addition, Pinjarra will continue its ramp up schedule, and will be 100% online in the fourth quarter.
Moving to the Primary Metal segment, Primary Metals also had another strong quarter. Sequentially third-party revenue increased by 13% on the back of higher LME prices. Operating income increased by 10% to 489 million, driven by a higher LME prices and premiums, and partially offset by higher energy, unfavorable currency, and strike preparation and settlement cost.
Production increased by 2% sequentially due mainly to the completion of the Alumar Brazil expansion with about 6,000 tons, and the partial return to service at our Portland, Australia smelter. Shipments increased as the Company purchased more primary metal, 145,000 tons in the quarter, for internal use as part of our strategy to sell value-added products.
Looking forward to the third quarter, production will improve due to the continued return to service of the Portland smelter. Further, alumina and power costs will increase due to our LME-linked supply contracts. Also, it is worth noting that in the second quarter LME cash on a one month lag averaged $2,637 a metric ton. And as you know, we price our metal on an approximate thirty-day lag, which means we have about one-third of our metal priced for the third quarter. So if you use the average June cash LME of $2477 per ton as a proxy for that one-third, that would equal an approximate $160 per metric ton decrease compared to the second quarter.
Lets now move to the Flat Rolled Products segment. Strong performance continued in Flat Rolled Products. Aerospace, commercial transportation, common alloy distribution, and seasonal can sheet demand helped deliver 9% revenue growth over the first quarter. Sequentially operating income increased by 20%, and with continued strength across all businesses, including improvement in the Russia assets.
Looking forward, we expect continued strong demand in aerospace, as well as continued solid operational performance. And we will take advantage of the normal European holiday slowdown to complete scheduled maintenance outages at some of our European locations.
In the Extruded and End Product segment revenue increased sequentially by 14% due to increased volume across all businesses. We saw significant improvement in our soft alloy business, while our global building construction systems businesses and our hard alloy extrusion business remained strong. Looking forward we see consistent market and operational conditions as compared to the second quarter.
Lets now look at the Engineered Solutions segment. As you can see, we had another record quarter in Engineered Solutions. Sequentially revenues are up only 3%, but operating income was up 20%. The positive improvement was driven by a number of factors. In the AFL auto casting and structures grouping we had continued improvement improved performance at AFL, strong productivity gains, and benefit from the 2005 restructuring activity. In the investment, castings, forgings and fasteners grouping, market demand remained strong, productivity gains were sustained, and we continued to enrich our product mix.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 10. 2006 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2006 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
Looking forward, we will have the traditional third quarter seasonality effects from the European holiday slowdown and the automotive shutdown, albeit, all higher levels of profitability. A review of the quarterly data over the last several years will give you some perspective around this.
In the Packaging and Consumer segment revenue was up 11% to a record $834 million. The majority of this sales growth was in our Closures Systems and Consumer Products businesses. Operating income was up dramatically from 8 million in the first quarter to $37 million. Primary drivers were seasonal volume increases and productivity gains.
As you can see, we have provided a greater level of detail this quarter in an effort to continue to improve our transparency and quality of information that we provide to you. At our recent Investor Day we broke the revenue of this segment into two pieces, Closures Systems and Consumer Products, and Food Packaging and Flexible Packaging, the two most challenging businesses within this segment. We have now used that same break out for operating income to give you a more in-depth look at the segment.
Looking ahead, we expect a normal seasonal slowdown for the third quarter, tempered by our productivity improvements. Again, a review of this segments historical seasonal performance should give you a better understanding of this.
I would now like to briefly summarize our outlook for the third quarter. As we look at the third quarter, let me emphasize the following items. We expect continued, strong operational performance across all our segments. We have had consistent production growth in our upstream businesses, obviously partially offset by higher energy and interest costs. We have had significant productivity and operational excellence gains in our Flat Rolled Products and Engineered Solutions segments.
And in this quarter we have had improved performance from our Extruded and End Products and Packaging and Consumer segments through stronger volumes, but also sustainable productivity gains.
We also remain positive on the underlying strength of our markets. And even though we do see the continued this continued underlying market strength, we will experience the normal seasonality effects in some of our downstream businesses in this quarter, driven by the normal European holiday slowdown and the automotive shutdowns in the summer months, as well as the expected seasonal softening in the Packaging and Consumer segment. Although this seasonality is not something new, it is important to note that it does not detract from the basic fundamental strengths in both our markets and our operations.
We will obviously see the impact, either favorably or unfavorably, from our sensitivity to a changing metals price. As I noted earlier, we have shown over the past couple of quarters a higher performance level that enables us to take more of any increases to the bottom line than in the past. As Alain discussed earlier, we are in a period of increased metal prices supported by strong market fundamental.
Thanks for your attention, and now we would be happy to take questions.
QUESTION AND ANSWER
Operator
(OPERATOR INSTRUCTIONS). Michael Gambardella with JP Morgan.
Michael Gambardella - JP Morgan - Analyst
Good afternoon and congratulations on the results. My question is can you give us any more detail on the strike and the restructuring charge, the breakdown by segment, so I could take a look at what our projections were compared to the actual operating results?
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 10. 2006 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2006 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
Joe Muscari - Alcoa, Inc. - CFO
I can give you some estimated numbers that we have. For instance in primary, it is a little over $9 million; Alumina, a little under 2 million; FRP is around 7 million; Packaging roughly about 1.5 million. These are all after-tax numbers, by the way. We also had, if I remember right, a little over 13 million, or a little under 14 million, in the corporate charge.
Operator
Robert Clifford with ABN AMRO.
Robert Clifford - ABN ARMO - Analyst
Good evening. Just a quick question on your alumina price. (indiscernible) told us before about pricing being on a particularly three-month lag with aluminum. Looking at it on that basis you had a 17% rise in aluminum price on a three-month lag basis, but youve got about a 16% rise in revenues and that is with additional volumes. To get to these sort of revenues I would need to reduce the implied leakage ratio on your contract. I was just wondering if theres anything else in there that was driving it?
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
I dont know. I think like you described, our price for alumina is basically driven by the quarter prior aluminum prices and some contracts that have either bottoms and tops and all of that, or formula driven. But I guess if you look at the average price for last quarter and compare it to the metal for the first quarter, you will be able to get to what the third quarter should be. Add to that the volume.
Operator
Hongyu Cai with Goldman Sachs.
Hongyu Cai - Goldman Sachs - Analyst
Congratulations on the results. If Im may follow-up on your presentation from last quarter, you provided market applied the amount balance forecast, which is 500,000 ton deficit this year and 200,000 ton benefit next year. I just wonder if you have changed your view since then is there updates from there? Thanks.
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
No, thank you for the congratulations. We feel very good about the quarter also. But we look at the market being short about 500,000 tons in aluminum this year and about 400,000 tons in alumina this year.
Operator
Dave Martin with Deutsche Bank.
Dave Martin - Deutsche Bank - Analyst
I wanted to come back to I guess both the alumina and the primary business. In your prepared text you commented on the impact sequentially quarter over quarter of both a weaker U.S. dollar and higher energy costs. Could you give us some specific numbers around those, in each of those segments?
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 10. 2006 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2006 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
Joe Muscari - Alcoa, Inc. - CFO
I cant give you because I dont have it here in front me what it is in the segments. But I can give you an impact of the currency. Roughly the currency impact is around $23 million overall. You were looking for what the energy impact (multiple speakers)?
Dave Martin - Deutsche Bank - Analyst
Yes, that was the second one.
Joe Muscari - Alcoa, Inc. - CFO
Energy overall for the Company was around 14. It was more obviously in the primary segment, and we actually had some cost savings in some of the downstream. So it netted out about 14 overall.
Operator
John Hill with Citigroup.
John Hill - Citigroup - - Analyst
I guess I would echo the congratulations on the strong results. Just a quick question on Flat Rolled Products, the ATOI margin there coming in around 3.6%, or 3.9 if we add back the strike provision, yet we have heard a lot about how conversion margins have been improving, and we have seen some lower gas costs, etc. What should we be looking at for margins in that group on a go forward basis? Are we going to see this come back to lets say the 6 to 8% range in the near future?
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
That continues to be our goal. You have to remember that includes about $21 million for Russia. [Alcoa clarification: this number refers to approximate total company losses in Russia] It includes the new facility in Asia, Bohai. It includes the new facility we just acquired, the Kunshan. So you have a lot of development and new facilities rolled into this number.
John Hill - Citigroup - Analyst
Have you seen that conversion premiums improving? Would you qualify would you quantify that as a solid business?
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
I have, but I cannot out of the top of my head give you that number, but Tony can give you the details, if you want it.
Operator
Tony Rizzuto with Bear Stearns.
Tony Rizzuto - Bear Stearns - Analyst
On the third-party price realization in Primary Metals it seemed to implied a smaller premium over the LME three-month with a thirty-day lag. You guys reported what 27, 28, or about $1.23, almost $1.24. And if we did our math correctly on the LME three-month with a thirty-day lag, it would have been $1.20 per pound. What maybe had changed your mix? Was there a shift in the mix between billet and ingot during the quarter, or what may have attributed to maybe a little less premium than you have realized in recent quarters?
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 10. 2006 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2006 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
Joe Muscari - Alcoa, Inc. - CFO
It is basically it is a mix of things and it is not a pure number. You have you do have billet that can affect the mix from one period to the next. I dont have that level of detail with me right now, but it is something that if as we take a look and further analyze some things, Tony may be able to have come up with something for you later.
Tony Rizzuto - Bear Stearns - Analyst
When you look at the businesses right now, the way they are structured, does that look to be sustainable into the third quarter that type of premium?
Joe Muscari - Alcoa, Inc. - CFO
We have been able to sustain premiums for a pretty significant period of time. It is (multiple speakers) the same level of premium, because the mix will affect that to a certain degree, but typically we have been able to command a premium.
Tony Rizzuto - Bear Stearns - Analyst
The level of mix, assuming it remains constant, so that level of premium should remain fairly stable, looking at the third quarter?
Joe Muscari - Alcoa, Inc. - CFO
It typically should in terms of proportions.
Operator
Amir Arif with Friedman, Billings, Ramsey.
Amir Arif - Friedman, Billings, Ramsey - Analyst
Just with the announced plan to divest the Home Exteriors business and the options you are looking at on the soft alloy extrusion business, can you give us a sense of how much EBITDA is related to each one of these businesses?
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
Well, these are in negotiation at this point in time, and I would rather not talk about the specific details. We will be the Home Exterior will be receiving offers, I think, in the coming 15 days. I dont think it is a proper time to be informing those details.
Amir Arif - Friedman, Billings, Ramsey - Analyst
Without going into details, can you give us sense of how important these are relative to the cash flow or the earnings for each one of the segments?
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
It would be the same thing, wouldnt it?
Operator
John Tumazos with Prudential.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 10. 2006 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2006 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
John Tumazos - Prudential - Analyst
Congratulations on all the progress, and the buyback of the 39% in Intalco and Eastalco announced a few days ago. What is the prospect for developing your own coal fired smelting station to service Frederick, Maryland, and sourcing power for the balance of the 666,000 tons you hold idle on the U.S.?
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
As you know, we keep looking at our options and the experience has been over time that options change. You have seen what the BPA has done with to regards offering some incentives for us to buy power from third-parties, and give us in fact a discount. That is not out of the question for the Eastalco also. So we keep the options open. We continue to negotiate, and that is why we just dont simply close down the plant or make other decisions.
At the moment the Intalco one we are finishing up the deal with BPA. That will cover energy for the period until 2011. By that time we will make the next decision, be it get more power or justify the power price on the basis of what the then metal price is, or shut it down if that is the case. Those two plants the most threatened plants in the whole system for us, given the fire, but we have an option on the BPA side.
John Tumazos - Prudential - Analyst
Do you have a timetable for building a coal-fired plant for the East?
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
No, it is under development. It is always working on this kind of options, but I dont have a timeframe for that.
Operator
Mark Linamaa with Morgan Stanley.
Scott Rozelli - Morgan Stanley - Analyst
This is [Scott Rozelli]. We were positively surprised by the ATOI margins in the downstream businesses. And the question we have is as we see the seasonality impacting revenues in those segments, do you expect the ATOI margins to suffer as well or to remain at similar levels as what we saw in the second quarter?
Joe Muscari - Alcoa, Inc. - CFO
Again, I think my suggestion that I made in the presentation would be it is worth going through and looking historically at the segment changes. Because what does occur, and it is different in the different segments, you can have some mix changes, because you have different businesses that are affected that have different seasonal effects. That is about as good a guidance as I could give you right now in terms of what to expect.
Scott Rozelli - Morgan Stanley - Analyst
But the markets, I think, are pretty strong.
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 10. 2006 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2006 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
Joe Muscari - Alcoa, Inc. - CFO
Yes, you wouldnt I guess another way to say that, the things that would change are not any pricing deterioration or changes in the pricing trends, it would be any mix changes that occur due to seasonality.
Operator
David Gagliano with Credit Suisse.
David Gagliano - Credit Suisse - Analyst
I was just wondering if you could comment on the sharp decline recently in spot alumina prices, and how that compares with your view last quarter of a global deficit in the alumina market through 2007?
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
Spot alumina is less than 5% of the world market for alumina. That actually that is why it is spot market, and that is usually why were not in that market. It will reflect temporary excesses or temporary increased production in China or whatever. So we really dont worry too much about it. We think of it mostly as helping indicate where future prices for long-term contracts starts from, but not as a way to think about our business.
David Gagliano - Credit Suisse - Analyst
Just to follow-up then, do you still expect a global deficit in the alumina market through 2007?
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
Yes.
Operator
(OPERATOR INSTRUCTIONS). Clayton Freeman with BMO Capital.
Clayton Freeman - BMO Capital - Analyst
I had a question about natural gas costs in North America. If you could is there an easy way to talk about say $1 move per Mcf would translate into your margin on alumina?
Joe Muscari - Alcoa, Inc. - CFO
We really dont we couldnt give you a good rule of thumb on that because we do have a hedging mix that we utilize going forward, and that changes.
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
Plus in places like Jamaica, Brazil, Surinam, we use oil rather than gas for (indiscernible) and coal for steam. So it is really quite a different mix.
Clayton Freeman - BMO Capital - Analyst
Could you maybe talk about just where you do use natural gas, not as a feedstock, but how would your margins compare now say versus places where youre relying more on oil?
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 10. 2006 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2006 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
I have no idea here. Maybe Tony can help you at one point in time. But again, the point that Joe was making, we tend to have a two-year forward hedging on gas on a decreasing percentage per quarter.
Operator
[Glen Lockheart] with UBS.
Glen Lockheart - UBS - Analyst
In the past you provided realized alumina pricing. I was just wondering if you could give any indication of where the realized price is at the moment on your alumina, and how that has changed over the last couple of quarters?
Joe Muscari - Alcoa, Inc. - CFO
I have this somewhere, but I dont have it right here. Do you have it?
Tony Thene - Alcoa, Inc. - Director IR
We had it on the charts you presented. Youre looking for numbers different then what we presented?
Glen Lockheart - UBS - Analyst
I couldnt in the fourth quarter you actually provided realized pricing for alumina. But this time I cant seem to find it. And I was just wondering if you had indication of where your realized pricing ?
Joe Muscari - Alcoa, Inc. - CFO
Tony was just reminding me here that is something we dont give out.
Glen Lockheart - UBS - Analyst
Okay, it was in your fourth quarter presentation, that was all.
Joe Muscari - Alcoa, Inc. - CFO
That maybe something that we give out from time to time, but we can go back and look at that if it was in the fourth quarter.
Glen Lockheart - UBS - Analyst
But you have no indication at the moment?
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
But if you would divide, how you call, the production by the third-party sales, youll get to what the price is, right?
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 10. 2006 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2006 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
Glen Lockheart - UBS - Analyst
That doesnt quite work by some of the fourth quarter pricing you gave. It was out by about 20%. That was all. Maybe I can come back to it later.
Joe Muscari - Alcoa, Inc. - CFO
I think this would be something Tony could be a help to you on in terms of once you better understand what you are seeing in terms of a question, or an issue. Okay?
Operator
John Hill with Citigroup.
John Hill - Citigroup - Analyst
Just a quick follow-up, if I can ask about inventories on the balance sheet that came up above 4 million. I am just curious whether that just represents the higher price of metal, or higher input costs, or whether there has been a buildup of internal metal associated with the strike preparations?
Joe Muscari - Alcoa, Inc. - CFO
It actually was pretty much driven by metal pricing, obviously with some strike buildup. But inventory turns are at actually a pretty good level for us. So nothing really unusual there or any major buildup.
John Hill - Citigroup - Analyst
You would characterize your current internal holdings in metals at pretty much normal levels?
Joe Muscari - Alcoa, Inc. - CFO
With exceptions here and there in some of the businesses, again, as I said, due to the strike buildup we had.
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
Yes, mostly in the fabricated business. Fabricated businesses carry a little bit more in inventory are still carrying a little bit more of inventory at the end of this quarter can sheet and aerospace business, automotive business had to carry in order to protect our customers during what could have been a strike. And the primary business doesnt have to carry anything anymore. But most of the change you could almost calculate it directly to an 8% price increase in metal.
Operator
Charles Bradford with Bradford Research.
Charles Bradford - Bradford Research - Analyst
Could you give us a little bit more detail as to why Chinese alumina costs are so high? I understand there is a problem in bauxite quality. How much is that the issue? And doesnt some of the higher cost get offset by savings they may have on internal freight costs?
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 10. 2006 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2006 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
I think the first thing is the bauxite is not very good. And some of the new mines they are (indiscernible), which is a very, very high gas production. The distances, yes, they might be closer to the smelters. They are a hell of a long way from the ports to get the raw materials. Overall, that is I think what gets us to an estimate like I gave you of about $300 per ton.
Charles Bradford - Bradford Research - Analyst
A lot of people are questioning whether or not the additional alumina supply in China might lead to some re-openings of some of the close smelter capacity.
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
I think it will. Not all of the aluminum will reopen, some of it will. But remember, they continue to grow demand at a substantial pace. My guess is they will continue to consume all of this aluminum. This has been the story of the last 20 years, and we have all been looking at the sidelines and saying when is that going to be too much. It continues to be there.
Operator
(OPERATOR INSTRUCTIONS). Tony Rizzuto with Bear Stearns.
Tony Rizzuto - Bear Stearns - Analyst
Can we talk a little bit about substitution that you guys are seeing in your markets, in your end markets? We have obviously seen the price of aluminum lag a lot of the rest of the complex, and particularly against copper. And I was wondering if you could just share with us some of the experiences that you have seen in maybe some of your end markets, maybe HVAC, brazing sheet, different markets like that. What kind of opportunities are there for aluminum versus other materials?
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
60% of where copper is used is cabling for house, for distribution cabling and transportation applications and all that. Another part is some of the radiators and heat exchangers.
Youll see in the cabling business, I think youll see more and more aluminum penetration at the medium tension business. And you already observe that in China itself, as they are moving toward more in the medium tension they are moving to more aluminum.
Theres some developing applications for aluminum in some interesting markets like, for instance, A380 will be using some aluminum cabling because its lighter. Obviously, that is always a great advantage on airplanes. There are some studies being conducted on cabling for automotive applications. Youre talking about 200 kilos of cable in each car, so that is another opportunity.
On the heat exchanging business, that is moving completely to aluminum. That is one of the reasons we have invested we have plants in the U.S. and Europe, and now we will have one in China producing grating sheets for the heat exchanging business. That is most of applications are going to be in cabling, and into heats exchangers. That is where the conversion is being done at probably an accelerated pace at this moment.
Tony Rizzuto - Bear Stearns - Analyst
Im hearing a lot of frustration by contractors out there that indicate that theyre beginning to use more aluminum in the main electrical boxes, but so far not a lot in actual building wire. I guess it has been a question also in that part of the market with the gauge that would be required. And are there still some of those issues that we saw several decades ago do you think?
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FINAL TRANSCRIPT
Jul. 10. 2006 / 5:00PM ET, AA - Q2 2006 ALCOA Inc Earnings Conference Call
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
Yes. The building wire, several decades ago the issue was not so much about the building wire, it was most about the connectors. We at the time used the semiconnectors and what happened is there was a lot of problems between the connector material and the cable. There are new connectors out there, and there is some research and development in that area. But people dont switch in that area as fast as they will switch in medium tension cable. And, by the way, that is where the big volume is anyway.
Tony Rizzuto - Bear Stearns - Analyst
Are you talking about the big power cable?
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
Not the big power cable. The big power cable is all aluminum already. It is really the distribution cable.
Operator
(OPERATOR INSTRUCTIONS).
Tony Thene - Alcoa, Inc. - Director IR
Thank you very much for attending the second quarter analyst conference. As always, if you have any additional questions, please feel free to give me a call. This officially concludes the second quarter call. Thank you very much.
Alain Belda - Alcoa, Inc. - Chairman, CEO
And by the way, guys, this was a great quarter. I would like you to think about it this way.
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, we thank you for your participation in todays conference. This concludes your presentation, and you may now disconnect. Good day.
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Exhibit 99.2 [Alcoa logo] 2nd Quarter 2006 Analyst Conference July 10, 2006 |
2 Todays discussion may include forward-looking statements
within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements relate to future events and expectations and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Alcoas actual results or actions may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. For a summary of the specific risk factors that could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements, please refer to Alcoas Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2005 and Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2006 filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-Looking Statements |
[Alcoa logo] Alain J. P. Belda Chairman and Chief Executive Officer |
4 2nd Quarter 2006 Financial Highlights Record income from continuing operations of $752m or $0.86 per share Highest quarterly revenues in company history of $7.96b Record profits in the Alumina, Primary Metals and Engineered Solutions segments Year to date annualized ROC of 15.4% well in excess of cost of capital
|
5 Safety - 1st Half of 2006 Lost Work Days Total Recordables 52% Zero Incident Locations 48% 88% 12% 329 43 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 No LWD LWD # of Locations 194 178 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 No TRR TRR # of Locations |
6 Operational Excellence Production records set in Alumina Segment Quarterly production record for the refinery system Flat-Rolled Products Segment excels Record production at our Texarkana rolling mills Engineered Solutions Segment has record results Record production at Cleveland and Kofem facilities for Class 8 truck wheels Record shipments for Class 8 truck wheels 2nd quarter in a row Record productivity in Fasteners Business 2nd quarter in a row |
7 Innovation and New Products Vino-Seal™: First commercial use in the U.S. of new Alcoa designed glass wine closure Nikes Aero Torque® and Aero Strobe®: Multi-year contract to supply specialty aluminum drawn tube using custom alloys for premium brand baseball bats Reynobond® with KEVLAR® : Successfully tested the Hurricane-Resistant architectural panel system Process Breakthroughs: Natural Media Filtration |
8 Growth, Sustainable
Development and Portfolio Management Formed aluminum brazing sheet joint venture in China Signed an MOU to explore the feasibility of a bauxite mine and alumina refinery in Vietnam Opened a new Consumer Products plant in Bulgaria First Pour of Howmets newly installed vacuum furnace at the Whitehall, Michigan facility Established a new entity in Johannesburg, South Africa for the sale and distribution of aluminum forged truck wheels in Africa Acquired the minority interests in our Eastalco and Intalco aluminum smelters Announced our plans to divest the Home Exteriors business Reviewing options for Soft Alloy Extrusion business |
9 Global Environment Premiums have Firmed Source: Platts |
10 Global Environment Days of Consumption Source: IAI, Reuters and LME |
11 Global Environment Aluminum Price Lags Other Base Metals Source: LME and Dow Jones Steel Index |
12 [Alcoa logo] Joseph Muscari Executive Vice President Chief Financial Officer |
13 Record income from continuing operations of $752 million ($0.86 per share) was 22% and 52% higher than the previous and prior year quarter respectively Included in the results is the negative impact of strike prep and settlement
costs of $35m or $0.04 per share Highest quarterly revenues of $7.96 billion 10% and 19% higher than the previous and prior year quarter respectively Capital expenditures were $729 million 64% was devoted to growth projects Working capital increased; however Days of Working Capital improved three days year over year Debt-to-cap in target range at 32% Trailing four quarters ROC of 11.2%; ROC excluding growth investments of 12.8% 2nd Quarter 2006 Financial Overview |
14 Impact of Strike Prep & Settlement Costs Signing Bonus $12.5 MM Strike preparation and other contract settlement costs $22.5 MM Total $35.0 MM Earnings per share $0.04 |
15 2nd Quarter 2006 Financial Review In Millions 1Q'06 2Q'06 Change Sales $7,244 $7,959 $715 Cost of Goods Sold $5,459 $5,967 $508 % of Sales 75.4% 75.0% (0.4) pts SG&A $369 $368 ($1) % of Sales 5.1% 4.6% (0.5 pts) Restructuring and Other Charges $1 ($9) ($10) Interest Expense $92 $98 $6 Other Income, Net (Income) ($35) ($61) ($26) Effective Tax Rate 28.1% 28.1% 0 pts Minority Interests $105 $124 $19 GAAP Net Income $608 $744 $136 (Loss) Income from Discontinued Operations ($7) ($8) ($1) Cumulative effect of Accounting Change $0 $0 $0 GAAP Income From Continuing Operations $615 $752 $137 |
16 Cash from Operations Working Capital / DWC Capex Debt to Capital 2nd Quarter 2006 Cash Flow Review |
17 Revenue and ATOI Performance Historical Performance of Combined Segments ($million) Total ATOI is the sum of the segment ATOI. 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 0 2,500 5,000 7,500 10,000 ATOI Revenue |
18 Alumina 2Q vs 2Q 2Q vs 1Q 2Q06 53% 15% 278 ATOI ($MM) 34% 14% 713 3rd Party Sales ($MM) 3% 1% 3,746 Production (kmt) 8% 4% 2,108 3rd Party Shipmts (kmt) 2nd Quarter Highlights Realized benefit of strong LME Production record for the entire system Unfavorable currency 2nd Quarter Dynamics 3rd Quarter Outlook ATOI Performance Productivity gains Pinjarra expansion continues its ramp up to capacity 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 $ Millions |
19 Primary Metals 2nd Quarter Highlights 2nd Quarter Dynamics 3rd Quarter Outlook ATOI Performance Increases in LME and premiums driven by strong demand Higher production at Alumar and Portland Higher energy costs, unfavorable currency and one-time labor contract related costs Higher production Power and raw materials costs will increase One-third of the 3rd quarter is priced Average June cash LME = $2,477/MT 2Q vs 2Q 2Q vs 1Q 2Q06 162% 10% 489 ATOI ($MM) 41% 13% 1,589 3rd Party Sales ($MM) (2%) 2% 882 Production (kmt) 38% 8% $2,728 3rd Party Price ($/MT) (2%) 4% 508 3rd Party Shipmts (kmt) 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 $ Millions |
20 Flat-Rolled Products Can Sheet Aerospace Automotive Building & Construction Distribution Industrial 2nd Quarter Highlights 2nd Quarter Dynamics 3rd Quarter Outlook ATOI Performance Strong demand in the aerospace, commercial transportation and distribution markets Seasonal jump in North America can sheet volume One time labor contract related costs Aerospace demand to remain strong Scheduled maintenance outages 2Q vs 2Q 2Q vs 1Q 2Q06 13% 20% 79 ATOI ($MM) 20% 9% 2,115 Revenue ($MM) 0 20 40 60 80 100 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 $ Millions |
21 Extruded & End Products Commercial Vehicle Aerospace Automotive Building & Construction Distribution Industrial 2nd Quarter Highlights 2nd Quarter Dynamics 3rd Quarter Outlook ATOI Performance Stronger volumes in commercial transportation, building & construction and distribution across all businesses Improved profitability in the Soft Alloy Extrusion business Improved productivity Consistent market and operational conditions from 2nd quarter 2Q vs 2Q 2Q vs 1Q 2Q06 0% NM 20 ATOI ($MM) 15% 14% 1,328 Revenue ($MM) -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 $ Millions |
22 Engineered Solutions (5) (5) (6) Other 83 93 (5) 1Q06 Total Investment Castings, Forgings, Fasteners AFL, Auto. Castings and Structures 100 97 9 2Q06 61 74 (8) 2Q05 ATOI ($MM) 2nd Quarter Dynamics 3rd Quarter Outlook AFL, Auto Castings & Structures Continued improved performance at AFL Strong productivity gains 2005 restructuring generates benefits Investment Castings, Forgings, Fasteners Market demand remains strong Productivity gains sustained Product mix enrichment European seasonal slowdown Seasonal declines in North America automotive production $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 Q1 '05 Q2 '05 Q3 '05 Q4 '05 Q1 '06 Q2 '06 $1,000 $1,100 $1,200 $1,300 $1,400 $1,500 ATOI Third Party Revenue |
23 Packaging & Consumer (1) (1) (2) Other 8 (11) 20 1Q06 Total Reynolds Food Packaging and Flexible Packaging Closure Systems and Consumer Products 37 (1) 40 2Q06 41 1 41 2Q05 ATOI ($MM) 2nd Quarter Dynamics 3rd Quarter Outlook Record revenue of $834 million Seasonal volume increases, especially in Closure Systems Productivity gains Moderating resin prices quarter over quarter Normal seasonal slowdown expected in Closure Systems Consumer Products Closures Flexible Packaging Reynolds Food Packaging $0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 Q1 '05 Q2 '05 Q3 '05 Q4 '05 Q1 '06 Q2 '06 $600 $650 $700 $750 $800 $850 ATOI Revenue |
24 3rd Quarter 2006 Outlook Summary Continued strong operational performance Continued downstream market strength Traditional seasonality Metal sensitivity Strong market fundamentals |
25 For Additional Information, Contact: Tony Thene Director, Investor Relations Alcoa 390 Park Avenue New York, N.Y. 10022-4608 Telephone: (212) 836-2674 Facsimile: (212) 836-2813 www.alcoa.com |
[Alcoa logo] |
[Alcoa logo] Appendix |
28 2nd Quarter 2006 Cash Flow Review $ In Millions 2Q'05 2Q'06 Net Income $460 $744 DD&A 312 325 Change in Working Capital (270) (428) Other Adjustments (90) 83 Pension Contributions (28) (25) Cash From Operating Activities 384 699 Dividends to Shareholders (132) (131) Change in Debt (430) 191 Other Financing Activities (6) (90) Cash From Financing Activities (568) (30) Capital Expenditures (487) (729) Acquisitions 0 8 Other Investing Activities 634 36 Cash From Investing Activities $147 ($685) |
29 Reconciliation of Return on Capital Return on Capital (ROC) is presented based on Bloomberg Methodology which calculates ROC
based on trailing four quarters. 2Q'06 1Q'06 4Q'05 3Q'05 2Q'05 2006 YTD Bloomberg 2Q'06 Bloomberg 1Q'06 Bloomberg Bloomberg Bloomberg In Millions Annlzd Method Annlzd Method Annlzd Method Method Method Net Income $2,704 $1,865 $2,976 1,581 $2,432 $1,233 $1,277 $1,271 Minority Interest $458 $368 $496 304 $420 $259 $227 $240 Interest Expense (After-tax) $273 $268 $282 $274 $264 $261 $263 $237 Numerator (Sum Total) $3,435 $2,501 $3,754 $2,159 $3,116 $1,753 $1,767 $1,748 Average Balances Short-term borrowings $331 $309 $366 $350 $335 $284 $153 $152 Short-term debt $60 $55 $63 $53 $59 $58 $272 $273 Commercial paper $1,405 $1,501 $1,785 $1,652 $1,292 $771 $946 $1,093 Long-term debt $5,219 $5,335 $5,192 $5,246 $5,253 $5,312 $5,382 $5,381 Preferred Stock $55 $55 $55 $55 $55 $55 $55 $55 Minority interests $1,419 $1,340 $1,432 $1,280 $1,378 $1,391 $1,332 $1,253 Common equity $13,842 $13,834 $14,120 $13,611 $13,596 $13,282 $13,045 $12,761 Denominator (Sum Total) $22,331 $22,427 $23,013 $22,247 $21,968 $21,153 $21,185 $20,968 Return on Capital 15.4% 11.2% 16.3% 9.7% 14.2% 8.3% 8.3% 8.3% |
30 Reconciliation of Adjusted Return on Capital Return on capital, excluding growth investments is a non-GAAP financial
measure. Management believes that this measure is meaningful to
investors because it provides greater insight with respect to the underlying operating performance of the companys productive assets. The company has significant
growth investments underway in its upstream and downstream businesses, as
previously noted, with expected completion dates over the next several years. As these investments generally require a period of time before they are
productive, management believes that a return on capital measure excluding
these growth investments is more representative of current operating performance. 2Q'06
1Q'06 4Q'05 3Q'05 2Q'05 2006 YTD Bloomberg 2Q'06 Bloomberg 1Q'06 Bloomberg Bloomberg Bloomberg In Millions Annlzd Method Annlzd Method Annlzd Method Method Method Numerator (Sum Total) $3,435 $2,501 $3,754 $2,159 $3,116 $1,753 $1,767 $1,748 Russia & Bohai Net Loss ($99) ($78) ($88) ($86) ($110) ($71) ($48) ($41) Adjusted Net Income $3,534 $2,579 $3,841 $2,245 $3,226 $1,824 $1,815 $1,789 Average Balances Denominator (Sum Total) $22,331 $22,427 $23,013 $22,247 $21,968 $21,153 $21,185 $20,968 Capital Projects in Progress, Russia & Bohai Capital Base $3,057 $2,330 $3,220 $2,139 $2,892 $1,981 $1,736 $1,539 Adjusted Capital Base $19,274 $20,097 $19,792 $20,108 $19,076 $19,172 $19,449 $19,429 Return on Capital Excluding Growth Investments 18.3% 12.8% 19.4% 11.2% 16.9% 9.5% 9.3% 9.2% |
31 Days of Working Capital Definition In Millions 2Q'05 4Q'05 2Q'06 Add: Receivables from customers, less allowances 3,195 $ 2,914 $ 3,625 $ Add: Inventories 3,462 $ 3,446 $ 4,087 $ Less: Accounts payable, trade 2,339 $ 2,659 $ 2,822 $ Working Capital 4,318 $ 3,701 $ 4,890 $ Sales 6,693 $ 6,666 $ 7,959 $ Days of Working Capital * 58.7 d 51.1 d 55.9 d * Days of Working Capital = Working Capital divided by (Sales/number of days in
the quarter) |
32 Reconciliation of ATOI to Net Income Prior periods segment information has been reclassified to reflect the movement of the
Hawesville, KY automotive casting facility to discontinued operations in
2006. The difference between total segment third-party sales and
consolidated third-party sales is in Corporate. (2) Prior periods
Corporate LIFO expense has been reclassified from Other to
combine the total impact of inventory related items. Reconciliation of ATOI to consolidated net income: 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 2005 1Q06 2Q06 Total ATOI $548 $561 $490 $551 $2,150 $844 $1,003 Impact of LIFO and intersegment profit adjustments (2) (2) (18) (23) (19) (62) 24 13 Unallocated amounts (net of tax): Interest income 7 9 12 14 42 11 10 Interest expense (51) (56) (62) (51) (220) (60) (63) Minority interests (60) (60) (59) (80) (259) (105) (124) Corporate expense (69) (73) (82) (88) (312) (89) (82) Restructuring and other charges (30) (144) (5) (18) (197) (1) 6 Discontinued operations (8) (36) (3) 14 (33) (7) (8) Other (2) (75) 277 21 (99) 124 (9) (11) Consolidated net income $260 $460 $289 $224 $1,233 $608 $744 |